Simple question, very interesting debate. In light of Warner carrying the Cardinals to the Super Bowl this season, can he punch his ticket for Canton?
Pros:
2x MVP
SB MVP
Super Bowl with 2 teams
Top 5 all time in passer rating
3x Pro Bowler
2x All-Pro
Throws for 300 yds in a higher percentage of games than anyone else
#1 is pass yds/game all time
#2 in all-time completion %
Cons:
Only 5 or 6 "good" seasons
"System" QB (?)
Bad stretches were really bad (end of STL career, time in NY)
38th in total passing yards
40th in total passing TDs
He seems to be the NFL's version of Pedro Martinez or Sandy Koufax - his peak period was very, very good but you can easily claim it wasn't long enough to warrant induction. His rate stats are excellent but his counting stats are very lacking.
I think he's in - the good years were simply too good to ignore - and this resurgence with Arizona this season has proved he's still a very good QB. If he wins in two weeks, it's a no brainer, but I lean 60/40 putting him in as we speak today.