Jump to content
Red Sox game thread is live — join the discussion for tonight's game at Toronto! ×
Talk Sox
  • Create Account

sk7326

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    7,659

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Profiles

Boston Red Sox Videos

2026 Boston Red Sox Top Prospects Ranking

Boston Red Sox Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2025 Boston Red Sox Draft Pick Tracker

News

2026 Boston Red Sox Draft Tracker: Picks & Bonuses

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by sk7326

  1. sk7326
    Some fun research on outfield defense and jump https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/jump?year=2019&min=q
  2. sk7326
    1. There is a lot of variability in the lists - ESPN and Fangraphs, BA and MLB have full time people on the job, so the lists all have credibility. The methods differ too, so you get some diversity. (fangraphs and ESPN scout the prospects themselves) 2. Ultimately signability matters in a lot of these choices. Remember, the Sox HAVE to sign their Top 10 picks to claim all of the pool money. I think from the picks it's pretty clear they are going to try to find some bonus money for Keane who they took in Round 11. Faltine in Round 39 I am assuming will honor his Texas commit (he doesn't last to Round 39 if he showed any inclination of signing). You have to assume that the college seniors the Sox took in Rounds 6-10 are there more or less because they will allow them to save pool money for Keane. (Dalton and Scott are probably org guys who will take the $10K bonus happily)
  3. sk7326
    Keith Law's writeup on AL draft classes http://insider.espn.com/mlb/insider/story/_/id/26905439/keith-law-2019-mlb-draft-recap-al-team-team-breakdown
  4. sk7326
    Well growing up the #3 hitter was seen as where the best hitter should go. I think the reasons were still the same considerations (getting at bats vs getting RBI chances) - but now the industry has figured out that #2 is better. Now it doesn't matter a whole lot. But in an individual game, you want to take every edge possible.
  5. sk7326
    It is the big question with Dalbec ultimately. Can he make enough contact? Being a three true outcomes guy at the plate is fine, but this much swing and miss against guys who are largely not going to make the bigs is a huge red flag. It's basically the red flag Moncada had. Now - like Moncada, maybe Dalbec can make enough hard contact to get by. But the empirical evidence is dicey.
  6. sk7326
    It's still about upside - and the relative non-issues with TJS. The upside of a guy with some legitimate #2/#3 starter profile is always going to be up there a bit. Really, Duran's leap is the great story of the farm system. It shows that things change - all the time. Dalbec is getting on base - but he strikes out so much against AA pitching.
  7. sk7326
    If he was going for sure - he would enter the bigs as a 24 year old for the 2022 season. 4th round is way too high to pick him at that point aside from being a senior sign to save pool money. Taking him in the 4th means the Red Sox think there is a chance for an exemption. The longtime policy is that Sox'll have to wait 2 years - but there had been some political movement in recent years to try to allow postponement of service. Who knows.
  8. sk7326
    Lugo probably will crack the Top 10 - Song could crack the Top 15 but it is all about whether he has to serve his navy commitment or not.
  9. sk7326
    I think we're at the part of the draft where senior signs are flying off the board for bonus saving purposes
  10. sk7326
    Given what the industry is making, Harper's deal is frankly kind of a value ... Betts' slow start still puts him 10th in the AL in bWAR. By your criteria, the $30M a year bar is "Mike Trout and nobody else". And that would be really underpaid for Trout.
  11. sk7326
    Noah Song Longenhagen Jaxxon Groshans #49 misc college bat per Fangraphs
  12. sk7326
    Given the incumbents, I don't think anything that quick happens here ... HOWEVER, like Ellsbury, Duran is a college bat with an elite tool (speed).
  13. sk7326
    Ryan Zeferjahn Law: Longenhagen
  14. sk7326
    Middlebrooks was a better athlete. Really that he got to the bigs that quickly was a testament to that. He was a two sport guy who just had not played all that much baseball. Chavis has played more baseball than Middlebrooks has, and it does show in the more mature approach at the plate.
  15. sk7326
    He has also shown he can lay off of it.
  16. sk7326
    Right - a requirement of the situation is that a hitter can still turn on something inside, otherwise there is no incentive for pitchers to do anything else.
  17. sk7326
    Jarren Duran hit 2 HRs in his last year at LBSU and already has 4 on the farm - it's an impressive story. Now as a college signee you expect him to move quick, but getting to Portland already is good.
  18. sk7326
    I think with both of them - since they were looking to hit fly balls anyway, they looked at the shifts are relatively unimportant. What I wonder is whether the shifts will open up a chance for speedy slap hitters again. The problem is that to get to those slaps and to set the defense to shift on you, you have to be able to turn on inside stuff with at least SOME authority.
  19. sk7326
    That is a very hard call for the umps to make in real time - it means there has to be a simultaneous view of the baserunner and the ball as it leaves the field of play. You almost have to go to replay to feel good about it.
  20. sk7326
    Middlebrooks came up on a BABIP hot streak. It was clear that at some point that would fade. What is clear is that Chavis can clearly hit - he has a real approach and stuff.
  21. sk7326
    The shifting has gotten more precise. What I find interesting is that - longer term - you'd think that there would be a real market for an Otis Nixon of yore - who can make slap contact into the vacated SS or 3B hole and get on base that way. That seems like a natural counter which has not been deployed as much as one would think - at least not yet.
  22. sk7326
    One theory about the Volpe pick - although he is clearly a prospect in his own right - is that it might pave the way for the Yankees to use a later pick on Leiter and see if drafting one of his buddies helps convince him to sign.
  23. sk7326
    Usually when the "shoot higher" guys slip to 30 and beyond it's signability. And the system creates a strong incentive to get signable guys early - or to not mess with tough signs in the first 10 rounds unless you are confident. (related: see if the teams have some moon shots in mind for the later rounds on that basis)
  24. sk7326
    Fangraphs Longenhagen on Sox picks
  25. sk7326
    Law on Yankees Picks: (his big board goes to 100) Longenhagen on Yankees picks:
×
×
  • Create New...