Prosecution exhibit #1: the Sox so far stink this year vs. last year when they won 108. #2: mostly the same players are back. #3: the real culprit is demonstrably and unequivocally perhaps the worst spring training in MLB history. 1 and 2 are true, but not necessarily 3.
The rotation pitched less in ST this year than last--Porcello 16 innings last year, 12 this year; Sale 15 and 9, Price 12 and 6, and ERod 0 (injured) and 15.
So far this year Porcello has had 11 starts and 63 innings, Sale 11 and 62, Price 9 and 47, and ERod 11 and 60.
ERA's: Porcello 4.28 last year and 4.41 this year; Sale 2.11 last year and 4.14 this year; Price 3.58 last year and 2.83 this year; and ERod 3.82 last year and 5.04 this year.
So, the guy who threw the fewest innings in ST, Price, has a better ERA(his best since 2015) than last year. The guy who threw the most innings in ST this year, ERod, has an ERA that is much worse. Porcello is a wash--he threw fewer innings in ST this year and his ERA is up a little.
Then there's Sale. Let's call him Exhibit #4 for the prosecution. His ST innings dropped from a wonderful, season-preparing 15 innings to a paltry 9 this year, and his ERA darn near doubled--from 2.11 to 4.19.
However. In both of the last two seasons with the Sox, Sale has been stunningly good in the first four months of both seasons, and pretty lousy in the last two, especially in the postseason. And that I believe is what Cora--no doubt with the support of DD and probably even John Henry who just agreed to that extension on Sale's contract--was hoping to remedy with fewer ST innings for Sale. Moreover, I think most of us have noticed that Sale's fastball ain't what it was in 2017 and 2018 although we have seen flashes here and there. My point here would be that it makes sense to limit his pitches and innings for now.
The defense rests.