Health is just half of the equation, and that is why I am more skeptical than you and others on Nate.
I'm not trying to diss him. He was a big hero in 2018 and was our true ace in 2021. I'll never forget that or stop appreciating what he did for us.
To me, it was not just the missed starts (about 30%.) Maybe, needing him to be our ace made me feel worse about what he gave us in 2019, 2020 and 2022 than I should have. He was not signed to ace money.
I've never been big on FIP, and he was very good in that area, for us (3.73 vs a 4.05 ERA.) I probably let 2019 sour me, too much. He was not alone in his massive downturn. He pitched pretty well in 2020 and 2022, when healthy, but in the last 4 years he...
Was hurt in 3 of them.
Pitched poorly in one (2019), Okay to good in 2022, and well in 2020 (9 GS) and 2021.
He's 33, now. I'd certainly prefer him to Kluber, even with the higher cost, but I'd have preferred someone else.
I liked Wacha. It looks like Eflin would have been better. Not sure about Senga. I was against overpaying for Rodon.