moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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I agree, he failed to meet expectations, overall. He did not earn $20M/yr. But, I would not say HE was bad.
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It amazes me that no manager has taught all the "shift batters" to bunt and demand they do it.
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Do they have a WAR per PA stat?
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That is much better than JBJ, Dalbec, Cordro and even JD... But, not worth the money, so far. I'd still rather have Story.
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I can understand saying $20M for average is bad, so if the wording was "The contract was below average or bad," I'd be okay with that position, but Porcello was not bad from 2017-2020. He was average or placed in the 31st to 60yh range in a lot of major categories, which makes him similar to most team's #2 SP'er. In other categories, he was a number 3. He would have been almost every team's best 3rd or 4th starter, so calling him a #5 is not fair. Then, being 10th in IP'd is a very helpful thing. He saved the pen, which were sketchy, then, too. He kept us from needing to start our 7th, 8th or 9th starters. A look at our #6,7,8+ SP'ers: 2017: 4.88 Fister 4.33 Johnson 8.25 Wright 2.92 Velazquez 12.96 K Kendrick 2018: 4.17 Johnson 6.08 Pom Pom 3.18 Velazquez 2.68 Wright 2019: 5.43 Velazquez 6.02 Johnson 6.20 Cashner 7.36 Chacin 5.09 Weber 5.81 Josh Smith 2020: 8.16 Godley 4.80 Mazza 4.40 Weber 5.61 Brewer 15.55 Hart 7.71 Kickham
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It's an all or nothing league, now.
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I think he is now 3rd or 4th in HRs since 2018 or 2019. Had we been able to trade JD, even by including $5-7M or a prospects, signing Schwarber would have been a no-brainer. For those complaining about our 2022 1B defense, I do recall a lot of that about Schwarber's 1B D. If he wasn't going to play 1B, LF was already jammed full with Dugo and Duran to start the year. I guess we could have gone with Schwarber in LF, Kike in CF and Dugo in RF, and when Kike got hurt, JBJ in CF, but we didn't get JBJ to be the 4th OF'er- like it or not.
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8/31 SOX @ Twins 7:40PM ET
moonslav59 replied to SPLENDIDSPLINTER's topic in Mike Grace Memorial Game Thread Forum
Nice post, Max. Lots of truth, there. -
8/31 SOX @ Twins 7:40PM ET
moonslav59 replied to SPLENDIDSPLINTER's topic in Mike Grace Memorial Game Thread Forum
The idea is that JD might get up to bat again, later in the game, and you want to keep your bench ready and stocked for more important situations that may arise, later. It's a trade off. This situation was certainly a "close call," but I do think most managers would not have PR, there. However, as badly as JD is hitting, that should factor in, too. I don't think Cora's call rises to the level of harsh criticism- not that anyone is saying it was unforgivable. -
His SIERA places him 70th out of 150. That's not bad or horrible: it's Okay.
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No adjustment for pitching in Fenway or vs some of the best offenses in the league?
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Wong jumped 14 slots, Paulino 13 and Lugo 11, plus Perales was NR'd.
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Soxprospects.com updated their ranking, but it's not their final EOY rankings: https://www.soxprospects.com/index.html 1. Mayer 2. Casas 3. Bello 4. Yorke 5. Bleis (was 8) 6. Rafaela (19) 7. Mata 8. Walter 9. Romero (10) 10. Paulino (23) 11. Anthony (16) 12. Murphy (15) 13. Wong (27) 14. E Valdez (Vaz trade) 15. Wikelman (11) 16. Jordan (10) 17. Ward (20) 18. Lugo (29) 19. Perales (30) 20 Hickey (30) 21. Coffey 22. Kavadas (46) 23. Seabold (14) 24. Bonaci 25. Downs (13) 26. W Abreu (Vaz trade) 27. German (35) 28. Rodriguez-Cruz (NR) 29 Drohan (52) 30 Brannon (NR) 31. Kellly (37) 32. Binelas (21) 33. McDonough (17) 34. Paez (60) 35. RHern (28) 36. Koss (22) 37. Uberstine (57) 38. Dobbins (NR) 39. Ed. Bazardo (34) 40 Fernandez (NR) 41. Jimenez (18) 49. Hamilton (26) 55. Fitzy (24) Red= on the rise Blue= on the fall
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Yes. he did. Not uncommon.
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I'd tell Houck and Whitlock their 2023 roles, right now. Closer: Houck Relief ace: Whitlock
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Yes, "good," and I'm getting grief for calling him Okay.
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The subject is large and long contracts. 2016 was not part of the contract. You keep insisting on counting 2016 as part of the long term deal. If you want to count prior years, then the Sale deal looks ok, right? (WRONG!) 2017 was just "very good?" Your bar is too high. Out of the top 150 SP'ers in IP from 2017-2020, Porcello placed... 39th in fWAR (7.9 or about 2.0 per season) 10th in IP (Where is your bar, here?) If you go by 1-30 is #1 starters and 31-60 is #2 starters, then Porcello rates to be a solid #2 SP'er in these two key areas. To be fair, these are not #2 numbers, but rather #3 or 4.: 70th in SIERA Solid #3 SP'er 80th in FIP #3 94th in WHIP Solid #4 110 in ERA- #4 For $20M a year, it's not great, but it's not "horrible" or "bad."
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Agreed. I'd slot him at maybe #5 or 6 on the 8 man pen, but think he might move up as the season goes on. 1.Houck 2. Whitlock 3. ______ 4. Schreiber 5. ______ 6. Barnes 7-8. Taylor/Crawford/Wink/German/Kelly/Danish/(Bello/Mata/Walter/Murphy/Santos)
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I think people expected greatness from both. They got very good results, including top notch defense, which is often not recognized by the average fan. I think there was also some implication with the cell phone and Beer Gate with AGon, but that did not bother me. The .957 to .812 OPS drop from year 1 to year 2, was also a factor. He ended up giving .793 with LAD, so the post mortem didn't help his cause. JD's big rap was missing games with what appeared to be minor injuries, but I always liked him. Maybe expectations were too high after signing him at 31 years old, but he did have a .904 career OPS before BOS. To me, the .824 he gave us should have been expected or exceeding expectations, but the 606 games in 5 years was the major knock on him.
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He jumped 3 levels, this year? He was at AA in 2021.
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He deserves criticism, and a lot for some moves, but it seems like a lot of the good he has done is minimized and context ignored. He was handed a very difficult situation, where he had to cut $60M from a team already showing serious signs of decline. The budget was severely limited for 2021 as well, and it looked like last winter, too, until late March and the Story signing. The inherited farm gave him Houck and Dalbec over 3 years. I just think 90 win expectations were too high for 2021 and 2022, it's just that 2021's success ballooned expectations for 2022. (Now, we should be on pace for 82-86 wins, and we are not. There are a lot of reasons for that and one is some of Bloom's failures. To me, he's far from the main reason we are where we are, this year. (Cora, too.)
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Marwin was 9th in PAs, last year, despite being dumped. He was 7th in PAs in April & May. Refsnyder has 2 more PAs than Santana had. The fact that they did not last the season does not mean they didn't suck. They sucked so badly, they were dumped. Yes, Story's bat was supposed to replace Renfroe's, so if you want to flip Story for JBJ, the scorecard barely changes. To me, Bloom's off season moves were a net plus. It was the returning vets and injuries that killed this team. I find it harder, but not impossible, to lay all or most of the blame on Bloom for that. Yes, I left out Diekman, I had listed him and then edited my post to put in Schreiber, who I had forgotten. (BTW, Diekman did not last the season, like the guys you did not want to count- like Marwin & Andriese.) OK: 2021 Robles> 2022 Robles Rios> Diekman .
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Agreed, but he was very consistent in AAA and had a .559 OPS Against in 96 IP. No pitcher in the whole system had a better OPSA with more than 51 IP, yet we called up several prospects before him. including Winckowski, who just turned 24 in June.
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Yes, he only declined after the trade. He should be in my "good" category for what he did while here, but had we not traded him, he'd have been firmly in the OK or bad categories for the amount of money he got paid (third highest deal in Sox history).
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Just don't tell Hal to can Cashman, PLEASE!
