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FredLynn

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Everything posted by FredLynn

  1. FredLynn
    There was an analysis posted on another Sox board regarding pitchers who pitched very well for one year (eg: Beckett in 2007) and then had an off year or two and their chances of coming back to excel again. As it turns out, those pitchers are few and far between. I think Greg Maddux was on the list, but I can't recall who else was there. The numbers do not favor Beckett coming back and pitching well enough to justify his roughly $16M/yr salary for four years. He has also lost velocity off his fastball, and it seems to have straightened out somewhat over the years. Unfortunately, he is the key to our rotation this year. Lester and Bucky are going to be good, though probably not as good as last year. Lackey will not change much, most likely, and DiceK is a good #5 SP, ie, he sucks and whatever we get out of him is gravy. The Yankees starting rotation once you get past CC, however, is a joke.
  2. FredLynn
    Regarding Wakeflood: his ERA was over 5 last season and its over 7 this spring training. Its time for Timmy to hang up the horseshoes. He should not be allowed to take up a valuable roster spot and replace someone who can actually pitch.
  3. FredLynn
    He had his labrum "cleaned up". The labrum is the cartilage that comprises the socket of the ball and socket joint that makes up the shoulder. Its a weird joint, unstable mechanically unless the musculature around it (=the "rotator cuff") is strong. It would looks sort of like a volleyball articulating with a tea saucer. Too shallow; too big a ball. The hip also has a labrum, and thats what screwed up Mike Lowell. Cartilage in the body doesn't grow back, unfortunately. Thats why so many people need joint replacements. The injured shoulder in Gonzalez's case is in his non-throwing arm; however, when they go mucking around with cartilage, the possibility for permanently screwing things up is very real. Yes, I am a doctor.
  4. FredLynn
    His legal last name was "Abaladildo"; for obvious reasons he had it changed
  5. FredLynn
    The Giants have hit a bit of a skid lately. With Lester and Buchholtz going in this series, we have a decent chance of taking two of three and coming home 3-3 for the roadtrip, which has to be viewed as a success. I will be there for Sunday's game, Lincecum vs Lester. Should be a great game.
  6. FredLynn
  7. FredLynn
    Pretty bigoted post there...what does one have to do to get banned from this forum?
  8. FredLynn
    By the way: its 3-0 Padres.
  9. FredLynn
    I am going to have to plead "Newbie" then Spud...and hope that this is a board where evidenced based opinions of all posters are respected, if debated.
  10. FredLynn
  11. FredLynn
    JD has been just great when he plays...very productive and a solid defensive RF. I have no problem with him. He does seem to be injury prone though.
  12. FredLynn
    Darnell McDonald has done great so far; no doubt about it. He is a career minor league player whose career BA is .251 in the majors with an OPS of .659. More than likely he will begin to regress towards his career stats. Daniel Nava is a great prospect, but still just a prospect-one who would benefit by some seasoning in the minor leagues. He went from A to AA in 09 and from AAA to the majors in 2010. Too much too fast to expect from this kid. The ODDS are that he too will regress if he is not given time in the minors that he needs to develop. As SPUD said, Hermida is a flop; and Cameron is playing hurt and in doing so is hurting the team. Drew has been productive but has a history of frequent injuries and not being willing to play through them. Who knows when Ellsbury will be back..my guess is August. Sure we need bullpen help; that in no way precludes our need for an excellent OF too.
  13. FredLynn
    Look at the bottom four in our lineup tonite. Pretty large black hole there against the best pitcher in baseball. I sure hope that our GM is on the phone right now trying to get us some high quality OF help, like David Dejesus. Up until now, Nava and McDonald have overperformed, but that won't last. We've got a tough stretch of games coming up and I would hate to see this group populate our OF for the next 20 games or so.
  14. FredLynn
    But here is a picture of the moderator over there: http://i303.photobucket.com/albums/nn146/Castorp20008/sad-clown.jpg
  15. FredLynn
  16. FredLynn
    HAHAHA And you said the stat discussion was from boredom......
  17. FredLynn
    Fastball at 95 right on the corner to get Montero. Great pitch
  18. FredLynn
    A reasonable way to look at it. Lets take out BOTH the Sox and the Angels then and look at the rest of the teams with a larger sample size-all of 09. Average runs scored by the ALE per team (no Sox): 814 Average runs scored by the ALW per team (no LAA): 728 Difference: 11.8% No matter how you look at it, the ALW is a much more "pitcher friendly" division to pitch in than the ALE. So I guess the whole point of this discussion is that we should expect that John Lackey will not do as well here as he did there. I think its going to be about 10% worse. We'll see how it works out.
  19. FredLynn
    OOPS Here are the correct numbers: ALE: 1610 runs, average 322 per team ALW: 1151 runs, average 288 per team Difference: still 11.8% Thats what happens when you do it manually. Sorry
  20. FredLynn
    Beltre should be running here
  21. FredLynn
    Nice piece of hitting by Martinez.
  22. FredLynn
    Runs scored in 2010 by the ALE: 1290 Runs scored in 2010 by the ALW: 1151 Difference: 139 Percentage more runs scored by the ALE vs the ALW: 12% Thats significant. Its a LOT tougher in the ALE. He is never going to have the numbers in Boston that he had in LA. Probably 10% worse...give or take
  23. FredLynn
    He also had the A's and Mariners; not real offensive powerhouses-currently #12 and 13 in runs scored in the AL. The entire ALE offensively are in the top 6 with the Yankees, Sox, and Rays in the top three spots. He is not going to do as well in the ALE. He will be a serviceable #3 or maybe #4 SP for a contending team. Fortunately, Lester and Buchholtz are aces and we don't need him to be an ace. He will never be one.
  24. FredLynn
    Welcome to the AL East Mr Lackey: hope you enjoyed your time playing where our weaker sisters play.
  25. FredLynn
    Lackey is well off his career stats: ERA: 3.85, WHIP: 1.320, BBs/9: 2.7 You have to wonder how much of his good ERA comes from playing in Anaheim. Still, he should improve. He will never be an "ace" IMO; nor will Beckett.
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