moonslav59

That's about what I expected. Are we ahead of the O's?

How many times do I have to say I get it? I know it's the same probability, but people win elections with 30%. As long as you beat everyone else, you are the winner (unless they have run-offs.) I'm just saying I'd rather be at 30% with no other team ahead of us than 30% with 2 teams having better odds. I'm not implying it changes the 30% probability.

There are more and more guys who can hit and or get on base, but still K a lot. As long as they can sustain a decent offense, K's never bothered me. I get the move the runner over idea, and that does have value, but maybe less GIDPs balances some of that out. I'd love to see Fitzy get a chance, but I'm not ready to write off Arroyo, just yet, and I also think Cordero needs a long look, before giving up on him, too.

Yes, but what's better? Team A 38% Tean B 34% Team Red Sox 30% or Team Red Sox 30% Team A 25% Team B 25% Team C 20% The second scenarion, we'd be the faves at making the playoffs. Yes, it does not change the 30%, but I'd feel better knowing the odds are we make it more than anyone else.

Injuries Extended injuries Umps Slumps The mojo just ain't workin', just yet.

Top OPS (65+ ABs) .997 Fitzy 8 HRs .983 Granberg .974 Duran .973 Refsnyder .955 Binelas 7 HRs .934 Northcut 13 HRs/ 25 hits! .934 Kavadas .916 Lugo .913 Cordero .895 Sanchez .879 Rafaela 7 HRs .853 Hamilton .819 Casas 6 HRs .813 Downs Notables Under 65 ABs 1.257 Mieses 30 ABs 1.080 Dalton 23 .863 mayer 61 .860 Hickey 52

Some updated farm numbers: ERA Pitcher OPS Against 1.60 Bello .460 2.10 Murphy .530 2.29 Gonzalez .624 2.45 Uberstine .605 2.75 Winckowski .498 2.92 A Bastardo .605 2.93 Seabold .563 2.97 Walter .532 4.82 Groome .725 7.02 DHern .572 Some K:BB ratios 42:2 Walter 30 IP 32:5 Pannone 30 28:5 Van Belle 29 19:5 Winckowski 20 42:12 Bello 34 25:7 Santos 33 26:9 Seabold 31 21:9 Groome 19

I don't recall hearing the fight song played, last night. perhaps, had they done so...

Taylor has been one of our best RP'ers over the last few years. It's looking more and more like a snake bite year.

If you are Babe, as Bell thinks you are, then I'm not so sure about who started it.

No, but if the odds favor us more than any other team, it's not as bad as 30% looks.

I did not say bell might or might not get banned, too. (I hope not.)

Like base avoiders.

Maybe for saying this... LOL, go f*** yourself you frustrated little man......

That's what I was getting at. Let's say #6 team has a 31% chance, and we have a 30% chance, and everyone in between has less than 30%, are we really all that bad off, by the odds? We might be 1% behind the odds-on favorite of making the 6 slot.

No. 9 twice 8 once (The Yanks did 4 times in a 5 game stretch, but that's it.)

Coming from you, that's a vote of confidence.

Okay, but maybe the 6th place team has a 30% chance or less, and the Sox actually have a higher chance than all but 5 teams and 6 make it. That was why I asked.

No need. He's still got two arbs to go.

"Flashes" means don't look at the whole. It also does not imply flashes of Cy Young. He had a decent 2021 season, which is quite a lengthy "flash," and he's done pretty well in his last 3 starts of 2022: 3.00 ERA/ 1.59 FIP/ .570 OPS Against 2021 eleven game "flash:" 3.77 ERA/ 3.27 FIP/ .657 OPS Against

I was big on Stallings- mostly because of his D and reputation with pitchers. I must have proposed 10 trades with the Pirates on BTV. I was glad to see we were seriously pursuing him. Maybe we get our prize, this winter.

I can't get to "wanting it to happen," just yet, but we would likely have a much better longer view, if we had a fire sale in July. I'd like to add that the money we currently spend on some players is more than what a replacement player of near value might cost- like JD and Vaz, and maybe even Kike. Add that to what we get from Price coming off the books, and I'm not sure why so many people seem to think we are going to sign 10 Marwin Gonzalezes to replace our 10 free agents-to-be. Granted, finding a good catcher for $7M will not be easy, but improving on Vaz should not be hard at less than $7M. We should be able to find a good DH for less than $22M.yr. It will be hard to replace Bogey (I assume with a 2Bman) and Eovaldi with the money they make now, but here's where was can add price's money. Replacing Wacha, Hill and Strahm with just $16M could be very difficult, but maybe not. We should also know a little more about Casas, Duran, Fitzy, Sanchez, Seabold, Winckowski and others on the farm, who may earn key roles by opening day 2023. Add some new prospects to the list, or some lower level guys who jump ahead, this year, and maybe we don't need to replace every single FA with another one. Then, there are trade opportunities. Our future need not be all doom & gloom.

What percent chance does the current 6th place team have?

Thanks. Makes sense.

True, enough. (Shaw did well, last year, but Shaw II was a complete failure.) It's fair game to criticize Blooms biggest contracts, as they seem to be his worst, so far.