moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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Indeed. Just trade him and sign Duvall for close to the same money per year.
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Craig Breslow hired as Head Of Baseball Operations
moonslav59 replied to Tedballgame's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Yes. I liked him a lot and felt he'd be slotted into a rotation slot for sure, once he was healthy enough, but he was not a certainty to hold it. He also was not healthy day one. Many were worried about his arm. last February, March and April. I'm not dissing the guy. I was as high on him as everyone else, during and after 2022. I'm just saying there were doubts about his health. -
The soxprospects.com podcast seemed to blame the fact that he was primarily a DH in Japan, and that playing him in LF, so much was what wore him down. I'm not say8ing I agree with this, but moving from Japan to the USA is a major cultural shift. Several successful Japanese players took a year or so to adjust and then show better numbers. Perhaps I am being a homer, but I think the guy deserves another season, and if he spends almost all of it at DH, I'm optimistic his numbers will improve- especially the OBP.
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That "proposal" was not something I wished we'd do. It was something I think comes close to spending about $50M, maybe including a trade of Dugo and or Urias. If I had $70M to spend, I might go... $28M Yamaoto $27M Gray $10M Wacha $10M Duvall $75M Total -$9M trade Dugo for LH RP or 2B (if we get a $3-4M 2Bman, we can trade or non tender Urias for another $5M to spend at the deadline, if needed.)
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Craig Breslow hired as Head Of Baseball Operations
moonslav59 replied to Tedballgame's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Hw was certainly viewed as a pitcher that would be given as many starts as possible to prove he belonged. I did think he belonged. I did think he'd be good enough to be a #3 or #4 in 2023, but he was not a certainty. As it turned out, Pivetta was not.... then he was, again. -
There might be sliver of hope he can get his OBP up enough to not be a neg negative, but that has not been the case, so far. He did hit .730 v RHPs in 2021, so there may also be hope he can be more than a shortside platoon DH, which means nothing in MLB. There is no such position. While .730 is not good enough, I do think he gets a shot soewhere- just not with Boston.
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It would be more aggressive than the past few years, but I guess the term is subjective.
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Craig Breslow hired as Head Of Baseball Operations
moonslav59 replied to Tedballgame's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
I'm not so sure Bello was a "sure thing" going into 2023. He had dealt with injuries and did not even start the season on the 26. His first start was April 17th. -
I think we give him an other half or full season to adjust.
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Almost every team with a decent payroll would take Pivetta at $7M.
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Craig Breslow hired as Head Of Baseball Operations
moonslav59 replied to Tedballgame's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Tampa South! -
Let's assume the $73M is correct. We could non tender Urias and get under the second tax line. Or, we could trade Dugo for a $4-5M LH's RP'er and get under, as well. I seriously doubt we go all in like this, but to me, this is what I would call "aggressive," and not signing one big pitcher and Duvall, Wacha and a LH RP and/or Frazier.
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Is that really what any of us see as "aggressive?"
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I also value OBP more than SLG. I think a better stat would be 3 x OBP + 2 x SLG/5. Bobby Dee had very good OBPs in the minors but just cannot get that to work in the bigs. It's not uncommon for big K guys. He still has time to improve on that, but I do not think it will be with the Sox, if anyone.
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I don't think anyone has said we will "only" spend on pitching. IMO, if we only spend $35-49M, this winter, I'd like to see almost all of it go to the rotation, but I do not think that would happen. If we spend $50-70M, I'd like to see one RHB (CF or 2B) added and maybe a 2B or CF/RF'er as well, but the rest should go to the rotation- maybe 75-80% of the $50-70M. Again, I'm not expecting or counting on anything. I do think they need to follow through on the promise of being aggressive, this winter, but aggressive could mean one major SP'er signing and someone like Duvall, Frazier, Wacha and a LH RP. Like I said, I'll believe it when I see it. I don't see why we can't afford Yamamoto, Montgomery, Wacha and Duvall. Trade Dugo for a LH RP or 2Bman (nontender Urias.)
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I'm not sure they can ever get there, again, as long as they keep their rigorous academic levels.
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You missed my point. I want us to spend $70M and keep Pivetta and maybe Urias. I'm fine with trading Dugo. My suggestion has been to trade top prospects for one excellent SP'er on top of spending $50-70M, so how is that espousing mediocrity? I want 3 SP'ers not 2. It is you asking for just two that is looking more like "mediocrity" than my ideas. I'm just not sure JH will allow such a budget. I like Pivetta. He is not a mediocre 5th SP'er or long RP. He's one of the best. I'm not relying on Sale, like you are. That plan is asking for trouble. I'd be okay with Kutter as the #5 and Pivetta in long relief, but I'd flip the two. My rotation would be far from mediocre: 1. Yamamoto, Nola or Gray 2. Gray or Montgomery (maybe Morton on a 1 yr deal) 3. Bello 4. Wacha (or Morton) 5. Pivetta/Sale Hardly seeking meciocrity.
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I think the question is :How aggressive?" Counting the Devers extension, last winter, one could view that winter as "aggressive," which is was, even if you factor in all the salaries lost, but it wasn't close to aggressive enough. Is spending $50M per season more in new contracts going to be enough? I think we need to be closer to $70M.
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Pivetta is worth $8M, so I would not subtract him or trade him. Trading Verdugo for no added salary is possible, but then we have a new hole to fill. (Yes, the RHB can fill it. Duvall?) Urias is a close call, to me. He was very good just 2 years ago. He's not old. $5M could be a bargain. I think we need to just go over the tax line and up close to the 2nd line. That is close to $70M- $80M, if we trade Dugo for no salary. Yes, that should be enough for SP1, SP2, RHB and a 3rd SP or 2Bman + LH RP. Yes, stop dicking around with scrimping and saving. Easy for us to say, and I'll believe it when I see it.
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I'm not sure why OBP is the definer, here, but Dalbec did not really play FT before or after AUG. Over the season, he started 63 games vs LHPs and 52 vs RHPs. He had almost the same PAs v LHPs (230) and RHPs (223.) I'll take your word for it, that a big shift happened in August, but here are his monthly PA totals: 76 APR 74 May 82 June 64 July (long AS break) 72 Aug 85 Sept (most of any month) He did have one long stretch of .300+ OBPs, but just not a full month: .307 by taking away his first 2 games of June (JUN5-JUN30) OBP has been his big issue once reaching the bigs. Too many Ks was his problem in the minors, too, but he walked a lot, there.
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You assume going over meant Bloom had millions more to spend. I don't. Not many felt 1B was our highest or second highest need area on opening day.
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Hartman has fallen apart. He had no INTs in his first 6-7 games, and now has 7.
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Yes, I know. This silly debate has gone on way too long. There will be many teams that want him. All will want one year. I think some team will offer him two, so they get him. You and others disagree.
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Hurray for you! I have no problem saying you were right. That does not change the fact that I felt Dalbec, Casas and Shaw was not a bad plan to start 2022 at 1B, especially when you consider we had high needs at many positions and only so much money to spend on them all. We could have robbed Peter to pay Paul, and you'd be complaining about the other position, now.
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Duvall is way better than many OF'ers, so teams will want him as an upgrade and pray for health. It happens all the time. Not every team will get the pitcher they need, so they will look for other areas to upgrade... like OF.
