Well I do think one change we can make to our early spring posts with regard to 1,2 3 in the Sox rotation is that most of us contended that the success of those three was a critical component to any chances that the Sox had. Those comments including my own were made in the complete vacuum of data with regard to Doubront and Bard. We had hopes for those two and I had high hopes for them expressed here several times.
Buch looks kinda' vulnerable at the moment but I no longer think that is the total disaster it was once considered to be. Buch has some issues to work out but Doubront and Bard are already pitching better than Buch is pitching at the moment. We have Cook and dice coming. So I do think some of the pressure is off Buch as a component of the 1,2 3 rotation argument.
While the league has not really had one shuffle through even within divisions yet, I am still somewhat concerned with the ease with which fairly middling pitchers, some midway through recoveries can shut down the current offense. Granted the current offense does not have Ells and CC. However CC is not a carbon copy of Ells though people like to project him as such and Ells recovery will be slow this year.
The A's offense is truly pitiful. So, I will be looking less at what we do with the A's offense (unless they torch us in which case I might jump to the head of that Tobin Bridge line) and more at how our offense performs the next couple of games. This is the bottom end of the A's rotation and other than Buch I have been touting my opinion here that our 4 and 5 will best most 4's and 5's that they face. We get to put that to the test again in the next few games.
I would like to see us beat up on these guys at the bottom end of the A's rotation but will be most interested to see how they handle Milone tonight.
All you can really do this time of the year is try to find key match ups and see how players perform in those instances. For example, While Lester had a great outing his last time out, he failed pretty badly when he had a shot as the Sox #1 starter to play the traditional role of stopper in the start before that and in fact has not filled that role adequately in the entire period from the start of 2011 when it has been expected of him. That is a fairly long period of time making it hard to just ignore it. So I still have questions about Lester as a 1 and don't see him as a plus there yet. Getting sort of stomped by the metal of the AL at the start of the season was not particularly encouraging either but it was early and we were unable to put our best foot forward in most instances.
Beckett has done enough for me to see him as a solid 2, not more not less. Buch is a question mark as a 3 and Doubront and Bard are pluses as the 4 and the 5.
The offense has been great at times against pretty crummy pitching and has been stifled at times by pitchers that you would not think would dominate them to such a degree. I still don't see this as a pitching and defense oriented team so the offense must score. Frankly I am glad it is Milone tonight as this might be another of those early season match up games that gives us the means for some early benchmarking of this year's Sox especially as it relates to left handers. He is not great, he is not terrible. He should not show signs of dominance even over a Sox offense that lacks Ells and CC. If anything Ells and CC would not be as critical against a left hander anyway.
After tonight most of my interest will likely be focused on the 4 and 5 rotation comparison questions. If we can continue to put our guys in the plus column over the guys they face, that has got to be a very good thing for us.