Kimmi
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Everything posted by Kimmi
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It is. In data compiled in 2016, the team with the best record in MLB won the WS 19% of the time. In the NHL and NFL, the team with the best record won the championship 31% of the time. In the NBA, it's a whopping 48%.
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In the 24 years of the wildcard era, the team with the best record has won the WS 6 times, 25%. That sounds like the team with the best record has an edge, until you note that the wildcard team has also won the WS 6 times. In the same time frame, the team with the best record has been eliminated in the LDS 11 times, when they are typically playing against the playoff teams with the worst record..
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They might be a dominant team over the last 3 years, but that is hardly the same thing as saying that the playoffs aren't a crapshoot.
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Regardless of who wins, I hope it's a well-played and close game all the way through. As Slasher said, there's nothing like a Game 7. Let's go!
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The interesting thing is that in all postseason games besides the World Series, Verlander's numbers are very good. He's 14-5 with a 2.83 ERA. In the WS, he's 0-6 with a 5.68 ERA.
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Not true. In fairness to myself, I have given Dave a lot of credit for the moves he made in the 2018 and beyond. In fact, I have often defended him recently when others have been critical of him. It is no secret that I am not a Dombrowski fan because I very much disagree with his approach. But I gave him credit and praise where I thought it was due.
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I think they will continue the L-R thing. If a reliever has to face at least 3 batters, you still don't want that reliever being able to face all same handed hitters.
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Epstein, Cherington, Dombrowski, Bloom One of these things is not like the other. One of these things doesn't belong. Can you guess which one is not like the other, Before the time I finish my song?
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It's possible. For me, the best part of signing JD is that the contract was relatively short term for a player of his caliber. It would be a mistake, IMO, for the Sox to add any more years to the deal. I'd hate to lose him, but let's not make the mistake of adding more years to the contract in order to keep him.
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Most people agree that it's not always the best team that wins, it's the team that plays the best or gets hot at the right time. Isn't that randomness? Why yes, it is. In addition to that randomness, what about all of the plays, like the potential series winning hit in 2004 that bounced over the wall for a ground rule double? Bad bounce for the Yankees, great bounce for the Red Sox. If that ball stays in play, there likely would have been a completely different outcome.
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The powers that be put the percentages between 10 and 15%, with an occasionally really good team maybe having a 20% chance, which means they still have an 80% chance of not winning the WS. Five and seven games series are still small samples. Baseball is such a random sport that it takes 162 games to determine who the better teams are. You can't really conclude anything in a 7 game series.
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The Astros have won most of their series by a 1-game margin. The swept the Guardians in the 2018 ALDS, only to lose to the Red Sox by a 1-4 margin. So, that year in the playoffs, they were .500. In 2017, they beat the Sox 3 games to 1, but it took 7 games to win both the ALCS and WS. So far this year, it took them 5 games to beat the Rays, and it might take 7 games to beat the Braves, or they might even lose. I wouldn't consider that dominant. In most cases, I think the series could have gone either way.
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Here is what a plot of regular season wins versus postseason wins looks like. It's the very definition of random.
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There is no stat in the regular season that correlates to postseason wins. Not regular season wins, not best ERA, not highest team OPS, not best run differential, not best WAR, not best September record, not most experience, not best bullpen, not anything. That, to me, is the very definition of the postseason being a crapshoot. You cannot predict who is going to win with any degree of reliability.
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Absolutely.
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How about every team in the playoffs having between a 10 and 15 % chance of winning the World Series? Even odds would be a 12.5% chance.
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It's kind of random that the away team has won every game in the series so far.
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I fully expect all 3, Sale, Price, and Eovaldi to rebound next year. I don't expect a return to prime years for Sale and Price, but I do expect them to be better than they were last year.
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Post of the day!
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Except he allowed Dombrowski to disregard the long term.
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I 100% cannot see Henry deconstructing the team to the point where they are not competitive. There is too much talent on the team still under contract. We will be competitive in 2020. The reset might not come until 2021.
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And others, while not fans of Dombrowski, have clearly said that Dombrowski is not to be blamed for this year's failures.
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Not necessarily so. We might need to remove a player or two, but other players can be added for a lesser cost, all while maintaining the championship quality.
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Bloom sounds like he is the anti-Dombrowski. His priority is sustainability and competitiveness over the long term. It can be done! He is also supposedly 'cutting edge' Young Theo, 2.0. My man.
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Seemingly, everyone in baseball speaks very highly of him, not only in terms of his talent in building teams, but also in terms of his ability to work with and as a team.
