sk7326
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Everything posted by sk7326
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18th in fWAR since 1940 for those players before their age 26 season. (to give you an idea, Mookie is 19th, Machado is 21st, Mike Trout is #1) Of the 17 guys above him 11 are in the Hall of Fame 5 of the other 6 are named Pujols, A-Rod, Bonds, Trout and Andruw Jones. Those are 4 clear HoF likely guys and one who certainly has a worthy argument. Guys of his and Machado's ilk just don't get to unrestricted free agency. The hype is warranted.
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You got a return to form from Lester and Buchholz - and Lackey. And Peavy being added midseason - though he was more useful in the regular season
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The Red Sox could be qualitatively the exact same team they were a year ago and not win 108 again. They were awesome but still also overperformed their run differential.
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with Victorino there were a couple of things which worked 1. He was no longer a good CF, but still good enough to be an excellent RF. A lot of his WAR was defensively based 2. His shoulder caused him to not switch-hit, which meant he was not hitting from his weaker side. Victorino was magnificent - the odds the deal would deliver 3 good years was very low, but it delivered one great one which paid for the other two. Ellsbury quietly had a terrific season - perhaps his best all around season (he hit better in 2011). The Red Sox bet correctly that at his age and with his injury history - there was no value in extending him. But Ellsbury was arguably the best CF not named Mike Trout in the league that season.
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I think that is possible, but I like the Yankees moves a little better. Now they have seemed too cheap to go after Machado, and I find that fortunate and a little astounding.
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Right now - being pragmatic - the Yankees have closed the gap on paper with Boston. Paxton is a significant boost to the team's biggest weakness, and Ottavino helps the bullpen. The Red Sox have not enhanced the 2018 roster, and is probably losing Kelly and Kimbrel. (how much that hurts is hard to tell) We're lucky that Hal is content to pocket the Bombers' revenue instead of actually attacking this tremendous free agent class with more vigor. But that dig applies to all 30 teams to some degree or another. Boston is counting on more internal improvement - that the October Devers shows a guy who has turned a corner for instance.
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That team cannot be discounted. After all, it was the wire-to-wire best team in the league, and never faced an elimination game. In LF there was a high quality jobshare - which is inherently wobbly (like our 1B jobshare last year). The same goes with C. Really the 2013 season was just largely a matter of guys being healthy. There was some luck (there always is), but a lot of the 2012 problem was simply injuries.
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This is true ... now if a 26 year old FA without a significant injury history is not getting paid, then things are tough. Baseball is giving less of its revenue to players than other sports. Owners are being smart given the system etc. I have no doubt the system will change in a couple of years.
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Good for the Red Sox, bad for baseball in general. It beats a work stoppage - that will be a couple of years from now.
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Right - it is good to see at least one team actually trying to win and not pocketing the TV money
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Not sure - it is interesting that they are clearly going for it this year.
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Yep. Wilson Ramos.
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Most likely the one who think he can catch.
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If they could ever escape that box they always seem trapped in ...
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We'll see what happens. I fully expect year 4 will be operating under different rules - though I'm not sure what they will be.
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Not one bit. There is an insane amount of money in the baseball economy.
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Probably the same with any of us and our respective real world jobs. Is there a price (and a quality of company) that could get me to relocate? Sure - but (fortunately for now) the price is high.
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I think we're basically seeing a version of the Sox-JD staredown from last year here. I am firmly of the belief that if there were a 5 year deal out there for Kimbrel he would have signed it by now.
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Realistically the Red Sox could be better than last year and win fewer games. That's the nature of baseball. The Red Sox had a Pythag of a 103 win team last year. They were awesome, but they also had some close game fortune. If you just use the WAR projections from Steamer, the Red Sox are proejcted to win about 93-95 games. (if you take the 50 WAR and assume that a 0 WAR team would win 42-45 games, basically the worst teams we have seen recordwise) That seems reasonable.
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ERod will be a Top 30 pitcher or so if he can make 25-30 starts, which has been a chore for him. Eovaldi has a wide range of outcomes, but he can also could be valuable in multiple roles. Obviously the hope is he is a quality starter - something I am fairly optimistic about. The cutter changed his career.
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I just don't see why I should expect anybody to take 30% less. And if you are a team that wants to keep a guy, why would you offer 30% less? That's where I am curious. What is "all about the money"? Players can (and often do) choose better places among close offers.
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Britton was getting his usual obscene groundball rate after he signed with NYY. He is more immune to a modest velocity drop.
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If somebody makes a choice over that little, it is probably not the money alone.
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That is NEVER happening. The two choices (what to pay players, what to charge fans) have little to do with each other. Players aren't all about the money - but this is not a charity either. They are among the 700 or so best people in the world at their jobs. Henry is not as stingy as Steinbrenner, I have no issues with what he wants to spend (and obviously Miami is a much starker version). But given what the fans are asked to do, it'd be silly if he didn't.
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Anybody giving a reliever more than 3 years is playing with fire