jacksonianmarch

Yeah, so we wont be carrying both to start the year. Lemahieu is the backup for the position, so we can either go Bird and use Lemahieu vs lefties or go Voit and just use Lemahieu there in an emergency. I honestly think Greg Bird needs a half season in the minors anyway. Get out of the lime light for a little bit, get his swing back and stay healthy. Then come up when natural attrition occurs

JD was coming off a Lisfranc injury and couldn't stay healthy the prior seasons. If he puts in 140+ games again this year, his market will be much larger. You also need to consider the other teams starting to emerge from their hibernation. The White Sox were in on offense heavily this offseason, and my guess is they will be again this offseason as the Guardians start to fall and no team rises up. That is a large market club with big pockets and would be a soft landing spot for JD. I don't see any other AL East squads looking at him unless the Yanks go addition by subtraction and push Stanton to LF permanently. I doubt the Guardians, Twins, or Tigers go for him. The AL West is always messy and with Ohtani being a strict DH, makes it less likely that Martinez would go out there. If Texas thinks it can jump start it's rebuild, it might go that route or Houston could jump in for instant offense. I doubt most NL teams would go for him unless he converts to 1b. Either way, all teams could use him. The question is, is there a market? I think there will be, especially with a bat like Arenado off the market

The last position player slot will be an OFer, most likely. Boone has also said that only one of our 1b's will make the opening day roster. We can option either to the minors IIRC

slav, you're funny. Assume the worst? This is Tommy John surgery, something that has become something of a routine maintenance surgery for guys who throw the ball a lot. This isn't a shoulder or microfracture surgery. This is a well documented, highly successful surgical procedure with a well established rehab time line

He doesn't need to top the number you are noting. He is playing 2019 in Boston. Can he get more than 3 yrs $62.45 mil on the open market? I think he definitely can. I could see a 4 yr $75 mil deal come his way if he opts out. The AAV is lower, sure, but it guarantees him and extra $12.55 mil in his age 36 season. That is not a given

Gleyber's injury was on a slide into home

Right now, Cessa is pitching like his career depends on it. He has been starting games, so he's getting time vs regulars and to this point has been really good. Then again, spring stats in the early going are deceiving and I have said before not to read much into them. I do think he is best served in the pen. As I laid out before, if we use our 4 and 5 starters as noted, we will hit only one good team, so we could get away with 2 of Cessa, Loaisigia or German in the rotation for a short run and still hope our offense pounds the ball to a win. Once everyone comes back, I agree, the path to playing time will be rough for him, but not impossible. Assuming good health, here are the 12-13 pitchers expected on the squad 1. Severino 2. Paxton 3. Tanaka 4. Happ 5. Sabathia 6. Chapman 7. Betances 8. Britton 9. Ottavino 10. Green 11. Holder 12. ?? 13. ?? Right now, 12 and 13 are Kahnle and Cessa just due to being out of options. Loaisiga and German would make the team out of ST in the spots for CC and Sevy. With the Yankees offensive depth, we might be able to survive with 12 position players 1. Sanchez 2. Romine 3. Voit/Bird 4. Torres 5. Lemahieu 6. Tulo 7. Andujar 8. Stanton 9. Gardner 10. Hicks 11. Judge 12. ??? This means we likely are going to keep Cessa around. After breaking it down, I think the Yanks are really going to give him a good shot this year. The true test to this roster will be when Didi and Montgomery come back in July. If everyone is healthy (doubtful) then we will have some really difficult decisions that will likely require us jettisoning 2 pitchers to add those guys back in

Welcome back jung. The Sox early season schedule was putrid and it wasn’t because of the final result of the team’s records, but as you said, the putrid early season play. You caught TB with their pants down, Oakland was a joke in April, although they did take 2 of 3, you saw all of the Marlins, you got some KC, a bunch of BAL, bad Toronto and took 2 of 3 from the Yankees (the only team playing well on your schedule in April). This year’s schedule looks a little more daunting. You start off with... A west coast trip to Seattle for 4- Seattle is expected to suck, but west coast trips ain’t easy. Then you go to the stool park in Oakland for 4. If they live up to last seasons capability, that’ll be tough. To Arizona for 3. They’re not exactly rebuilding, but they’re not exactly good either Then home for 6 vs garbage in Baltimore and Toronto. A quick 2 games at the Yanks. Then 3 at Tampa. Home for 3 vs Detroit. Tampa and the A’s then finish out the month at Fenway. If we assume that Oakland and Tampa will be over .500 this year and Seattle and Arizona will be under .500 while other teams stay the same, the Sox will play 15 of their first 28 games against teams who should be over .500 and they start the year on the west coast for 11 games. This April won’t be as easy.

Cessa is going to be an interesting name. With Sevy and CC expected to hit the injured list, Cessa will make the team. Once they return, there’s a strong chance we move him if he’s beaten out as the last pen arm. I’d love to see what Cessa could do as a full time pen arm. His stuff is so good

Gleyber’s was on his non throwing arm

We have seen from pitchers that guys returning who have no major setbacks will return with improved stuff, so my assumption is there will be no dropoff. Some of the guys on the list were pretty old, so I’m not sure it’s relevant

The only two who fit close to the timeline are Izturis and Womack. Womack made it by opening day, Izturis by June. I still think Didi returns in July if Tulo is crushing it. If not, Didi might get pushed to come back in June. Either way, I don’t see how he’s back in april or may

Pollock hasn’t had a 2.5+ WAR season since 2015. JD has posted almost 10 WAR over the last two seasons while either not playing defense or playing terrible defense. There is a huge market for a guy who is an auto lock to hit .300 with 30HR in the middle of your lineup. He will significantly out earn Pollock.

Two reasons. 1. Andujar is more athletic than Devers and has a better arm. Devers issue is range. Andujar’s issue is timing. Andujar’s errors are almost always on throws or decisions. His errors are almost always when he has time. I think that’s due to his age more than anything else. If Andujar can sharpen up his decisions and not overthink when he has time, he will be a good defender 2. We have LeMahieu. If Andujar cannot improves and stays a true minus defender, we’ve got a defensive replacement who can hit on the roster already

Position players usually need 6-9 months to recover from TJS. Pitchers need 12-15 months. The two reasons for this are the breaking balls and the endurance. Pitchers post TJS can throw hard at around the 9 month mark. Didi’s timetable has always been 6-9 months and with Tulo around, it’ll probably be closer to 9

Probably in the 10-15 range.

JD is one of the top 5 hitters in the majors over the last 3 years. He’s far better than Pollock. The thing about JD is that his final 3 seasons come at less then $20 mil AAV. This was always a glorified 2 year deal from the start. JD on the open market would either get more years at a similar AAV or a higher AAV for the same years. If he ends the year healthy and continues his trend, he’ll get paid

The Yanks have literally no need for Brian Johnson.

People on here seem to think I am doubting Devers, which I am not. I saw all I needed to see of his bat in the post season and in that HR he hit off Chapman. The kid's bat is special. His bat speed is really good. He can go oppo, which is rare for lefty hitters these days. He has the tools to be a special hitter. I honestly think he is a 1b long term. I also think his bat can carry the position. His ceiling is a .900+OPS high AVG, high HR kid with okay enough OBP. If you throw that at 1b and he can pick it at the position, then you take it.

That is the thing. Gregorius is a damn good SS, but his park adjusted hitting shows he does a lot of his damage in the Bronx. Teams are wary of that now. He is more valuable to the Yankees than to any other team as he uses that RF short porch better than anyone. Plus, Torres has the stuff to be a good defender, although he was sloppy last year. Lemahieu is a gold glove caliber 2b. If Didi gets too expensive, we have a built in backup plan that doesn't cost us anything else. Add in the fact that we have a fair amount of middle infield prospects with promise and we may be better off without committing substantial capital to a SS who's first year of his new contract is his age 30 season and would likely run through his age 36 or 37 season

We have a little while until our cliff, but there is one big difference between us and Boston, and that's the long term deals for diminishing returns. Price (while a WS hero a year ago) and Pedroia are being paid for past work and are not expected to live up to their contracts going forward. The only long term deal on the Yanks docket is Stanton, and with the way its structured and the money kicked in from Miami, its only $22 mil on the lux tax. He is a bargain at $22 mil. Price at $31 mil and Pedroia at $14 mil are not. The other beneficial thing for the Yanks is two contracts come off the books as Judge and the kids get expensive. Tanaka and Ellsbury, together making almost what Price and Pedroia make yearly, will be off the books come 2021. While Tanaka is still a valuable member of the squad, if he returns I would have to think his performance warrants a much lower pay day. The other thing that the Yanks have in their corner is the CBA. By the time Judge and Sanchez are getting paid big money (2nd year arb) the CBA will be up. The entire lux tax system could be different by then. In terms of 2020, you forgot two other contracts. Chapman can opt out and Betances will be a FA. That's another $24 mil off the books and with the pen depth added, we may be able to survive with a strong pen if they head off into the sunset. Chapman's case is an intriguing one as I doubt he sees a better AAV than the $17.2 mil he would earn in 2020 and 2021, but he may opt out to guarantee a higher amount of money over more years. Maybe he gets a 3 yr $45 mil deal by opting out, taking an AAV hit but guaranteeing another $11 mil over 1 season going forward.

Casas is 3 years away. Figure Low A this year. A+-AA next year. AAA to maybe late season debut in 2021.

He is going to get that from someone. I wonder if the sox offer is close if Mookie sees the draw of being a one franchise player. That being said, if he is top 10 in MVP the next 2 years, he is going to get a $35 mil AAV offer from someone and he would be a fool to lose $10 mil AAV to stay in Boston

It is true that some players have more to lose than others, but you make that determination in these final couple weeks. If Thornburg still has nothing by next week, then he is in trouble

When I was in college, we won the regionals two years in a row. We made shirts for my final season that said back to back to .... long story short, we lost in the regionals. The Yanks are a scary good team, every bit as good as the Sox. I’m looking forward to using these quotes all offseason should the Yanks take the division