Many SP'ers, today, do very poorly the third time through, including some good ones. With a strong pen, it can be managed.
Like I said, I'd rather have kept Houck and Whitlock in the pen, even with the 4 added arms, but I'm not sure I trust Mata, Walter, Wink, Crawford, Seabold and Murphy to step it up. We needed an ace or solid #2. One of the depth guys may end up doing very well, more likely years from now, but even if one does in 2023, we may go through 4 or 5 of them, before we hit jackpot, and by then, the failures of the first 4-5 might help put us hopelessly behind in the WC race.
To me, Houck seems like a better bet than any of those 6, and unless a miracle of miracles happens, and Sale and Paxton both start the season off the IL, he may be our best bet- emphasis on "bet."