Don't count out the Dodgers though. On paper, their team is lethal. Russ Martin, James Loney, Jeff Kent, Rafael Furcal, Nomar Garciaparra, Juan Pierre, Andruw Jones and Matt Kemp, with Andre Ethier as a more than viable option off the bench. Thats a VERY solid lineup, especially in the NL.
If their rotation can stay reasonably healthy they're my NL West team. Penny and Lowe both had very good years in 07. Billingsley was effective in the 147 innings he threw.
Assuming Penny and Lowe have slight regressions, which is reasonable, and Billingsley takes strides forward, which I also foresee, then the rotation relies on the success and health of Jason Schmidt and Hiroki Kuroda. Schmidt was on the decline even before his injuries, but if he is healthy enough to throw somewhere around 150 innings, I expect his ERA to float around 4, with a respectable K/BB ratio.
Hiroki Kuroda is a wild card. From 2005-2007 he has had ERAs of 3.17, 1.86 and 3.56 in Japan. He is not a strikeout pitcher. His HR allowed, ERA, BB, and BA against all got significantly worse in 2007, along with less strikeouts. I know that Japanese numbers do not translate directly to MLB, as they normally get worse. I don't see a bright future for Kuroda, but I didn't see Okajima doing what he did. You never know with Japanese players coming overseas.