moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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The sad thing is, he's about the same as other SP'ers over the whole season. The last 5 starts are very worrisome. If he does poorly, his next start, it might be his slot Paxton takes.
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They may not know, just yet, who they may send to the pen, too. The next starts by some pitchers might play into the choice.
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His added range should more than make up for the few runners that reach due to a weaker arm than other SSs.
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Okay. Maybe you mis-typed, but you said "The best defensive OF...." I've been waiting for Kike to start hitting, again, for too long.
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Maybe the best part of a Paxton success story would be the ability to move someone (Whitlock?) to the pen as a long man to pair with the Winkman.
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5/09/2023 Red Sox at Atlanta
moonslav59 replied to vegasbob's topic in Mike Grace Memorial Game Thread Forum
Weak IF hits, especially swinging bunts and slower, seeing-eye or bloop singles should just about even out with the line shot or deep fly ball outs for most pitchers, but some ground ball pitchers are likely hurt by playing on a team with slow and poor defensive IF'ers. Fly ball pitchers with slower or poor defensive OF'ers. High K% pitchers will be affected the least. Our team has been pretty bad in the IF and OF, this year. It has to be one part of the high team ERA and the great increase in individual pitcher ERAs from 2022 to 2023 or from some pitchers 2-3 recent year avg ERA and 2023. Only Wink and Crawford have improved. The new catchers could be part of the reason, too. The rule changes have and whatever have increased the league ERA by 9% from 2022, as well. Add them all up, and maybe it's not all the pitcher's fault, but some must be. -
Those 8 games places him in the top 3-5 in WAR, depending on which WAR you choose! LOL! The wrist issue was at least a result of him hustling. It may take a while to get over the effects of that injury, even after he returns, but I was really just focusing on improved defense as players return.
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Kike is a better defensive OF'er than all 3 of these guys.
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I think Kike is still a decent 2Bman and better than Valdez. Not so sure about Arroyo. Story is way better.
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Bloody.
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Duvall led the league in rbi in 2021 and had 555 PAs. I'll take that over 650 PAs from most anyone else.
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5/09/2023 Red Sox at Atlanta
moonslav59 replied to vegasbob's topic in Mike Grace Memorial Game Thread Forum
Certainly there are serious flaws with the earned run rules, but it is hard enough to get 3 outs, and asking for 4 is much more. I agree on a HR being an HR, no matter what. -
At this point, who is the better defensive CF'er? Duvall, when healthy vs the new and improved Duran
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Our D might be greatly improved without any trades made: C: Wong/McGuire (May improve over time.) 1B: Casas/Turner 2B: Story/Kike SS: Mondesi/Story (Chang) 3B: Devers LF: Yoshida/Duran/Duvall CF: Kike/Duran RF: Verdugo
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Too many IF hits, non DPs turned and no error calls on hits.
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Another way to look at our rotation woes and who is catching them: More with McGuire: Kluber- 4.36 ERA ('19-'22) and 4.34 in 2022 6.29 in 2023 Close to Even IP with both catchers Pivetta- 4.54 ERA "21-22 6.23 ERA in 2023 (7.11 McGuire/ 5.17 w Wong) More with Wong: Sale- 4.09 ERA ('19-'22) 6.37 ERA in 2023 ALL IP with Wong Houck- 3.02 (2020-2022) 5.26 in 2023 Whitlock- 2.73 2021-2022 6.19 2023 To me, it looks like all our pitchers are doing much worse than the least few years, with no one catcher sticking out as worse than the other in this light. Improved: Winckowski 5.89 to 1.57 1.35 w Wong (13.1 IP) but worse OPSA .533 1..86 w McGuire (9.2) but better OPSA .513 Crawford 5.90> 3.51 1.26 w McGuire (14.1) 6.35 w Wong (11.1)
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5/09/2023 Red Sox at Atlanta
moonslav59 replied to vegasbob's topic in Mike Grace Memorial Game Thread Forum
I'm looking over my shoulder. -
It does seem like our rotation is showing signs of improving, and it will be interesting to see if Paxton can give it a boost. I still have faith that our staff will improve. I also think some of the crappy ERAs is due to poor defense that allows plenty of "earned" runs that would not be with plus D.
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I think we all be amazed knowing back in March that our catchers would have a +0.9 fWAR on May 10th (0.7 Wong + 0.2 McGuire). The 3.2 fWAR from Verdugo (1.4), Duran (1.3) and Yoshida (0.5) is even more shocking. (Tapia is 0.2.) The bummers: -0.4 Casas -0.2 Kike Not bad having just 2.
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I think McGuire's D is better than we've seen, but who knows? I also think he may be battling an injury. Over time, we may reverse our thinking, but I like what both have done, so far. As far as the rotation sucking and how much of that is on the catcher(s,) we'll have to give it time. Not a good start, for sure.
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5/09/2023 Red Sox at Atlanta
moonslav59 replied to vegasbob's topic in Mike Grace Memorial Game Thread Forum
fWAR is a more kind to some pitchers: 0.6 Sale & Houck (+ Jansen) 0.4 Wink 0.2 Schreiber 0.1 Crawford & Brasier 0.0 Martin, Bernardino, Bello, Littell, Kelly, Whitlock -0.1 Bleier -0.2 Pivetta & Ort -0.3 Kluber -
MLB ERA is up 9% from last year (3.97 > 4.33) Pivetta's is up 37%.
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So, was someone demoted, IL'd or let go from POR?
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We are 2-2 in games where our pitching lets up 4 runs. Our O sucks! We are 8-6 when allowing 4-5 runs, but 5-4 when allowing 6-8 runs. Kinda early to draw conclusions.
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Well, Wink has has many IP as some starters. My point about Houck: 3.02 ERA 2020-2022 with anyone but Wong. 5.26 ERA in 2023 w ONLY Wong. McGuire has not caught Houck, at all. Whitlock: 2.73 ERA 2021-2022 with anyone but Wong. 6.19 ERA in 2023 with ONLY Wong These numbers are just as horrible, frightening and concerning as any pitcher's numbers with mcGuire. It's not just McGuire with horrible numbers.
