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SoxSport

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  1. SoxSport
    Yeah, like wins for pitchers which seems almost irrelevant today in cy voting. That will help Schilling in the future. Think he has a good shot based on post-season record.
  2. SoxSport
    Trying to piece together the current chatter: Jen Royle on twitter says Red Sox and Napoli aren't talking right now. Don't know what that means. Are they are going in a different direction? They certainly are exploring. Cherington said pretty much the same thing on WEEI yesterday he's been saying--they're still interested in signing Napoli. He also said they still like Gomez and he will get a good look at 1B in ST. They say they are interested in other names out there being mentioned, but their plan B options keep getting smaller, and they don't want to deal prospects. Gomez is an in-house option they can always fall back on, but he's still pretty much untested. I don't know if somebody like Smoak looks much better. As an add-on here, Rosenthal says they have contacted the Nats about Morse. I understand he's a below-norm outfielder and barely average at 1B. But he might hit a ton in Fenway and is much cheaper than Napoli at $7mil for one year--then a FA? They are a good trade match with expendable LHP in BP.
  3. SoxSport
    He'll make it if he can put together another half dozen good years. #3000 hits isn't written in stone as a HOF requirement. It's the makeup of the player and all-around performance.
  4. SoxSport
    It's at a point where Napoli increasingly looks risky. He could be a disaster, or he could hit a ton at Fenway next year--like he did last September after a terrible season. They are gambling on a lot of money with this guy, considering the concerns they have about his hip. It's possible the only team really interested in Napoli is Boston. But then, maybe not. We don't know what's wrong with him. Nobody's talking. In the meantime, their plan B options are drying up.
  5. SoxSport
    Can't understand why people write off guys who have had just a cup of coffee up with the Red Sox, and haven't done half bad. You got to have a little bit of patience with these young guys who haven't been in the Show before. I saw this guy Gomez play a game at 1b, and he made a nice play on a grounder. That tells me he's not Dick Stuart. His minor league fielding numbers at 1B are decent. They are not at 3B, and naturally the Red Sox played him at 3B a few times last year. Offensively, he's done well in AAA recently. MVP season. He comes up, hits .275, doesn't show much power in limited appearances. He has done enough to deserve a further look--to see if he can show some Fenway pop. You got to be persistent with these guys coming out of the minors. Teams like TB give their youngsters plenty of opportunity to succeed. While teams like the Red Sox keep signing downside veterans, keeping younger players blocked. Baseball is a game of ability and confidence. It takes time to develop confidence going to the next level.
  6. SoxSport
    Pedey is pretty close to Biggio as a player. Similar roles and impact. Biggio will be a HOFer in the next year or two. Pedey will get there, too.
  7. SoxSport
    Morse doesn't want to DH, so it will have to be a team that plays him in the field. The Red Sox could be that team, if they would end their love affair with Napoli.
  8. SoxSport
    Morse is a plum waiting to be picked. Hope the Yankees don't get him. 30 HR guy in Fenway. High OBP.
  9. SoxSport
    A cortisone shot might do that. Might not. If they sign this guy, and it comes out he has a degenerating condition with his hip, there will be hell to pay with the fans and the media. The fact they wouldn't give LaRoche 3 years is a sign they are only willing to go 2 years on Napoli now. They weren't going to give LaRoche any more than what they are giving Napoli. At least that's what it looks like to me. What they should do now is trade for Morse, who needs a fulltime job. He's a better hitter than LaRoche and can play the OF as well as 1B.
  10. SoxSport
    http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2013/01/red-sox-hopeful-they-can-complete-napoli-deal.html?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter See "Healy" comment below the trade rumors blog. Hip condition could be bursitis-arthritis--treated with cortisone injections. Don't know who Healy is, but may know something. In retrospect, this is speculation, as nobody in the media has anything on the medical report. Another commentor said Napoli had a good September. I checked his 2012 stats. He had a good April and September (7 hrs , OPS>.9 both months, BA .250s), but terrible the months in between. Tough call on what that means.
  11. SoxSport
    Hey, this is ridiculous. Now they're saying Napoli has an arthritic hip--a deteriorating condition. And they are still hopeful of signing him! You walk away from a guy with an arthritic hip. Not for any kind of money. Crazy to sign this guy.
  12. SoxSport
    The trouble with the Sox is their top starters have ERAs over 4. That puts a lot of pressure on the hitters. That has to change this year, or Farrell will fail. The hitting is never good enough on the road to offset bad pitching.
  13. SoxSport
    He was a good pitcher when healthy for the Angels, but always sucked at Fenway. Of course, the Angels always sucked at Fenway as well until the Red Sox declined the last few years. Lackey pitched in Boston with a bad elbow. That's clear now. I expect him to be much better, but it will take him some time to get sharp again.
  14. SoxSport
    Correct there. Salary is everything.
  15. SoxSport
    OK. I'll bite. What good is a guy who throws 200 innings with an ERA over 4? Quality starts, by the way, are not a highly regarded stat, since 3 ER's over 6 innings gives an ERA of 4.50 --which sucks. It's been pointed out that a guy who throws a complete game and gives up 4 earned runs--all in the first 6 innings--does not get a quality start. Most top pitchers who throw "quality" starts have much lower ERAs. 2 ERs over 6 innings would be much better quality and typical of the top pitchers.
  16. SoxSport
    Which premise are you talking about? That the Yankees don't stock their team with LHd hitters because of their ballpark? That's bunk. Show some data please. And it isn't all about HRs.
  17. SoxSport
    Heck, of course they should run with him. But he has to return to his 2010 form to compete for an OF spot. The OF situation is still fluid for he and Nava, especially when you consider Ellsbury has a good chance of being traded by midseason. He certainly isn't going to be re-signed.One thing that would hasten Ells' departure is if Kalish shows something in ST.
  18. SoxSport
    Lackey will probably be better next year--when they have him for cheap. At least he won't have to pay taxes then. This year, I doubt he'll be 100% for the first half year. Wainright was not right until the 2nd half last year. My guess is one of those pitching prospects will be in the rotation by mid-season--out of necessity. Figure on at least one of those starters getting hurt or crapping the bed. Dempster comes to mind. He figures to be a Molotov cocktail at Fenway and Yankee stadium.
  19. SoxSport
    I doubt anything Cherington does is on his own. Not after the Epstein experience. The strategy of short term contracts and not losing draft picks was probably agreed on by the higher ups. The players they signed for bigger money short term are the over 30 guys they have traditionally avoided and who are coming off bad years. Indeed, one of them, Napoli, appears to be damaged goods. The result is they are once again with their backs against the luxury cap--after being taken off the hook by the Dodgers. That's the main problem.They have no money room to manuever the next 2-3 years except to trade. That makes Ellsbury a goner for sure--though he would have been gone anyways, I suspect. Ells just hasn't shown any consistency, with injuries, etc. And Bradley's development at this point makes Ells expendable. I question the short term quality they got for the money they spent, and I'm concerned that they may have blocked some of their best prospects near term who might be ready within the 2-3 year window.
  20. SoxSport
    What it boils down to is whether they got enough QUALITY for all the money they have spent pre-season. It looks to me as though they sacrificed quality for 2-3 year contracts and retention of their draft picks.
  21. SoxSport
    Anybody can "eat innings." The question is how many quality starts? Eat innings is a bunch of BS. What good is a guy who pitches 200 innings with an ERA over 5? It's about quality starts.
  22. SoxSport
    Money does make a difference. Plus Yankee stadium has always been their secret weapon. They tailor their teams to its asymmetry.
  23. SoxSport
    The Red Sox had deep problems in their organization. That resulted in way overspending for $20 million dollar guys with long contracts who underachieved. They had no luxury cap room to maneuver. Kind of like the Yankees right now. The Dodgers saved them by taking all those expensive contracts off their hands. The Red Sox are trying to correct their organizational problems. Whether Farrell, a new coaching staff, and some additions to the FO are going to solve their problems is hard to say. Their strategy of filling the team with 3 yr contracts of declining veterans and keeping a lid on their prospects is open to question. It isn't such a conservative approach when you consider they have spent themselves back up close to the luxury cap and have pushed some of their prospects back 2-3 years. That's not what a small market team would do. Even TB wouldn't do it that way. We'll have to see how it pans out. If any of those veteran signings doesn't hack it, it'll be deja vu all over again, and no Dodgers to bail them out this time.
  24. SoxSport
    Selig is just a spokesman for the owners. And the owners kowtow to TV--because TV pays the bills these days. The scheduling, playoffs, interleague play, etc are all designed to generate higher TV ratings. I doubt any other factors come into play in a big way. Even the tacit acceptance of steroids was probably brought about by the desire to increase TV ratings during the Big Mac/Bonds era. That Mitchell report pretty much spelled out the involvement of all the higher ups.
  25. SoxSport
    Beckett's problem is he's in decline. Maybe he hasn't kept up with this conditioning. Hard to tell from here. You have to work harder over 30, and maybe he hasn't. He got a break moving to the NL--that will improve him a tick or so. But he isn't the pitcher he was a few years ago, and they got a break getting rid of his contract. The thing that's puzzling is they replaced all those "bad" contracts with 3 year contracts on more declining players. That's almost as bad as playing out what was left of all those $20 mil contracts. Not quite. They are back to close to the luxury cap again, but the replacements improve them overall if they can stay healthy. The other more expensive guys were underachieving. On Stanton, he will require giving up several top prospects. They are not in that mode right now. They are hoarding prospects, but it's puzzling they haven't left much roster room for them over the next few years.
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