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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. Not all guys who finish poorly end up sucking or needing TJS soon afterwards. While Crochet did not end 2024 as poorly as Ryan did, he did drop a ton: 3.07 ERA/2.32 after 21 GS 5.19 ERA/3.86 in last 11 GS
  2. I think some may be so fed up with JH and think he is so messed up, that they'd be willing to roll the dice on the next one- sight unseen. It seems that is how much they dislike Henry.
  3. Podcast on trade... https://news.soxprospects.com/2025/12/podcast-ep-395-instant-analysis-of-luis.html
  4. The guy is very attractive, but I'm so tired of hoping for health, especially with pitchers. The 2025 season was an IL merry-go-round, that also included a nice return by Gio and a "healthy" Buehler stinking up the place. How about these samples from the 2025 game logs? 3/31 to 4/15: 18.2 IP, 13H, 21K/5BB, 1HR, 0.96 ERA/2.71 FIP 5/3 to 6/1: 39.1IP 24H, 42K/10 BB, 1 HR 0.69 ERA/2.09 FIP That was his teammate Bubic, but Kris finished the season at 4.61/3.60 in his last 8 GS and 41 IP
  5. $20M/1. The type of contract the Sox love! We cannot say Brez had no short term options, this year after this and the $20M x 2 Polanco signings.
  6. I don't agree so many want him to sell, but I guess a lot do. The grass is always greener is one explanation. Of course 100% would agree with this statement: "Henry sells the team to a better owner willing to spend way more on the team." I'm not convinced we get a better owner. I'm not totally convinced JH will never spend big again. I'm extremely thankful for JH doing what was needed to be done to get us a ring in 2004. The 2007 ring was aided by big spending. The 2013 ring was kind of a surprise as we had cut spending. 2018 was an all in, JH aided ring season, and the contracts signed kept us a top 3 spending team all the way through 2021. I think that 2019-2021 stretch jaded JH and made him hesitant to repeat mistakes made with so many large and long deals and younger players all reaching their big paydays in such a short period of time.
  7. I don't think JH allows us to spend on Bregman & K Marte, unless we somehow dump some salary, like insisting AZ takes Hicks. The #2 SP could be cheap, like Lodolo or Ryan. You are probably right on Bregman getting $150-155M/5 not $170M. I think Okamoto is more in JH's price range, and if we get AZ to cut some of the cost, maybe we can swing this: Okamoto (give an extra year to bring down the AAV by $2-3M. ($15M x 6?) Marte with only an added cost of about $10-13M (they take Hicks w Mayer or Duran) Lodolo/Ryan/____? for Duran at no added cost on the budget.
  8. Not saying I'm for this... Trade: Mayer, Crawford ($2.7M) and Hicks ($10.2M Tax hit) for K Marte $19.4M AAV (Adds $6M to tax budget.) Duran $7.7M for Lodolo $4.5M (Saves $3M) Sign Okamoto at $15M x 5 This keeps us near the tax line. 1. L Anthony LF 2. S K. Marte 2B 3. R Okamoto 3B 4. L Abreu RF 5. R Story SS 6. L Casas 1B 7. L Yoshida DH/ R Romy DH 8. R Narvaez C 9. R Rafaela CF SP: Crochet, Lodolo, Gray, Bello, Sandoval/Oviedo/Rookies RP: Chapman, Whitlock, Slaten, Weissert, Harrison, Dobbins, Kelly, Watson
  9. Well, you broke apart my two trades, and the other one got us that #2. Basically, we trade Duran and Mayer plus some secondary pieces for a #2SP and a 2B/3Bman that doesn't cost as much as Bregman/Bichette.
  10. Maybe the 3 options vs 1 option was the main reason.
  11. 5 years of K Marte for 6 years of Mayer and 5 years of Harrison. I would not trade 6 years of Mayer for 2 years of Polanco at $40M.
  12. Bennett has 3 options left, so maybe this was the reason for the deal.
  13. Good points. I’m still skeptical
  14. I'd say Whitlock is, too. Story and Masa are on the way down from peak prime. Chapman is way past ordinary prime. In terms of age, I'd say 28 is peak prime, so Romy is 28 & Crawford 29. Slaten, Narvarez & Abreu are close by age. So many of our best players are 2-4 years from peak prime: 26: Crochet, Bello, Abreu, Narvaez 25: Casas, Dobbins 24: Rafaela 23: Early, Tolle, Harrison 22: Mayer 21: Anthony
  15. That's even more doubtful. "would be better" is not the same as "want the new owner to be..."
  16. Indeed, and through all the "ineptness," somehow they built up a top farm system that has created a 40 man roster loaded with so very many promising players under inexpensive team control for many years. Yes, other team have leapfrogged over our spending budget, in very recent year. (Some may not realize we were still a top 3 spending team in 2021, which is not ancient history.) Yes, we have avoided large and long FA contracts, but we have no avoided large and long extensions to younger players, which is actually a nice strategy. Yes, we sign a lot of 1-2 year deals, but at least we've jumped the AAVs from $10M/1 to $40M/1, $21M/1, $38M/1, $18M/1 and $13M/1. I do think we need to move outside the comfort zone and go a bit larger and a bit longer to fill a couple more big need areas out of these 3: 3B or 2B 1B SP2 One could be by trade.
  17. Perhaps, but it would not be 100% agreement. We probably can't even get that number on saying the Crochet trade was great. LOL
  18. Still unsigned: (my projection) Tucker ($440M/11) Bichette ($220M/8) Murakami ($200M/8) Bregman ($170M/6) F Valdez ($160M/5) Iami ($150M/6) Bellinger ($145M/5) Ra, Suarez ($120M/5) M King ($84M/4) Gallen ($80M/4) Okamoto & Grisham ($70M/4) E Suarez ($66M/3) Bassitt ($40M/2) Giolito & H-S Kim ($35M/2) Realmuto, N Martinez & Hearns ($30M/2) Littell ($25M/2) L Weaver, Fairbanks & S Dominguez ($20M/2) Big trade names: K Marte, Paredes, B Lowe, Donovan, Y Diaz, W Contreras, Lodolo, Ryan, Gore, Alcantara, P Lopez, L Castillo, M Keller and others.
  19. He's got some nice upside, but so do others that won't cost picks.
  20. The "full throttle" was so absurdly over-the-top and disingenuous that everything that comes after is doubted and should be. Plus, much of what they said after that has not come true. It's been a never-ending spiraling sham.
  21. And while JH & Co. might view 5 years as large and LONG, it's not 6-10 years.
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