rjortiz
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Everything posted by rjortiz
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Would you like to elaborate? I should also qualify that I mean in an elimination game. Also, I shouldn't say all bullpen. A starter would obviously be needed toward the end of the game.
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7/10 with seven on the road is bold. ESPN.com has Peavy, Doubront, Lackey, and Lester against the Yankees. I'm guessing a split on the road. Not sure what the Rays are going to look like next week. I'm guessing it's going to be Price, Cobb, and Archer, because they can skip Hernandez/Hellickson with Monday off. We'll probably pitch Buchholz, Peavy, and Doubront. I'll guess 1/3 on the road. Then we get the Yankees at home, which will probably look like Lackey, Lester, Buchholz vs. Kuroda, Sabathia, Pettitte. I think we at least win 2/3, if not all three. My guess is 5/10. Even if the Rays were to win all three series (@Mariners, vs Red Sox, @Twins), they'd only pick up a game. Assuming they are 4.5 out by the time the Yankees series starts, that would leave them 3.5 out 14 to go. We could go 5-6 in our remaining 11, which would force them to go 10-4. Also, working against them is no days off after the 9th, which is going to force them to use a five man rotation.
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Really depends on his next rehab start. Apparently he was at 94 his last one, so that is an encouraging sign. He also didn't walk anyone.
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FU Dead $ux fan. Hope you like cheering on Big Poopy, and Shane Dickorino!
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Obviously
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$panks? Why not just call the Rays the Gays while you're at it?
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I'm curious to see what the odds are tomorrow. I'm guessing that it's anywhere from +110 to -110 for the Sox.
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I wonder when we'll see a team that forgoes the starting pitcher and goes all bullpen. It's arguable that a team like the Rangers would be better off not using their fourth starter, and starting the game with their bullpen.
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It's already over. The Yankees have to jump two teams, and would have to win at an absurd clip to catch up. 0.2% chance of winning the division.
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The "Skankees" are nine out with 24 to play. Assuming we go 12-12, they would have to go 21-3 to catch up.
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Haha, for real. That's the worst f***ing commercial I've ever seen.
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I think that it would be banking too much on a win the day your ace pitches. If by some chance he loses that start, then there's a good chance that he doesn't make another one in a five game series, and even if he did it would most likely be against the other team's ace on full rest.
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I agree with this. I assumed that this was already known, and was more interested in the impact of pitching probables on winning a series.
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I think that has more to do with baseball being a crapshoot in general, not that the theory is incorrect. Not facing an ace twice improves your chances of winning the series, but I think too many people ridiculously inflate the winning probability when an ace is on the mound.
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That's very true.
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Who's the next Daniel Nava (pleasant surprise out of nowhere)?
rjortiz replied to Dojji's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Does Mookie Betts count? -
Fangraphs gives us a 91% chance to win the division as of this morning. I'm starting to think our focus should be on home-field advantage throughout the playoffs now. Tigers are projected to finish with 95 wins, the Red Sox at 96. Hopefully, we can take 2/3 to get some breathing room.
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Good postseason preview here. Red Sox -138 today. Like the Red Sox, but not with that much juice.
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Probably 30-31. 9 Olympic sprinters as fielders 9 DH's 12-13 pitchers
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Sweep wouldn't surprise me, but I'll go with the more conservative approach at say 2/3. BTW, the best in-flight option is 6 klonopins.
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You could look at BsR, or WAR.
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Not at all. He could even be worse. I don't understand your point though. I haven't denied this possibility. On the other hand, you have stated that there is "no logical explantion" to expect an improvement.
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He's really good, but he's not even remotely close to Scherzer.
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Would it be unreasonable to suggest that Rodney could have a BABIP closer to .285 as opposed to .309, and that his walk rate could be closer to 11.5% as opposed to 13.3%?
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We are just going to have to agree to disagree about this. This is becoming more of an argument of the definition of the word awful. What about them? I see a bunch of dots on a graph. They only tell us where and how the ball crossed/missed the strike zone. They say absolutely nothing about intent, and even if they did, you are showing me a graph of one player. You would have to demonstrate that players with similar graphs/intent had a high enough correlating effect on BABIP. We could judge the argument based on that data.