moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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Yes, I meant 7th or 8th out of 8 pen arms- not to be used in the 7th and 8th, unless it's low leverage- to begin with, anyway.
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The problem is, if he hits .950 in AAA, next year over the first few months, does his stock rise all that much?
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I think we might, but his 1B D was so bad, he should only be considered at DH & LF. I think he has an option left, so, assuming he's healthy, he would be in AAA. I have him above Dalbec on my DFA/Trade list (a bad thing.)
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The funny thing is, well maybe not so funny, was the Sox gave him an extended look, when it counted most, and then sent him down to AAA, once the season was all but over. The "all day-all year" could have happened here, too, but I thing the disgust level was over the top for much too long.
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This year, he was the worst from a bunch of bad performers w RISP and men on base- no doubt, but he was just plain bad in every batting situation.
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Our pen has certainly been one of many weak points on the team. I do question the use of ERA, especially for RP'ers, since they often enter innings with 1-2 outs already and the full amount of runs allowed my be lessened by walk off hits. In other areas, our pen still looks bad, buy not always bottom 5. 9th in IP, which hints at forced overuse- shifting some of "the blame" to the starters or manager 21st in fWAR at 2.7 21st WHIP at 1.35 23rd xFIP at 4.55 (20th in FIP) 26th in ERA- at 110 Our SP'ers are... 21st in IP. 18th in FWAR at 8.8 18th xFIP at 4.09 21st in ERA- at 109 (about the same as the pen) 24th in WHIP at 1.34 (about the same as the pen) The pen deserves criticism, but you seem to focus only on them, when the starters forced more IP on them, and their injuries forced Houck and Whitlock to start some games and a few "pen games," along the way, as well.
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With Casas and Hosmer on the 26, it is more likely he starts in AAA, unless he's used as the DH or platoon DH. I doubt we keep Casas, Hosmer and Bobby Dee on the 26, at the same time, even with a platoon DH. I suppose we may trade Hosmer and use Pham, but then we have 2 RH'd hitters. It seems more likely we keep Hosmer on the 26 to platoon DH with Pham, Arroyo & Refsnyder. Dalbec starts in AAA.
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He may end up be a decent to very good platoon bat.
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He actually had plenty of RBIs per hit before 2022, so I'm not so sure he's anti-clutch, although I don't believe in clutch as a skillset. He had an .818 OPS w RISP, in 2021. All I'm saying is, we should not write him off, just yet. Some players bloom late. We have several worse players to remove from the 40, before him. If we add a 1Bman/DH, we may trade him, this winter. If not, he'll stay in the system, until we find more out about Casas.
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I think Boggs hit in the low .700's his last year in BOS, but he still had good years left in him. The idea that Cooper was some can't miss prospect was a joke.
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I'm not expecting greatness from this group, but we should be able to improve on our 2022 numbers at DH, 1B and RF without adding any major contract. I do hope we add a RF'er and keep Dugo in LF, but if we upgrade bigtime in other areas, only a slight improvement in these 3 areas may be all that is needed- NOT greatness: 1B: .668 270 PAs .606 Dalbec (bad D) 160 PAs .806 Cordero (horrific D) 61 PAs .699 Casas 45 PAs .611 Hosmer DH: .750 565 PAs .771 JD nobody else with more than 19 PAs, but were very bad, combined RF .659 222 PAs .620 JBJ in RF only 189 PAs .863 Dugo 79 PAs .677 Ref 50 PAs .444 Arroyo 50 PAs .341 Cordero 23 PAs .435 Duran
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9/26 O's @ SOX
moonslav59 replied to SPLENDIDSPLINTER's topic in Mike Grace Memorial Game Thread Forum
There is a lag between building up a far, which may take 2-4 years to accomplish and when you start seeing results from the rebuild, which may be 3-6 years depending on the ages of prospects you draft and sign. Add the two together and you get a 5-10 year time frame for any expectation for seeing results, unless you trade for near ML ready and promising prospects. Look back 5-7 years from now, and look at what was going on with our farm. Were we adding or subtracting from it? The results were predicted back then, by many of us. They were denied by others. Others suggested we could rebuild the farm very quickly, but neglected to consider the lag time between that and seeing results. DD did draft and sign some good players, but all we've seen of any note have been Houck, dalbec & Duran. Some are suggesting we repeat the 2015-2018 farm plans. Rinse- repeat- get burned. -
I'm always for adding pitchers, and I'm not taking 5th starter types, either. I realize taking pitchers with healthy backgrounds makes more sense than those without. I agree on this. I don't know much about Kelly, but he could be a nice addition.
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Well, Roger did deserve some level of criticism: 1986-1992 160 ERA+/1.09 WHIP/3.44 K/BB 1993-1996- NO SMALL SAMPLE SIZE! 130 ERA+/1.29 WHIP/2.36 K/BB Had he only started using steroids, earlier, he may have retired a Red Sox.
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We may add a cheap 1B/DH or RF/DH type, but I doubt we spend much there. (I do think we sign a legitimate RF'er- maybe Nimmo, who would be seperate from the cheap DH type, and if we do sign a RF'er, the DH would probably be a 1B/DH type.) vs RHPs Casas (when not at 1B) Hosmer E Valdez (if not in AAA) Cordero (if not in AAA) vs LHPs Dalbec Refsnyder (when not in RF) Pham (when not in LF) Wong (when not catching) Arroyo (when not at 2B) That being said, if going with some sort of rotation involving players from this list, who make the 26, so we can spend more on pitching RF and SS, I'm all for that idea. We don't need everyone on the list to hit well- just 2-3. One problem might be having to cycle through 2-3 failures before we hit on the 2-3 that work out, if ever. By then, too many losses might have occurred to recover from. (Kinda like 1B, this year.)
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Since he can play DH (very well on D-LOL), 3B (well enough) and maybe 1B, I doubt he would be passed over by any lower- tiered team. There are a lot of players better than replacement level, but not by much, still hanging around. His offensive potential is too good to pass up, and for that reason, I'd keep him in AAA, until he runs out of options and decide, then. While we may have a roster crunch, this winter, especially if we add 5-6 players via free agency or trades, there are 7-10 players I'd trade or DFA before Dalbec.
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Very well said, and even if we do re-set, this year, we will still be able to spend enough to get a very good SP, RP, SS and RF'er. If we can trade for one, the other 3 can be upgraded, in theory, with more money allocated.
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With STORK, you can't follow logic to make conclusions. He may still be a Yankee fan.
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I had slim hopes we could finish the season with a winning record vs one ALE team (BAL), but those hoes are dashed.
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I have him slotted as the 7th or 8th RP'er "who could easily be beat out," and that is being "very generous?" Or course, a lot depends on how many pen arms we sign, too.
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These are the types of deals we may be looking at. I'm not sure past durability is a sign of future health, though.
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My point is, what if they don't "short-change" him, but some other team offers him some absurd amount?
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JD was a fantastic player for us. He's on the decline. I was only talking about improving on our .750 DH OPS, this year, not JD's overall .771 OPS, although I do think some sort of platoon can reach .775. (Dalbec, Arroyo, Pham, Hosmer, Refsnyder, Wong, EValdez) It's not a slight on JD to have high hopes for other Sox players.
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He also forgets how he looked at the 2020 team and thought it impossible to turn things around in just 1 year. He projected doom 2 years ago. He thought we'd be pretty good, this year. We should be happy he's predicting doom, again. He's never right.
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9/26 O's @ SOX
moonslav59 replied to SPLENDIDSPLINTER's topic in Mike Grace Memorial Game Thread Forum
Seabold may be pitching his way off the 40.
