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jacksonianmarch

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Everything posted by jacksonianmarch

  1. Agreed, he needs to prove he isn’t damaged goods. I know the Sox want to keep him, but I don’t see them hammering out a contract prior to FA. The Sox are going to want a discount due to th injury concerns and Sale is going to want to maximize his income due to his performance. It’s probably best for both parties to wait until November
  2. 4 games in Seattle where the highs are likely to be mid 50s during the day is not warm. The goal for the Sox and the Yanks is one and the same. Try to win the division, but ensure good health at the end of the year as both teams are making the post season. If you’ve got a performing Pedroia in october, who gives a f*** if he even plays prior.
  3. If you’re ever going to get anything useful out of Pedroia, you need to treat him like fine china and save him from himself. If I ran the Sox, I’d have him stay in Florida til the weather warmed up. Arthritic knees and cold weather are not friends. I’d also cap him at 90 games or so. The goal is to have Pedroia healthy come October, when cold games are inevitable, but if you can spare him the cold early, it increases his chances of staying around
  4. Opening day lineups are starting to get a bit clearer. With Hicks on the shelf for the first series, it’s likely we see Bird and Voit in the OD lineup with Stanton in LF.
  5. He’s German and Cessa insurance. His opt out is April 20. So if he gets ready and in the interim, our other options sucked then he’ll be up. Otherwise, this is non news
  6. If the contract stays as is and he has another productive, healthy year, he definitely opts out. Clearly, the Sox could motivate him to stay by extending him like what the Yanks did with CC
  7. You are such a troll. You were the one saying Sheffield sucked and how the Yanks lost the Miller trade. Yet we deal him off for a lefty ace and now Sheffield is nasty. Go back under your bridge and wait for goats
  8. Our weakness in the offseason was not starting pitching. I have said it a ton of times. Once we got Paxton and re-signed Happ, our rotation, on paper, outperformed yours last season. The problem now is spring training injuries. Severino is a big loss. He was our ace and a guy who finished in the top 10 in CY voting the last 2 years. You don't replace that in the spring, you replace that in the winter if at all. If he is really hurt and comes back either a shell of himself or not at all, then we have a huge hole to fill. If he returns healthy with his velocity intact, then we are good to go
  9. I am not sure what Cashman will do. One thing I entirely trust Cashman with is his trading off of prospect assets. He is very rarely wrong. The only recent example would be Widener and Solak for Drury, even though he spun Drury off for Happ and we hung onto him, so no huge loss. Most of Cash's deals where he trades prospects for players turn out right in his favor. Right now, our rotation is a need depending on the health of Severino. CC's health is only needed for the first half as Montgomery is expected to be back, and he is better than CC when healthy. If Sevy is injured more than he lets on and he misses the year or returns in a dim fashion, then we will need something more than a back end starter, we will need to try and pry Bumgarner or Wheeler and get someone who can slot into the top half of a rotation. For right now, Cash is kicking the tires on Gio Gonzalez, but I would rather we wait. We have arms with promise who will be better than a washed up veteran who will miss the first few weeks anyways building up stamina. The upside here is that Sevy returns healthy and since he misses the first month plus, he doesn't swoon like he has the last 2 seasons. The downside is his cuff is torn and he is gone, never to return the same way again. Such is the life of a pitcher. One pitch can forever alter your career. I am intrigued to see how German does in the rotation the second time around. His stuff was electric, but he missed in the zone too often. He has been lights out this spring, but as always, that is taken with a grain of salt. I am intrigued by what he might bring with a little more experience and a first time failing. I understand why Cessa is the likeliest guy for the rotation out of ST instead of Loaisiga, although I think Loaisiga has better stuff and location and the long term much better upside. On the offensive side, we don't need much at all. Bird seems healthy and Voit has continued to crush balls to RF, which served him really well in a Yankee uniform.
  10. Judge went from a 27-30% K guy in the minors up to a 37% K guy in the bigs. If a guy K’s a ton against lower level competition, he’s probably gonna K more vs better pitchers. You just need to hope his exit velo as his ages rises enough to make his BABIP be otherworldly
  11. Florial with a non displaced wrist fracture. Kid is snakebit. He was really playing well this spring. Probably gonna be out 8 weeks
  12. We have literally no info on the defense of murderers row
  13. I doubt anyone ever catches the 27 Yanks. Ruth, Combs and Meusel. All 3 finished with career BA’s above .300 with Ruth and Combs ending up in Cooperstown. As a matter of fact, 4 hitters from that squad are enshrined in the HOF. But the numbers from those 3 were silly. Ruth .356/.486/.772 Combs .356/.414/.511 Meusel .337/.393/.510 Even if JD slides into the OF or Beni goes off this year, you’re not reaching them. Hell, Betts had a Ruthian type season and the trio were still 4+ WAR away
  14. The gain is small? He'd be guaranteeing himself $13 mil for his age 36 season. If that's small, I will take small. Send me small to my address listed in my profile
  15. I don't read much into the ST stuff. I will say this is one start behind my predicted date of return of April 25. It isn't "terrible news" as there have been no setbacks and he hasn't even started tossing yet, but they're being cautious with him. I think Cash is fully aware that we are as close to a playoff lock as one could be and having a healthy Sevy is very important to our post season success
  16. And JD played more field than Papi did. Listen, JD is a DH who can fake it in the OF. He’s also a hitter of Papi’s caliber in a time when guys who hit for power, don’t hit for average. He will outearn the final three years of his contract on the open market if he finishes 2019 healthy and has a year akin to his prior two. I’m not saying he’ll beat the AAV, but he will get a bigger guarantee than the approx $62 mil left on his deal. That’s an important thing for him as we’re talking about his age 36 season and he’s likely to not get a big contract if he hits FA at that age. I said before that if JD lots out, I’d expect a 4 yr $75 mil contract for him
  17. Nunez is better except he’s got the same issue as Andujar. Good hands, enough range, but makes stupid errors. He’s also not the hitter LeMahieu is
  18. I am still puzzled as to the infatuation with this kid. He was a prize prospect whose bat didn't reach the dizzying heights projected and whose glove was overrated in the minors. He then suffered a career altering injury and lost valuable development time which made him a AAAA player. Time to cut the cord
  19. Edwin Encarnacion, and he signed his with his first year being age 34
  20. The sox were awesome last year. A great start followed by a sustained period of winning. No question
  21. Papi played the long game with Boston and is a cultural icon here. JD is a mercenary and will never reach that status. Mercenaries go to the highest bidder.
  22. I review medical studies as part of my personal education. This is one of the worst study synopses I’ve ever read. Consider this. The success is touted to be over 80%. So that means that under 20% don’t recover well. Hence, if you’re using the three years pre and post surgery yet you have a 20% cohort that doesn’t recover, you’ve already skewed your data. You need to remove the cohort that doesn’t respond and see if successful surgery leads to any changes in performance. This is a bad, bad study
  23. there were 3 100 game winnners in the AL, a 97 game WC winner, a 91 game winning division winner who won their division by 13 games and a 90 game winning team who missed the playoffs by 7 games. The AL was a feast or famine league a season ago, so yes, saying some clubs didn't have MLB caliber players is an understatement. I anticipate we will see more of the same with the Mariners blowing it up after winning 89 games themselves and nobody really going for it who were in the bottom tier. The compounding factor about last year was that two of the better clubs had poor starts with TB and Oakland being .500 on May 1. There were only two AL teams who started strong who ended up finishing at or below .500 in Toronto and Anaheim.
  24. It was an awkward throw from the hole. Everything in orthopedics is about vectors and if you throw a ball from a strange angle, the force can overcome a ligament.
  25. I do deny that claim. If it was X-Bo, I would be saying a July return is likely. This is a completely stupid argument. An infielder, who doesn't need to throw breaking pitches and doesn't need to throw full force as much as a pitcher does recover back to baseline faster than a pitcher. This isn't debatable, this is fact
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