TedWilliams101

My 3-yo nephew has a better arm than Damon or Crisp... ain't saying much. I've never understood how a professional, MLB position player could have such a weak arm.

Man, Crawford's got a weak arm...

Ugh, that should have been another run...

WTF tito, don't be stupid.

Is it just me, or has Jacoby not been getting any good leads/jumps lately?

Really guys? Really? 1-2 with a HR will always give you better expectations than 2-2 with 2 doubles. Just assuming a team that gets on base at a .300 clip, the runs expectations will still be lower with a 2 double performance than a single HR performance. Sure, there are times when a player might have 2 bases-clearing doubles while another player has a solo HR, but expectation is a study of LONG TERM RESULTS. In the long term, 1 for 2 with a HR will give you a higher run scored expectation than 2 doubles. Just a logic test: for a double to score a run or more, it requires at least one player to reach base. It also requires at least one player in scoring position the majority of the time. Now you are looking at 10% territory (and that's a generous number). A small percentage of the time, a double will score a run. A TINY percentage of the time a double will score more than one run. The stars have to align to reach the maximum run potential (6 runs). For the HR, 100% of the time you score at least 1 run. Assuming 30% on base, 30% of the time it's 2+ runs. With that assumption, 9% of the time it's 3+ runs, 2.7% 4 runs. That would be an overall expectation of 1.44 runs (0.7x1,0.027x4,0.09x3,0.183x2). With a double: 9% it's 1 run, 2.7% 2 runs, 2.7% 3 runs. 85.6% it doesn't score a run, but adds a base runner. That added runner is then factored into the next hitter. Assuming a .300 average, 30% of the time that runner will score. That comes out to: 0.525 expected runs (expectations of runs scoring from the double + expectation of the subject then scoring). Double that to get the expectations for a 2-2 double performance and you have 1.05 expected runs. I know there's a lot of estimations in there, but I did use the same percentages for both player A and B and based the scoring position odds on percentage of the time an Ellsbury or Pedroia plate appearance results with them in scoring position. Also, I probably should have used the 0.340 OBP of the Sox right now, but the results will be more or less than same: HR has the higher expection.

Wow. Everything is finding a hole. Wow.

Everything falling apart on the Guardians now.

Enough first-pitch swinging!

Terrible Jump. Jacoby looks like he's regresseing in his base running decision making.

I voted Beckett, but I'm realizing I should have voted other: Someone, Anyone who can get this team playing like a $163 million team.

I'm getting sick of this losing. The Celtics are up, I go to the bathroom and come back, down and about to lose. They get knocked out, I switch back to the Sox... 9-3. WTF. Can we DFA Lackey and fire Tito already. There is no excuse for this. We have two wicked hot hitters in the middle of our lineup... and we can't win a game? I've had enough of watching a starter give up 7+ through 5+ innings before Tito goes to the pen. I'm getting sick of it all. Way too much talent and payroll to keep losing, someone needs to be held accountable and sooner rather than later. Fire Tito and Magadan and send a f***ing message to this club.

GONZO is RIDICULOUS. If only anyone else not named Jacoby Ortiz could hit and put something together.

WTF, Salty ties it? really? Who the f*** is in control of things?

Raise your hand if you think Crawford will go down as the worst signing in RS history

Oh god, Timay is warming. Can we just waive the white flag? Ugh.

Tito needs to have his head examined. He does the opposite of what most sane managers would do with bullpen decisions... and it isn't because he gets results...

f*** THIS TEAM. 2/3 of this lineup is deadweight.

When the hell is Youk going to break out of his horrible slump? I'm getting sick of the black hole in the 4-spot.

WTF. This team is a joke. I can't believe a team with the 2nd highest payroll can't even sniff .500

Rondo looks REALLY apprehensive right now (not that he shouldn't).

I meant dislocated elbow. I've got enough beer in me to make typing coherently a little less than stellar.

Looks like Rondo dislocated his shoulder. Damn, thats it. Zero chance we even make it past the heat with out rondo. Not getting any breaks.

This team needs to win and Theo/Tito need to sit down and take a long,hard look at this team and coaching staff. Moves need to be made. Wake needs to retire. The bullpen needs to be tweeked. Coaches need to get fired (Magadan, I'm looking at you). Players need to get kicked in the ass. But, just WIN.

Tito needs to get fired. They need to better prepare this team, WHERE ARE THE FUNDAMENTALS! Why the heck is Wake still on this team? He CAN'T be the best option. Seriously, this is beyond pathetic. Something needs to happen and I think it's the manager who needs to be held accountable.