moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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Better all around players, yes, especially at key defensive positions like SS. -
Okay, how many hits turned to outs does it take to save a run? (Defence) So, the 45 "extra runs" let up by our scrub pitchers might have led to 4-5 more losses. (I said 5-8.)
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TOR has now passed TEX, and we lost a chance to gain on TEX and stay even with TOR. Unless things change, quickly, I don't see TEX passing HOU, so we need to pass TEX & TOR. SEA could be passed, too. Red's Standing Update 77-61 SEA 77-62 TOR 76-62 TEX -0.5 from WC 72-67 BOS -4.5 from TEX and -5.0 from TOR (-5.5 from SEA) 69-69 NYY -2.5 from BOS 24 games to go is making this look extreme!
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It's hard to keep track of how many 4 and 5 out innings our pitchers had to get through, and it seems like a heck of a lot more than the -49 OAA number. Perhaps, I am counting possible outs for every play, even somewhat tough to really tough ones I see opposing defense make against us as an extra out, but I'm pretty sure, even being conservative, it has to be 49 or more missed outs. It seems like more than 1 every 3 games, though.
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maybe 5-10 more than the norm?
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I'm not so convince Nomar was ever a big plus defender. He made those running, twirling plays from the hole that looked impressive, when I'm not so sure they were outs most SSs made look easier. BTW, here are the plays made from 1997-2022: ASS/PO= Plays (innings) 2582/1473= 4055 ARod in 7809 (.519 plays per inning) 2526/906= 3432 Vizquel in 7778 (.441/inning) 2301/1364= 3,665 Jeter in 8092 (.453 per inning/ .284 assists per inn.) 2132/1164= 3,295 Nomar in 6481 (.508 per inning/.329 per inn.) Nomar did better per game, but not by all that much and way worse than the best. I always said, ARod should not have changed positions for Jeter, a SS who had one of MLB's worst DRS numbers in history at SS.
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We did offer Nate a QO and then an offer larger than he signed with TEX. (BTW, he's hurt.) I'm not sure signing ERod to what he got would have been a winning strategy. Strahm wanted to be a SP'er. We already had enough long relief guys trying to be turned into SP'ers. You left out Rich Hill. I was all for bringing Wacha back and would have offered more than what he ended up getting. Missing out on Nate or Eflin killed us more than selecting Kluber did. The combination of both was a catastrophe. No doubt, our rotation was our major killer, this year.
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That's kinda my point: Bloom never catches the good outlier. Maybe 2023 is Eflin's outlier. Springs is no outlier. Nate was on his way to an outlier, after 4.3 years with BOS. It seems that Bloom is often on to the right idea, but he comes up short on the offer or the timing of the signings. Maybe every GM can say the same.
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How many wins does 60+ opps hits turned into outs get a team? That is the difference between our OAA and some of the better defensive teams. We ar 77 worse than the best team and about 50 worse than the mean. It's hard to prove the 7th and 8th RP losses turned to win, but change the ERA from about 7.00 to 4.50 for 160 IP and do the math. I think that comes to about 45 runs (not outs.) I'd guess it's closer to 20 than 12-13, but I'm pretty sure it's 13.
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It seems to be a reoccuring theme. On the flip side, he had Springs and traded him away. He signed Perez twice, then failed to re-sign him, and he pitched much better, afterwards, although he has dropped off, this year. Wacha and Nate pitchefd betetr this year. (Rich Hill, Richards and others have not.)
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Maybe, if Bloom had come in with an initial offer with one more year and $10M more....
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No doubt, but there are more than just 2 areas (SP & untimely hitting) that have cost us 5-6 games. I'd say... 8-12 games Defense 5-8 games first or second guy in from the pen.
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Indeed, but if we had one more long guy like Houck, Pivetta, Crawford, and most years Whitlock, we'd have won a lot more games with them vs: IP Pitcher ERA 31 Bleier 5.28 25 Jacques 5.11 23 Ort 6.26 21 Bra-Man 7.29 19 Walter 5.79 18 Garza 7.36 17 Llovera 4.67 8 Bear Claw 12.91 3.0 Littell 9.0 2.0 Faria 22.00 2.0 Lamet 13.50 That's over 160 IP, some of which were mop up, so if we replaced 80-100 of those with just a 4.50 long guy, we'd have more wins and less stress on the better part of our pen.
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I loved the scowl he made looking in for the sign, and of course his results, but yes, me too.
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Yes, but stretch it out: 100v 80, 100vs 80 five times and it's 100 plays over a season on just grounders.
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2022 Assists 417 Mateo in 1257 inn 407 Seager on 1259 inn 334 T Turner 9n 1387 326 JP Crawford in 1254 That year the differential was 91 between Mateo and CP. Mateo also made 19 more POs. 2021 436 I K-f in 1360 362 Bogey in 1169 337 Andrus in 1246 That's 99 more assists, but a few more innings (53 more POs!!!!) 152 more plays! It happends every year
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The real life example is that one SS may make 75-125 more plays than another and not 20.
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Yup. And there is a vast differential between the best and average, and even more vast between the best and the worst. OAA tries to capture that, and it shows our D has produced 45-65 less than our top 4 competitors. 60 outs is about a 20 point swing on a FT player's BA. Taking about that off our team BA. we'd move from 3rd to 15th in the rankings. Last night was not the first time those who use only eyesight to make determinations saw our D flat out lose a game. Nothing else led to the loss more than our D. That should happen 2-3 times a year, not 8-12.
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We've had a merry-go-round of carnival clowns, all year. Our top 6-7 RPs have been ring leaders and strongmen. The bottom 7-8 have been side- show freaks.
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I didn’t say he would. I’m just laying out mr parameters.
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Just replace clowns like Jacques.
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To many judge on a player's last AB or appearance. Some on one pitch.
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Yes. Bases loaded and no outs. How many times, this year? OKay, I checked. Can't belive we are batting .324 with bases jacked. (Must be in 9-2 games.)
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Dodgers: 40 Saves 14 Blown Saves (7 by Graterol) 74% Red Sox 40 Saves 13 Blown Saves (only 4 by Jansen) k75%
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Makes me want to avoid the game threads, again.
