I'm thinking a deal gets done, real soon, and no games are lost.
I can't see the players losing games and money over an international draft.
The gaps on other major issues narrowed quickly.
Lux Tax Limits:
After previously seeking year-to-year thresholds of $238MM, $244MM, $250MM, $256MM and $263MM, today’s proposal from the union offered thresholds of $232MM in 2022, $235MM in 2023, $240MM in 2024, $245MM in 2025 and $250MM in 2026.
Those new thresholds from the MLPBA represent respective gaps of $2MM, $3MM, $4MM, $5MM and $8MM from the league’s proposed thresholds. Their $65MM bonus pool checks in $25MM north of the league’s proposed $40MM (the equivalent of $833K per team).
Min Salary:
The latest union proposal would have a $710K league minimum in 2022. That’s just $10K north of the league’s proposed $700K figure. The league’s offered minimum would finish at $770K by the end of the CBA, while the union is seeking $780K by 2026.
Bonus Pool:
the union’s dropped its bonus pool proposal to $65MM and I think MLB has held firm at $30M. It seems this gap can be closed.
(Italics are from MLBTR)