With 13 slots and 16 names, here one has good reason to think Brasier will not make the 13. It's a bit amazing to think a day may arise where we have no top 16 pitcher on the IL. There is still a few days, so something could go wrong, but it's an interesting topic of discussion.
Most teams and GM like to keep as many "options on the table" as possible, because they know injuries are likely, and they seem to value their own and "the known" more than trying to find a journeyman pitcher that pitches like Bernardino has since we added him. There are probably 5 or 10 failures for everyone that works out okay, or better. We have all seen better pitchers demoted to AAA to allow more options to "stay on the table," but with our staff is such a high need of continued improvement, keeping the best 12 or 13 on the 13 man staff seems urgently needed.
Here are the pitchers with options remaining, according to soxprospects.com:
Sure bets on 13:
Houck (The only question with him being on the 13 is pen or rotation?)
Whitlock (same as Houck)c
Should almost certainly be on the 13:
Winckowski (Has been a very consistent top performer, all year)
Crawford (Was one of our top 3-4 performing pitchers before his injury.)
Bello (Might be our 2nd or 3rd best SP, and our rotation is a big weak area.)
Schreiber (Seems to have earned a slot after 2022 and the start of 2023: 2.23 ERA)
Bernardino (Will certainly be demoted, despite doing pretty well for the Sox.)
So, demoting Bernardino brings us to 15.
Looking at just the numbers:
Worst ERA (ERA+)
6.75 Brasier 69
6.37 Sale 73
6.29 Kluber 74
6.23 Pivetta 74
6.19 Whitlock 76
5.51 Bleier 85
5.26 Houck 88
5.01 Bello 93
OPS Against
.960 Whitlock
.882 Bello
.865 Pivetta
.842 Kluber
.815 Sale
.755 Bleier (Worst RP'er on list)
.735 Brasier (2nd worst)
.723 Jansen
.689 Schreiber
.688 Houck
.646 Martin
.629 Crawford
(.619 Bernardino)
.618 Paxton
.606 Winckowski
Maybe more important is to look at just Brasier, Bleier and the 3 pitchers with options (Crawford, Wink, Bello) not named Schreiber, Houck or Whitlock and recent performance levels:
Last 28 Days:
.882 Bello
.820 Brasier
.697 Wink
.625 Bleier
.351 Crawford
Last 14 Days
.833 Wink (thanks to last night)
.777 Bello
.773 Bleier
.725 Brasier
.533 Crawford
How much do these numbers help? It's hard to know.
I'd DFA or trade Brasier and Bleier, since I think we can find their equals on the waiver wire, if we cut them, and then someone gets hurt.
It won't shock me, if they demote Bello to keep the lefty Bleier, but Brasier should be next, after Bernardino's demotion.