Jump to content
Talk Sox
  • Create Account

Palodios

Old-Timey Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    14,089

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Profiles

Boston Red Sox Videos

2026 Boston Red Sox Top Prospects Ranking

Boston Red Sox Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2025 Boston Red Sox Draft Pick Tracker

News

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by Palodios

  1. Palodios
    I'm game. You guys need someone to beat on.
  2. Palodios
    The Yanks have finished 2nd and 3rd the last two seasons, and their team has not added or subtracted much major talent. They need everything to fall their way to get back to October.
  3. Palodios
    Clay Buchholz made up t-shirts for all the starters that say "I'm the ace" on them. It is hilarious, but I am also glad he is taking up hobbies that involve soft materials like cloth. I hope he takes up pillow forts and feather collecting next.
  4. Palodios
    Apparently the Blue Jays' top prospect is a homeless man. http://espn.go.com/espn/feature/story/_/id/12420393/top-blue-jays-prospect-daniel-norris-lives-own-code
  5. Palodios
    I remember making a player evaluation based on twitter followers once, it didn't go so well. Excellent otherwise.
  6. Palodios
    There is a lot of good vibes coming from this team. Everyone arrived very early to camp. The starters have become quick friends. Hanley/Ortiz/Pablo seem to get along very well. Xander and Pedroia have been working out together all offseason. The atmosphere feels a lot like 2013.
  7. Palodios
    http://www.theonion.com/articles/yankees-rookie-nervously-tells-arod-how-much-he-us,38117/
  8. Palodios
    Many of the all time great teams have a top notch reliever. I am just looking at the last World Series teams... Rivera, Papelbon, Koji, Wilson, even the underappreciated Sergio Romo. The 2008 had a great season from Brad Lidge. Motte had a good season in there too. Look at the Tigers -- they've had the best hitter in baseball and a pile of Cy Youngs but can't seem to win a title because of bullpen problems. Sure there are a handful like the awful Isringhausen for the 2006 Cardinals, but there is definitely merit to having a shutdown guy at the end of the game. This time next year, we'll be talking about Koji's historical 2015 season.
  9. Palodios
    Workman had a 0.00 ERA over 8.2 innings in the 2013 postseason. That bullpen had many heroes.
  10. Palodios
    First spring training lineup. Looks surprisingly close to what we'd expect. Betts CF, Pedroia 2B, Ortiz DH, Ramirez LF, Sandoval 3B, Napoli 1B, Victorino RF, Bogaerts SS Vazquez C Buchholz P
  11. Palodios
    Hanley seems like a given. However, the Red Sox need to pick 3 of these guys: Castillo, Betts, Nava, Craig, Victorino, Bradley, possibly even Brentz. I am not convinced that Victorino and Craig are two of the best from that group.
  12. Palodios
    Strange that only those two are fighting for spots. Maybe Hanley gets a guarantee, but the other 6 outfielders should all be fighting for their opportunities.
  13. Palodios
    In all fairness, I phrased it as "Cafardo wonders", not "Cafardo is hearing reports from". I too, am wondering about what the Red Sox are going to do to solve the outfield logjam.
  14. Palodios
    Baseball America's top 100 usually kicks off the prospect season. The Red Sox seem stocked again, hopefully this will finally be the year these guys add big value to the majors. #17 Swihart #21 Castillo #44 Owens #59 Rodriguez #73 Margot #82 Johnson #99 Devers Moncada must fit in there somewhere, and there were a ton of players on the "just missed list" including Barnes, Cecchini, Chavis, Escobar, Kopech and Marrero.
  15. Palodios
    Carfado is wondering if the Blue Jays or Angels might be interested in Red Sox outfielders through the Hamilton issues / Saunders injury. Hopefully everyone has good springs.
  16. Palodios

    Celtics

    Palodios replied to Ogden's topic in Other Sports

    We somehow got to watch the game from an unsold suite for cheap. Obviously enjoyed the game quite a bit, but this team needs a few more years, even if they make the playoffs.
  17. Palodios
    I would pay good money to have my Boston Globe from the 2013 championship signed by Ben Cherrington.
  18. Palodios
    He's also suffered some sleep apnea for most of his life. What do you think he can do when he gets a full nights sleep in an extremely protected lineup?
  19. Palodios
    I was under the impression that they didn't get along very well. Okajima also got a 3 million dollar signing bonus.
  20. Palodios
    Who was he a friend of? Dice-K?
  21. Palodios
    I just don't like using free-agent-only dollar/WAR value. It is heavily skewed by big free agent busts, and overvalues the low end players. The MLB value is closer to 2-3 million per WAR. I found an interest article that breaks up different positions... Apparently the free agent RP dollar/fWAR is 17 million. That's nuts. Free agent catcher value is only 4.2 million, and SS is 4.1. Catcher dWar might be an issue there, but those are two positions stocked with plenty of mediocre talent where you can can always find bargains.
  22. Palodios
    I would argue that the 7 million dollar number you keep using isn't a fair assessment of mediocre players. Maybe a guy with 5 WAR is worth 35 million, but is a guy worth 1 WAR worth 7 million? Look at Nick Punto. He's a mediocre journeyman. He's compiled 15 WAR over 14 years in the majors. Do you think the guy is worth 105 million over his career? He has only made 20 million.
  23. Palodios
    The problem is that we, and the Red Sox are assuming that Mookie Betts is going to be worth 90 million (minus 40 million). The prospect burnout rate is roughly around 60-70%. We've seen WMB, Bradley, Lavarnway, Bard, Buchholz and others look like studs for the future, but it doesn't always turn out that way.
  24. Palodios
    Swihart for Hamels is too high a price. However, there is a point where the Red Sox need to just use probable success rate when calculating evaluations of these prospects. It seems like the Red Sox often and are blinded by potential, and don't see the 70% bust rate. That being said, I commend their decades-long strategy of holding onto the high ceiling pieces, and trading away the ones with high floors.
  25. Palodios
    Let me clarify my math. If the Red Sox get stupid, and trade Swihart one-for-one. Swihart's value isn't just WAR x value per win. It is (WAR x value per win) - contract cost. If he performs, you're probably looking at 25-30 million in contracts. Consider the glaring 30-40% probability of top prospects reaching their ceilings. That being said, the Red Sox don't value Hummus at 155, they value him at 120-130. My argument was a bit unclear, but the Red Sox could have gotten Hummus at a better value than Lester.
×
×
  • Create New...