moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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Lugo was not traded.
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Sox get the 12th pick in the draft. 1. CLE (2% odds) 2. CIN (0.9 %) 3. COL (18.3) 4. OAK (18.3) 5. CWS (14.7) 6. KCR (18.3) The top 3 teams by the odds missed out on the 1 & 2 picks. 7. STL 8. LAA 9. PIT 10. WSH 11. DET 12. BOS 13. SFG 14. CHC 15. SEA 16. MIA 17. MIL 18. TBR 19. NYM (dropped 10 due to going over the 3rd tax) 20. TOR 21. MIN 22. BAL 23. LAD 24. SDP (down 10) 25. NYY (down 10) 26. ATL 27. PHI 28. HOU 29. AZ 30. TEX
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A case could be made Ohio St. belongs. Their only loss was by 3 at the number 1 team's home filed.
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I get that. My point was they knew all this before this past weekend, and could have made their lives easier by dinging FSU 1-2 weeks ago, or whenever their QB got hurt. They looked silly dinging them after beating Louisville.
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Craig Breslow hired as Head Of Baseball Operations
moonslav59 replied to Tedballgame's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
McGuire may turn out okay (or be DFA's.) Rosier may surprise. He could have gotten much more, if he had the balls to fire sale it. -
Craig Breslow hired as Head Of Baseball Operations
moonslav59 replied to Tedballgame's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
I understand your point. I guess we are arguing semantics. I don't think making 5 moves is dithering. I think he should have made bigger moves and better moves, but he made 5 decisions. Dithering is avoiding decisions. -
I wouldn't mind him going a few extra batters, here and there, but we have 4-5 guys that can do that anyway. I like him as the #3 short guy after Jansen and Martin.
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I do, too. I also worry about Giolito staying the same.
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Is he replacing Whitlock, despite the "stretching out" comment? If not, now we have 5 "tweeners:" Pivetta Crawford Houck Whitlock Winckowski (Lugo?) (Murphy?)
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That's worse than Houck and others on the Sox, but I'm wanting him as my 4th starter or "third best SP'er we add, this winter.) I would not mind Lugo as our #3. if Yamo was our #1.
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1. I never said I expect the same stats. I would expect some regression from him and any pitchers coming here form a better defensive team (or 29 others.) 2. Something close to those numbers would be way better than what we saw, this year. 3. I realize half the numbers I posted were as a RP'er, but that does not take away from the fact that he has pitched real well for 3 seasons. 4. Yes, it's a risk putting him as a SP'er, again, but signing Giolito, Flaherty or some others are risky as hell, too. I like Lugo better than some of the other tier 3 SP'ers available, now.
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Craig Breslow hired as Head Of Baseball Operations
moonslav59 replied to Tedballgame's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Again, I totally agree on the idea that he should have sold more and got under the tax line. I would not call making 5 trades "dithering." He was decisive, but wrong on his choices. To me, dithering is doing nothing or next to nothing, or wasting time on near trades or fearing pulling the trigger on bigger deals, not made. -
Brez should know what the limit is for JH, by now, so if we are still in the hunt, that should mean JH is okay with a mega deal for a SP'er- finally.
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Craig Breslow hired as Head Of Baseball Operations
moonslav59 replied to Tedballgame's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
He wasn't Mr. Dithers in '22. That was my point. He wasn't successful is another issue. -
The committee members are idiots. They should have ranked FSU 5th or 6th, before the weekend.
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I think he's worth $30/2 or $40/3. I just hope they don't see him as the best SP'er we get.
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2021-2023 Seth Lugo 134 Games (26 GS, all in 2023) 258 IP 3.56 ERA (113 ERA+) 3.80 FIP 1.211 WHIP per 9 IP: 9.2 K/2.5 BB Out of 137 pitchers with 250+ IP, Lugo places... 28th SIERA (just behind Gallen and ahead of cease & Verlander) 38th in xFIP at 3.67 (just behind Sonny Gray and Nate & ahead of Morton & Cease) 45th in ERA- at 88 45th in K-BB% (just behind Webb and ahead of Cease)
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I know Lugo does not have a long history as a SP'er, but he did fine as one, last year: 26 GS (146 IP) 3.57 ERA (115 ERA+) 3.83 FIP 1.20 WHIP
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I hope that's not the extent of being "aggressive," and I actually like Lugo more than some.
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I'm fine with the long term plan. I just wish they'd have been upfront about it. I also wish they'd have not tried the halfway approach. I call it "half ass." Had they just spent 2-3 years in complete rebuild mode, we'd be way better off, right now. Half-ass extends the rebuild.
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Trading Bello for Cease would not work for us. If the CWS are demanding pitching in return, I'm not sure we can meet their needs. Crawford and Romero would likely be turned down. Crawford & Yorke?
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The thing is, he could be 100% telling the truth and really believe he will make significant upgrades, but if he keeps going to JH with some big deals to be offered, and JH keeps saying no, he could be wrong. It may not be a lie, but it could be part of a further sham, with him being the set-up stooge.
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On the pitching: really good pitching is very expensive. The 2020 and 2021 team had so many holes that spending large and long on a very good SP'er would have meant neglecting other high need slots. I get the argument about not adding many promising pitching prospects, but I sympathize with the choice to draft the best chance players, who are usually non pitchers. Bloom did add some pitching: Whitlock, Pivetta, Winckowski, Schreiber, Bernardino, Campbell, Kelly, Robertson along with some decent rentals like Wacha, Hill and Strahm. Not adding an ace-type pitcher left a gaping hole, and I would have preferred he added one, instead of Story and/or Yoshida. The restricted winter spending budgets were a big part of our lack of success, but that does not take Bloom off the hook. He hoarded his top prospects, too much, IMO, but if they turn out being special, maybe someday we'll be thankful he held on to them.
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I see it that way, too. The additions Bloom made to 2021 were not as good as the ones before '22 and '23, yet we did much better. Bloom failed to build the 26 man roster into a winning team. I think he did okay to good on building up 40 man roster depth. I think he did very good on building up the farm, but we won't know that for a while more. Even with some budget issues, he did poorly on too many additions, especially the bigger ones.
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Breslow promises to be "aggressive" in his search for Rotation upgrades. Can we believe him? https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2023/12/red-sox-trade-rumors-aggressive-rotation-free-agency.html
