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sk7326

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Everything posted by sk7326

  1. sk7326
    One theory about the Volpe pick - although he is clearly a prospect in his own right - is that it might pave the way for the Yankees to use a later pick on Leiter and see if drafting one of his buddies helps convince him to sign.
  2. sk7326
    Usually when the "shoot higher" guys slip to 30 and beyond it's signability. And the system creates a strong incentive to get signable guys early - or to not mess with tough signs in the first 10 rounds unless you are confident. (related: see if the teams have some moon shots in mind for the later rounds on that basis)
  3. sk7326
    Fangraphs Longenhagen on Sox picks
  4. sk7326
    Law on Yankees Picks: (his big board goes to 100) Longenhagen on Yankees picks:
  5. sk7326
    From Law's Top 100 http://www.espn.com/mlb/insider/story/_/id/26789854/keith-law-2019-big-board-updated-top-100-draft-prospects
  6. sk7326
    Half of those contracts were ridiculous
  7. sk7326
    Longevity matters. Going to the JAWS rankings - Pedroia ranks 19th all time among 2nd basemen - smack in the middle of the pack relative to guys who actually made the hall of fame. There are guys above him with better cases - Bobby Grich and the criminally overlooked Lou Whitaker to name two - but Pedroia's case is not bad. Essentially Pedroia's profile is virtually identical to, say, Ian Kinsler's. Pedroia probably gets the nod over him though - less overall WAR but a higher peak and more hardware.
  8. sk7326
    One the two best middle infielders in Red Sox history. (Doerr was the other) Nomar was better the time he was here, but the time was limited and the injuries were what they were. The Top 20 Red Sox ever in terms of fWAR Clemens 76.8, Young 54.8, Pedro 51.9 1. Ted Williams 130.4 2. Yaz 94.8 3. Clemens 76.8 4. Boggs 70.8 5. Evans 64.3 6. Cy Young 54.8 7. Tris Speaker 54.4 8. Bobby Doerr 53.3 9. Pedro 51.9 10. Rice 50.3 11. Papi 48.8 12. Pedroia 47.1 13. Fisk 38.3 14. Foxx 37.6 15. Dom Dimaggio, Lefty Grove 34.6 Pedro is the best pitcher I ever saw, but Clemens did produce more for the Red Sox overall and that cannot be discounted.
  9. sk7326
    What is interesting is that Pedroia - at the point of the signing - was pretty durable. There were no indicators his body would fall apart - the 8 years was rich but the team was correct in that he'd be a screaming bargain if he could stay on the field. Of course his fortunes turned in 2015 and never got better healthwise.
  10. sk7326
    At his age, the power has still to come
  11. sk7326
    he's one of the three greatest infielders in the eleventy-billion year history of the Red Sox ... and possibly the greatest middle infielder in franchise history (and definitely one of the top two). He did all he could - and he remained a good player until his body failed him. Shame it has to end but father time is undefeated.
  12. sk7326
    you can't hit a ball much harder than the balls Bogaerts and Devers hit
  13. sk7326
    BTW: It is very bad for baseball that the flagship MLB Network announcers are so crotchety and ill-informed. This is really bad.
  14. sk7326
    For fangraphs, he has been the league's worst regular by a mile over Travis Shaw, partially because UZR does not like his defense as much as the eye test. (my operating theory has been that Betts has hurt him in the area of defensive measurement)
  15. sk7326
    Aaron used greenies instead
  16. sk7326
    Oh he advocated solid contact, but he was trying to get backspin and all of that good stuff. Really all the mystical woo around launch angle and exit velocity is silly ... it's just ways to measure stuff Williams and others understood qualitatively.
  17. sk7326
    It is pretty striking - I mean only Barry Bonds was even in the same neighborhood (even 20th century Bonds) when it came to delivering so much power, batting eye and contact together.
  18. sk7326
    Ted was no stranger to launch angle.
  19. sk7326
    The Rays were a 90 win team last year - there was no reason to think they'd be worse. As far as assessing teams - there is still not a ton of evidence to make great assessments. The Red Sox had an ungodly bad stretch of starting pitching against a fairly stern opening schedule, and the result is what it was. Right now, only 6 of the 15 AL teams have positive run differentials - so that is a decent indicator that the playoff chase might not be all that daunting. Granted, the A's took a while to get going last year and there is just a lot of stuff - especially in the AL West - that has yet to really unfold. The O's and Royals are the only truly terrible teams in the league.
  20. sk7326
    With both Martinez and Chavis in the lineup, someone has to portray a potted plan out there ... probably it is some sort of DH/1B/LF combination, alternating with Pearce when appropriate.
  21. sk7326
    Basically the Sox had this 2ish week stretch of unfathomably bad starting pitching. Since mid-April, that stabilized and so did the rest of the team. Our start basically kicked away a 108 win season, but all of the other things in our dreams are still fine.
  22. sk7326
    If Bradley continues to stink, putting Martinez or Chavis in LF and moving Benintendi to CF is the move ... which hurts defensively but is not fatal.
  23. sk7326
    All the stats are fine - the problem is usually at the inference level.
  24. sk7326
    mathematically, preventing a run is probably MORE important than scoring a run on some level. The likelihood of winning scoring 7 runs instead of 6 runs is not going to that high. I mean if you plot (using Play Index) runs scored vs winning pct, there are diminishing returns to scoring additional runs.
  25. sk7326
    the big thing has been the turnaround in starting pitching. After a 2 week trashfire, it has been among the best in the league. going forward, we'll be okay. the hope is we didn't blow too many games in the process of getting here.
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