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jacksonianmarch

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Everything posted by jacksonianmarch

  1. You can not reset after this season unless you’re effectively throwing your hands up and giving up. If you do that, Betts won’t re-sign and you might as well crater and rebuild. I think the Sox let Porcello walk as Eovaldi was signed as his replacement, IMO. The Sox seem intent on re-signing Bogey as well. JDM is gonna opt out and sign elsewhere. The Sale talk is interesting. I keep hearing how the Sox want to re-sign him, but with his balmy shoulder and age, going deep in negotiations with him sounds like a bad decision. I think the Sox can re-sign 2 of their big 4 FAs next year and stay under the final hurdle. I don’t see the Sox resetting below the first hurdle anytime soon
  2. It is an abject dumpster fire. You take a pen that lacks depth and remove your best postseason performer and a likely (if he has another 3-4 good years) future HOF level closer and replace them with absolutely nothing and you have a dumpster fire. Your offense will score. Your rotation (barring injury) will hand over a lot of leads. Your pen will be the subject of hand wringing and gnashing of teeth this summer and I’m gonna love it
  3. There’s no “leash” on DD. I’m sure Henry set a budget and DD is not going to surpass it without some sort of a special circumstance that DD would have to get approval for. Where I’m confused this off-season is the Pearce and Eovaldi re-signings. Decent relievers who’d be high leverage guys in your current pen are signing for under $3mil. You could have added two of them if you let Pearce walk and at least made your pen respectable rather than the abject dumpster fire it is right now. Or, If the Sox went that route, Pearce would probably still be an FA and he’d be signing a MiLB deal with a decent guarantee. For Eovaldi, he’s not the best arm on the market. He’s not better than Keuchel. Yet he signed for the AAV expected of Keuchel and DD put a 4th year out there before the market did anything. Now, DD gets his guy as he usually does, but he read the tea leaves wrong here. I think he could have gotten Eovaldi for a Lance Lynn deal $30/3 and have gotten Pearce for $2-$3 mil and he’d have $10 mil more to play with to fix the pen
  4. You do understand that the yanks got better and the Sox have gotten worse. Your team will be in the wild card game in 2019
  5. If you could build an ideal manager, you’d pick a guy who spent time in the show but was not a star. A guy whose talent didn’t get him beyond reaching the professional level. You need a guy who knows what being the 25th man is like. Stars have trouble relating to non stars. It’s hard to teach someone how to be great when the talent discrepancy is insane between the former star now manager and the players under him. I still think a guy like Billy Beane is the beat type of GM. Highly intelligent who knows what it’s like to be a ball player. A Gm who doesn’t embrace analytics is gonna be a goner soon enough. But a former ball player who embraces analytics will have more staying power
  6. You take the physician 100% of the time. If s*** goes downhill, he can cut the baby out and ensure you both survive. The midwife can call an ambulance and get you to the hospital in time for them to cut a dead fetus out of you
  7. This is an easy decision for the Yanks. He was about to get the AAV of this contract as soon as 2020 when he’s second time arb eligible. He’s a super 2, so he gets 4 arb seasons. This locks him in for the four plus one and we can let him walk at 30 for someone else to pay the end of his career. Shrewd move by Cash I also agree that we need to look at doing the same with Judge. Since Judge is older, he’ll be 31/32 when his rookie control ends. I’d lock him in for 4+1 as well and push back his FA by a year.
  8. I was showing you how many starts your projected 2019 starters gave you in 2018 vs our 2019 starters.
  9. We got a start from Holder, a 24 game s*** sample from Gray, s*** from German, 4 ok starts from Loaisiga and a middling effort from Lynn. Those theoretically go away. We have Happ for the whole season. We have Paxton for a whole season. And we have Montgomery set to return for the final two months. Our opening day 6 and 7 are rookies with big stuff who are now a year more mature. Last year, we lost Tanaka for a month, had JMont already on the shelf and were getting home implosions from Gray AT THE SAME TIME. Yes, I expect some missed starts. Heck, we may even lose a pitcher for the year. But I highly doubt we’ll see two long injuries and an implosion at the same time.
  10. But you’re picking behind everyone plus ten spots and just lost $500K in draft budget. Unless your prospects make a major push and DD resists dealing them away, you’re likely headed for the same ranking post 2019
  11. The offense is far away beyond Florial. The pitching isn’t.
  12. I've been saying this for weeks. The Yankees deeper levels are ridiculous. We don't have much offense at the top, but the pitching is deep all the way through. If the offensive prospects down deep grow the way they're being billed, this farm will be rebuilt teeming with all sorts of prospects in 2 years. Hence why we're at 13
  13. RIP Zac
  14. We got 100 starts out of our current top 5. You guys got 124 starts out of your current top 5. That’s about all you need to know
  15. RIP Zac. That sucks
  16. Single inning stint up 4 when he should have been the one to start game 5. It’s telling that they brought Price back on 3 days rest vs Sale on full rest
  17. Second injury of spring. Ellsbury has plantar fasciitis. In other news, water is wet
  18. Sale finished the year injured
  19. You can, but here the divide is perceived to be massive when in total, it was actually favoring NY based on last year's performance. But having a shut down ace is very important.
  20. The interesting question for CC is whether he is a HOFer. 3000K club will help and if he can be healthy he will pass HOFers Smoltz and Gibson to 14th all time. 250+wins. His win total will be right around Pettitte, but Andy was a Steady Eddy good performer (and admitted PED user) where CC did have a HOF peak from 2006-2011 where he compiled 35.1WAR and won a Cy Young with 4 other top 5 CY finishes and 6 All Star games. CC's career finish where he turned into a control artist and expert of the low exit velocity contact prolonged him enough to be in the equation and likely get him in. My guess, though, is he is not a first ballot guy
  21. https://www.rotoworld.com/article/saves-and-steals/bullpen-review-al-east rotoworld's writeup
  22. And we advanced further in that season. The idea that the sox were other worldly better than us the past 2 years is false.
  23. Keep fudging the numbers how you like, the fact is the sox advantage begins and ends with Sale. If he's not Chris Sale, your rotation is not nearly as good
  24. CC will conclude his career with his 19th season in the bigs. Hopefully he goes out hoisting the WS trophy
  25. It’s no longer bad pitchers go to the pen. It’s all about pitch development. Starters have three pitches and have the ability to not lose their velocity for 100 pitches. Some great starters have two absolutely ridiculous pitches (RJ comes to mind), but most of the time they have three at least average pitches. Pen guys still need two pitches. And with how the evolution of the pen guys has moved, you also need strikeout stuff. Most pen guys nowadays throw hard or have such great movement that they can generate swings and misses. Back in the day, your relievers were guys who could also be your 6th or 7th starters. Now, you carry one guy who can be an emergency fill in, but the rest are a maximum 1-2 inning player
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