sk7326
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Everything posted by sk7326
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It is pretty striking - I mean only Barry Bonds was even in the same neighborhood (even 20th century Bonds) when it came to delivering so much power, batting eye and contact together.
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Ted was no stranger to launch angle.
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The Rays were a 90 win team last year - there was no reason to think they'd be worse. As far as assessing teams - there is still not a ton of evidence to make great assessments. The Red Sox had an ungodly bad stretch of starting pitching against a fairly stern opening schedule, and the result is what it was. Right now, only 6 of the 15 AL teams have positive run differentials - so that is a decent indicator that the playoff chase might not be all that daunting. Granted, the A's took a while to get going last year and there is just a lot of stuff - especially in the AL West - that has yet to really unfold. The O's and Royals are the only truly terrible teams in the league.
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The annual Jackie Bradley Jr thread (2019 Edition)
sk7326 replied to Station 13's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
With both Martinez and Chavis in the lineup, someone has to portray a potted plan out there ... probably it is some sort of DH/1B/LF combination, alternating with Pearce when appropriate. -
Basically the Sox had this 2ish week stretch of unfathomably bad starting pitching. Since mid-April, that stabilized and so did the rest of the team. Our start basically kicked away a 108 win season, but all of the other things in our dreams are still fine.
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The annual Jackie Bradley Jr thread (2019 Edition)
sk7326 replied to Station 13's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
If Bradley continues to stink, putting Martinez or Chavis in LF and moving Benintendi to CF is the move ... which hurts defensively but is not fatal. -
Hitting vs. Fielding by lineup players
sk7326 replied to Maxbialystock's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
All the stats are fine - the problem is usually at the inference level. -
Hitting vs. Fielding by lineup players
sk7326 replied to Maxbialystock's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
mathematically, preventing a run is probably MORE important than scoring a run on some level. The likelihood of winning scoring 7 runs instead of 6 runs is not going to that high. I mean if you plot (using Play Index) runs scored vs winning pct, there are diminishing returns to scoring additional runs. -
the big thing has been the turnaround in starting pitching. After a 2 week trashfire, it has been among the best in the league. going forward, we'll be okay. the hope is we didn't blow too many games in the process of getting here.
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Those people are nuts - if there was a decision it was Swihart vs Leon.
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Vazquez as the starter has always made sense. There is an upside on his offense - but it's not zero. With his receiving, that is a perfectly good starter. On some basic level I like Swihart's talent better - but: (and these things can be true at the same time) 1. The Sox did not see themselves in a position to "let it ride" 2. Swihart was constantly yo-yo'd 3. He did not produce in the chances he DID have. Given all of this, Vasquez being our near-mid term starter is totally cool.
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I would think of him as a sort of Tony Phillips (for the old people) where he splits starts between 1B, 2B and LF ... his ability to play all of them non-terribly has some value even if he might not play any of them well.
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even without the PED questions - it is more likely than not he'll fall off somewhat. But he clearly can hit. The approach is legit.
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And it didn't stop them from spitting bit twice in the ALDS last year.
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I don't know - the Sox bullpen so far has been fine.
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I am skeptical of Chatham's 2019 value. Dalbec is talented but just strikes out too much to expect him to become a big league starter.* * NOTE: I am not saying that you can't be a good high strikeout hitter. But striking out over 1/3 of the time against AA pitching is a red flag.
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First, all of them are failed starters. This usually implies a couple of things: 1. Not great control 2. Only two above average pitches 3. Really violent deliveries The sample sizes for evaluating relievers is tiny. I mean a couple of bad appearances blows up most of your stats for the season. It's hard to find a lot of year to year consistency. I mean Ryan Brasier was just some random name the Sox found and he has been terrific. But he could very easily stop. Okajima was unhittable for a season and then stopped. Keith Foulke was heroic and then his arm fell off. There are a few good ones, but for the most part it's all context dependent.
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That is because of the nature of the position. Just a ton of volatility. It's just easier to throw stuff at the wall until 7 or 8 semi-reliable guys stick. Relievers are getting paid, but one inning relievers are hard to justify.
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Tampa did the most to try to improve. Honestly, the likelihood of Boston crushing the division was low just by virtue of dumb luck. This start was worse than I hoped for - but there is no reason to think this team (assuming relatively good health) can't be in the playoff mix.
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Chavis is their best prospect by far in the high minors - though Lakins and Feltman (and we've seen Lakins already) could provide some legit 2019 value. The question ultimately is whether Chavis can play 2B adequately enough - his bat clearly can play anywhere.
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After a horrific 2 weeks, the Red Sox lead the league in starters' ERA. Now it would be wrong to just pretend the first two weeks didn't happen - but there is more reason to be bullish than not.
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This isn't really true. It's 3 outs with the bases empty. There are trickier positions. Fortunately the Red Sox have a few decent options and have deployed them okay.
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I don't think they will carry that payroll for an 83 win team. But for a historically great team in a business swimming in cash? I don't know. Winning baseball is good and entertaining. I mean, the Sox did not go after Machado or Harper, because their internal options were just fine. So there are business cases for any move.
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I think the Red Sox had one of the greatest seasons in baseball history with a roster full of extremely auspiciously aged stars, and Henry is committed to maximizing the potential of that situation. He has shown no indication otherwise - as I've noted above dealing Bogaerts this offseason would have made a ton of sense if he did.
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You are operating under assumptions and constraints which make sense ... but (based on their moves) might not align with the Red Sox front office and ownership.