I thought he did really really well.
- Lester for Cespedes. It's a bit of a bummer that they didn't get more years of control, but they got a proven MLB bat that will hit 40 HR at Fenway. Hits to all fields. It's not perfect, but this year alone, Cespedes has hit 5 balls to LF in OAK that were outs that would have been either doubles or homers at Fenway. Consider also the massive foul ball territory, and he's probably good for a .270/.335/.500 line (which, according to Szymborski, ZIPS has him at .274/.327/.486, and thats generally conservative offensively). They also traded him to a situation where there is virtually no risk of resigning, and there are already many reports out that they're going to go hard after him in the offseason. I'm not sure what prospect packages were available, but I know none of the Dodgers were, and I know if you're looking at someone like Bell from the Pirates, he's in the low minors, and thus is a long way away. All these moves were made with an eye toward 2015, which I approve of.
Lackey for Kelly & Craig - Kind of a weird deal, but I like this deal for the Sox. Craig is underperforming right now, but from 2011-2013, he hit .312/.364/.500, which is a 139 wRC+. That's better than Goldschmidt, Beltre, Longo, Tulo, and plenty of other players (its 16th best in all of baseball). He's a pull hitter who, at Fenway, will probably help him get rewarded for some balls he's making good enough contact on to bang off the wall but is a flyout elsewhere. He's signed to a very team friendly deal considering the production that he's capable of providing. Joe Kelly is having a bit of a down year, but I want to see what Farrell and Nieves can do for him. The stuff is outrageous. 96-98 with plus sink, 54.3% GB rate. He's struggled this year, but he's got a .330 BABIP and a low strand rate (70.3%). He's probably a solid #3, but I can see him having a few mid-3 ERA seasons. Also - he's not arbitration eligible until 2016 and isn't a FA until 2019.
Those were the big deals. I don't know much about the Orioles prospect the Sox got.
Overall though, I thought Ben did really, really well. He could have gone after a few prospects, but for me, give me a guy like Craig and Kelly who have proven MLB track records, maybe having a bit of a down year, but have excellent ceilings over a prospect who may have a couple extra years of control but have massive risk attached to them, and who knows how much they struggle when they arrive.
Oh, and for Fred, Craig hit .454/.500/.638 in 152 PA with RISP last year. He's having a down year all around but certainly a guy who can bounce back easy. Cespedes is hitting .291/.351/.513 w RISP this year.