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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    I'm not sure either one deserves it.
  2. moonslav59
    If that was me saying that...
  3. moonslav59
    It's stats and reading from a computer screen that gives me difficulty. I can see the game fine from my 60 inch screen. It's not stats that are Red's issue, it's stats he doesn't like. He uses BA. He uses RBIs. He uses sample sizes that fit his position, like we all do, but don't use OPS, OBP, SLG or dare use WAR. DRS or UZR/150 or the like. Only his stats matter.
  4. moonslav59
    Normally, I'd trade Lugo for Bell, but I'm wondering who our future SS might be. I like Walter, too much to deal him for this 2 month rental.
  5. moonslav59
    Maybe I’m undervaluing Bell, but I think Murphy alone would be an overpay. Dalbec and Ward, maybe.
  6. moonslav59
    I don't think it will take that much, despite BTV's opinion. I'd like to see us part with 2-3 players that will be on the 40 man roster/Rule 5 bubble, this winter. We have ab out 10 players for about 6-7 slots, depending on how many FAs we add or re-sign. DHern PValdez JGroome Seabold Crawford Downs Danish Cordero Ort Rule 5 Bubbles: Kole Cottam Durbin Feltman Gilberto Jimenez Jake Thompson Eddison Paulino Rule 5 Probably don't need to protect: Angel Bastardo Brainer Bonaci (was he misted on the "names" thread?) Cameron Cannon Nick Decker Ryan Fitzgerald Devlin Granberg David Hamilton Brandon Howlett Christian Koss Victor Santos Noah Song T Ward
  7. moonslav59
    Say that again in 3 weeks,
  8. moonslav59
    Good points. soxprospects says he has 3 will show three "at least-average offerings." With a "strong pitchability and advanced command and control profile allow his arsenal to play up. At his best, can generate whiffs with three pitches..." I had hoped this meant he could be a decent 4/5 starter in the bigs. You were right about him losing velo since the injury. I guess I'll go back to having little hope with Seabold.
  9. moonslav59
    Past 4th and key lower past picks: 2021 4 Elmer Rodrigues- Cruz 5 Hickey 11 Kavadas 2020 4 Wu-Yellan 5 Drohan 2019 4 Song 6 Murphy 2018 4 Cottam 5 TWard 7 Duran 2017 4 Jake Thompson 2016 4 Dalbec
  10. moonslav59
    I'm not sure gaining a 4th round pick matters much, but I guess it's better than nothing.
  11. moonslav59
    No love for Mancini?
  12. moonslav59
    I'm just thinking, if Bogey goes, we might want to hold all our middle IF prospects. (Our OF depth is weaker, though.)
  13. moonslav59
    Fair enough. I expected Kavadas to be near 21-24, so I guess 29 is not that far off. I'd put Hickey near 15-17, so that's not far off, either. I get the gulf between AAA and MLB is huge, but the numbers Seabold put up in AAA were pretty awesome. .539 OPS Against (better than Wink, Bello & Crawford) WHIP 0.90 Walter (POR/WOR) 0.96 Wink 0.99 Seabold 1.03 Murphy (POR/WOR) 1.04 Bello (POR/WOR) K:BB (This area describes his weaker area) 87:10 Van Belle 75:7 Walter 66:16 Santos 43:8 Winckowski 51:14 Seabold 76:22 Uberstine 114:33 Bello 101:31 Drohan 102:35 Murphy
  14. moonslav59
    It's all "eye test."
  15. moonslav59
    BTV accepted these deals: Jimenez + Groome for Bell (Sox overpay) Downs + Groome for Bell (Sox overpay) Jordan & Bonaci for Abreu Downs, Groome & Decker for Abreu Groome for Mancini Jimenez for Mancini Seabold for Mancini Jimenez + Cannon for Cron
  16. moonslav59
    1Bmen, at every deadline, are a dime a dozen. Even real good ones often are traded without the need for a high prospect in return. I realize the Schwarber comp is not a good example, since he was not a 1Bman and was hurt when we traded for him, but we didn't have to part with much to get him. Here are some BTV values for possible trade targets (years remaining after 2022): 14.0 Cooper (MIA 1, also DH) 9.4 Abreu (CWS 0) 5.9 Cron (COL 1) 5.6 Bell (WSH 0) 5.6 Candelario (DET 1, also 3B) 5.4 Schwindel (CHC 5, more of a DH) 3.0 Mancini (BAL 0, also OF) 1.0 Santana (SEA 0) -34.5 Hosmer (SDP 3- would need cash or swap of bad contracts like Barnes & Drek) Longshots: 36.6 Walsh (LAA 3) 30.0 Mountcastle (BAL- 4) 15.3 Wisdom (CHC 4 and 3B) 8.6 Smith (AZ 4, also OF) 8.0 Brown (OAK 4, can also play OF) Red = my idea of who is most likely)
  17. moonslav59
    Not a "perfect post," but pretty close.
  18. moonslav59
    I think when you factor in not having Houck as the closer during this stretch, one could argue it was a failure. We'll never know, if Houck would have done better than the closer by committee did, but it's hard ti imagine him doing any worse.
  19. moonslav59
    I think blowing and saving the same games have been a reality, at times. Our starters have had quite a bit of meltdowns, too, but they just aren't called that.
  20. moonslav59
    I'm not sure I have ever said pitching is not our highest priority- ever! I think the return of Whitlock, Nate, Wacha Sale, Nate, Hill, Taylor and maybe even Danish, Barnes, Seabold plus the introduction of Paxton to the staff might be enough or near enough to drop pitching to the #2 slot on the highest need list.
  21. moonslav59
    Looks right, to me. You have a good view on prospects. I have three questions for you: 1) Who has the best chance to crack the top 10 by the end of the season? Lugo? Gonzalez? Jordan? Someone else? 2) Do you think these ranking's jumps were too much or too little? Hickey 30>19 Kavadas 46>29 3) We had a big debate over Seabold over the winter, and you convinced me I was over-rating him. Now the question: has your view changed on him after his apparent success in AAA, this season? Thanks in advance for your responses.
  22. moonslav59
    I think the Sox budget will remain a top 3-5 one going forward, so the ability to sign large and long contracts is certainly present. I'm wondering, if we don't go large and longer than a Story type deal in the next few years, whether that comes more from Henry or Bloom. Maybe a joint decision. Again, the philosophy looks pretty logical on paper, as most LnL contracts do not work out for the team, but losing Betts, Bogey and Devers within a 4-5 year period is just too overwhelming for most fans to handle and explain away with so-called "logic." Winning a ring in the next few years would make us forget Betts more easily, and I suppose the same could be said after we lose Bogey and/or Devers, but it's hard to swallow, as a fan, until the ring is won.
  23. moonslav59
    Me, too.
  24. moonslav59
    This would never pass Red's Eye Test. RP WPA 5.62 NYY 4.71 STL 4.27 BAL 3.84 MIL 3.52 HOU 2.51 COL 2.06 BOS 1.94 ATL & CHC 1.92 SEA The pen ranks 21st in -WPA and 5th in +WPA. Our starters rank 10th In WPA at 1.58 (NYY is 3rd). 7th in -WPA 17th in +WPA
  25. moonslav59
    Here are some Sox pen rankings from fangraphs: 10th ERA- 90 10th HR/9 0.90 T10th fWAR 2.2 11th K-BB% 15.1% 13th WHIP 1.22 14th ERA- 99 15th xFIP- 99 17th LOB% 71.2% 18th HR/9 1.12 (thanks to Nate) Some might be surprised to see our starters rank lower in some of these rankings: 11th LOB% 74.1% 14th xFIP- 101 15th fWAR 5.6 15th WHIP 1.27 16th K-BB% 13.8%
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