moonslav59

Spoiled.

1 year means expectations should have been we win in 2020. This is so comical: it is beyond words.

You have a good point, and all Bloom has left from DD is Sale, in terms of budget drains, but neglecting to acknowledge the massive change in directives from the top is hanging onto a lop-sided notion or reality.

It's not easy building up a farm, these days, either. Going over the tax line hurt, too. As much as our farm looks much better, it is just on paper, and we have a long way to go to get near where TBR, BAL and other winning teams had and/or still have. Had we switched 2021 with 2023, I doubt anyone would be complaining, but the record shows we are not getting better. That hurts.

I think the idea was to contend for a playoffs slot, not a ring, and give the impression we were on the rise. It's funny to think that if Nate, Wacha, Hill, Strahm and JD were sucking, right now, the narrative would be much different.

He thought Chang would do, and he might have been better than Iggy, but once Chang got hurt, why give up? I agree. Mondesi is pipe dream. Story is still a month away, at best.

Very true, and to me, what were the expectations and contexts involved? I expected an improving team, and most us records as the final indication. Nothing wrong with that. I see a farm and budget vastly improved for the future. I see a deeper team with less black holes than we've had since 2018. I see a team just a couple big acquisitions away from being a top 6 contender. After the mandated Betts/Price deal and massive budget cuts, I saw a long road ahead of us. Others did not or would not accept the situation handed to Bloom. Certainly, beginning with the Story signing, we've had the budget and a bit more help from the farm than we had since 2018, so I am not happy about the record, now, either. There is still over 90 games to go, so let's see what happens.

A Tale of Two Teams Team batting: .808 OPS on May 4th (195 Runs/33 gms) .700 OPS May5-June12 (131 Runs/34 gms) .792 on May 12th (222 Runs/39 gms) .708 May 13-June 12th (110 Runs/29 gms) Team Pitching 4.87 on May 4th 4.23 from May 5th-June 12th 4.12 since April 30th 3.60 since May 17th (24 games) 1.70 last 4 games (2-2 record)

In a big way, for several weeks, now. I guess one could imagine both will do what is needed at the same time, and we can make a strong run at the playoffs, but as the Smiths would sing... How Soon Is Now?

What year was that?

ERod, Nate and Wacha all in top 21.

Notable ERA Ranked Pitchers (Qualified) 2.13 ERod 2.18 McClanahan 2.25 S Gray 2.32 J Gray 2.36 F Valdez 2.42 Stroman 2.49 Nate 10. L Castillo 2.70 11. G Cole 2.84 18. Gausman 3.12 21. Wacha 3.15 24. Z Eflin 3.28 26. Bassitt 3.29 27. Ohtani 3.32 29. M Keller 3.41 30. D German 3.49 45. Kopech 4.03 51. Luzardo 4.17 52. R Hill 4.23 53. P Lopez 4.25 63. Alcantara 4.75 The Sox have no qualifiers. Some non-qualifiers ERA/ IP z(30+ IP) 3.34 Senga 65 5.23 Houck 64 4.14 Heany 63 4.58 Sale 59 6.36 Manoah 58 (demoted) 7.16 Syndergaard 55 4.39 Urias 55 4.70 Seabold 54 5.40 Pivetta 53 3.71 Scherzer 53 3.78 Bello 52 (101 in IP) 3.31 Logan Allen 52 7.13 Kluber 48 (113th in IP) 4.00 M Strahm 45 7.02 Taillon 42 4.10 S Lugo 42 3.67 W Miley 42 4.85 Verlander 39 2.33 Winkowski (140th in IP) 3.68 Crawford (146th) 6.12 J Beeks 32 3.09 Paxton 32 (175th) 4.78 Whitlock 32 (175th) 2.67 deGrom 30 About 225 Pitchers have 30+ IP. here is where some notables place in ERA... Top 20% 10. ERod 2.13 12. Wink 2.19 22. Nate 2.49 Top 40% 44. Eflin 2.97 50. Paxton 3.09 54. Wacha 3.18 77. Crawford 3.68 83. Bello 3.78 None in the middle 20% Bottom 40% 131. Sale 4.58 143. Whitlock 4.78 162. Houck 5.23 166. Pivetta 5.47 (Nope- not in bottom 20%) Bottom 20% 187. Kluber 7.13

The worst hitters in MLB (162 players Qualified): .496 Segura .564 J Abreu .585 J Baez .590 Maton .605 Volpe .613 Call .616 A Rosario .617 Straw .645 W Contreras .648 E Suarez .649 S Marte .649 CJ Abrams Some of these names were mentioned as targets by posters. Abreu was reportedly Blooms #1 target. Others 149. Kike .652 147. D Smith .654 143. Machado .675, T Grisham, W Adames 141. C Santana, LeMahieu .679 140, Trea Turner .680 139. Casas .683 136. Beni .686 133. Varsho .683 128. A Frazier .695 116. Correa .710 115. Lindor .711 106. Renfroe .725 97. Bogey .740 94. Swanson .741 89. Schwarber .751 Notables in the top 81 of 162 1.078 Judge .999 Freeman .986 Carroll .977 Y Alvarez .959 Acuna .955 Ohtani .942 Y Diaz .926 JD M .920 S Murphy .916 Araez .901 Betts .900 Soler .897 Arozarena Others... 27. Yoshida .846 34. Trout .831 40. Reynolds .825 48. S Suzuki .817 55. Guerrero .799 & Verdugo 62. Nimmo .789 67. Devers .782 71. Conforto .777 73. Turner .776 77. Drury .771 Worst OPS w 50+ ABs (non qualifier) 90+ in Red .278 T Nido 56 .321 A Barnes 78 .333 C Gallagher 73 .366 Lenyn Sosa 68 .398 JBJ 105 .403 D Hensley 77 .419 Ty Taylor 75 .432 Barnhart 69 .436 A Nola 111 .443 J Walsh 52 .455 Hedges 109 .462 Mastrobuoni 56 .464 Stallings 93 .476 N Allen 102 .496 Casali 64 .498 Zavala 94 .501 O Gonzalez 73 .504 N Gordon 91 .514 D Villar 96 .519 F Reyes 59 .520 B Thompson 53 & J Schoop 98 .531 M Mervis 85 .541 O Colas 76 .545 E Montero 74 .547 B Wiseely 82 .549 L Voit 68 & Pollock 101 .550 K Smith 92 Others: .568 F Cordero 54

It sucks seeing other teams field well.

Sox on the farm... Woo 1.022 Dalbec (14 HRs, 22 XBHs & .417 OBP) .935 Fitzy (26 XBHs) .861 Valdez (.508 SLG) .858 Abreu (.379 OBP) .853 Hamilton (11 Hrs & 26 SBs) POR .910 Meidroth (16BB/ 16K) .901 Yorke (20 XBHs) .838 Hickey (.500 SLG) .818 Kavadas (9 HRs and .396 OBP) .817 Scott (.369 OBP) .801 Rosier (.363 OBP & 24 SBs) others .745 Rafaela (27 SBs) .561 Mayer (39 PAs) .834 Jordan GRE .991 Hickey (11 XBHs in 20 hits) .954 Meidroth (21 BB/ 20 Ks & .495 OBP) .890 Mayer (.524 SLG) .834 Jordan (23 XBHs others .704 Ferguson (.359 OBP & 23 SBs) Pitching- A+, AA, AAA Only (30+ IP) OPS Against .506 Rogers A/A+ (1HR in 35 IP) .525 Dobbins A+ (36K: 4BB in 35 IP) .571 Nail AA/AAA (1.45 ERA) .621 Drohan AA/AAA (.191 BA Against) .639 I Coffey A+ (75K: 10 BB in 55 IP) .654 Bastardo A+ (71K in 54 IP) .673 Wikelman A+ (70Ks in 42 IP) A Ball .513 J Ramirez (0 HR in 44 IP) .590 de la Rosa (1 HR in 30 IP) .663 E R-C (2.29 ERA)

LOL! Too funny.

Don't forget Bloom's Nate signing.

At least he got a key HR beforehand.

BA surely matters, as do HRs, XBHs and BBs. If only there was a stat that counted all of these!

Yoshida is injured? Turner? Jansen? Yes, Duvall & Martin have been but are back. Joely is out. (He's the only recent signing on the IL.) If you go back further to include Story, Wacha and Hill and Strahm, then yes. If you count trades like Mondesi, then count McGuire, Dugo, Wong, Valdez and Wink. His waiver wire and Rule 5's have been hurt: Whitlock, Schreiber and Arroyo. His carry overs have been hurt: Sale & Houck.

Let's compare last year's rotation to this year's: 2022 4.49 ERA (110 ERA-) 4.14 SIERA .763 OPS Against 1.35 WHIP 5.0 IP/GS 28% QS 2023 5.07 ERA (114 ERA-) 4.09 SIERA .779 OPS Against 1.34 WHIP 5.1 IP/GS 27% QS Individual GS Pitcher ERA 33 Pivetta 4.56 26 Hill 4.27 23 Wacha 3.32 20 Nate 3.87 14 Wink 5.89 12 Craw 5.47 11 Bello 4.71 9 Whitlock 3.45 5 Seabold 11.29 4 Houck 3.15 3 Davis 5.47 2 Sale 3.18 2023 12 Houck 5.23 11 Sale 4.58 (IL) 10 Bello 3.78 9 Kluber 7.13 (demoted to pen) 8 Pivetta 5.47 (demoted to pen) 6 Whitlock 4.78 5 Paxton 3.81 (now in rotation) 4 Crawford 3.68 (now in rotation) 1 Dermody 6.75 (DFA'd)

Hard to say. I think OBP is more important than SLG by maybe 60-40%, but that is just a stab in the dark. Most saber guys think OBP is worth more than SLG. Who is better? OBP/SLG/OPS A. .400/.400/.800 or B. .350/.450/.800 I'd go with A. Does this change anything? BA/OBP/SLG/OPS A. .300/.400/.400/.800 or B. .275/.400/.400/.800 Hard to say. B gets more hits, but A must get more walks and XBHs, because their OBP and SLG is the same.

Not necessarily. BAbip and BB and K rates play a big role in BA vs the amount of balls put in play. Players who walk a lot, put the ball in play less often than those who don't, assuming the K rates are equal. Players who K a lot may have a higher BAbip and end up with a higher BA than a player who Ks less, assuming the BB% is equal. Arroyo has a .247 BA. Casas has a .201 BA. Who is a better hitter or batter? BAbip .313 Arroyo .250 Casas SLG .374 Casas .360 Arroyo OBP .322 Casas. .280 Arroyo OPS .697 Casas .639 Arroyo

Thinking Platoon? vs RHPs 1.382 Duvall (just 35 PAs) .874 Yoshida .872 Verdugo .825 Wong (reverse split) .815 Tapia .811 Duran .778 Devers (reverse split) .739 Valdez .692 Casas .675 Arroyo (reverse split) .670 Turner .666 Kike (barely reverse split) .630 McGuire (reverse split) .547 Refsnyder .508 Reyes (33 PAs) .382 Chang (33) _______________ vs LHPs 1.400 Duvall (10 PAs) 1.122 McGuire (14) Reverse split .987 Turner .950 Refsnyder .892 Reyes (19) .833 Dalbec (8) .827 Devers reverse split .830 Chang (14) .712 Casas .647 Kike (barely a reverse split) .644 Verdugo .618 Duran .604 Wong (reverse split) .588 Arroyo (reverse split) .296 Tapia (21) .111 Valdez (9) Looking at these numbers these guys should not start vs... RHPs: Refsnyder, Reyes, Chang (Reyes & Chang are maybe our best defensive SSs, now.) McGuire and Wong both have reverse splits, but start games by SP'er not opposing pitcher. Kike and Turner could be considered to platoon or be rested more vs RH SP'ers. LHPs: Duran, Tapia, Valdez Verdugo and Casas could be considered to platoon or rest more often vs LH SP'ers. When Story returns, it might take some realu juggling by Cora to keep everyone playing enough to stay sharp and content. C: McGuire & Wong continue as is. 1B: Turner playing a little more at 1B v LHPs. DH: Yoshida playing a little more at DH vs L & R. (Turner sitting v some RHPs) 2B: Kike/Arroyo (maybe Valdez v RHPs, if he is on the 26.) SS: Story FT 3B: Devers FT LF: Duvall (LF more)/Yoshida (DH more)/Refsnyder (Has to play v LHPs-somewhere( CF: Kike/Duran (platoon)/ Duvall (more in LF) RF: Dugo (maybe sit vs more LHPs)/ Refsnyder

Sox Offense... OPS .769 April .766 May .687 June, so far .753 v RHP (.741 when RH starts)/ .721 in '22 .758 v LHP (.790 when LH starts)/ .760 in '22 .831 Home/ .773 in '22 .675 Away/ .689 in '22 .843 CF/ .671 '22 .812 LF/ .694 '22 .805 RF/ .661 '22 (.820 OF/ .676 '22 WOW! A .144 increase!) .785 3B/ .856 '22 .773 DH/ .763 '22 .749 C/ .694 '22 .742 1B/ .683 '22 .646 2B/ .724 '22 .632 SS/ .815 '22 (A .183 drop!_ .796 Batters 1-2/ .753 in '22 .769 Batters 3-6/ .769 .702 Batters 7-9/ .656 .793 RISP (Shows how the eye test can be very wrong.)/ .752 in '22 .823 RISP w 2 Outs/ .716 '22 .733 Men On Base/ .758 '22 .681 Late & Close/ .619 '22 .749 High Leverage/ .734 '22