Id like to take the oppurtunity to bring this back up for an update. Dice-K hasnt looked good his last two starts, whether he was still suffering from being sick or what, he didnt make good pitches tonight and his stuff wasnt nearly at his best. Aside from the obvious reason for his recent struggles (this was made on 5/15):
Back on 5/3/07 these were his stats (His stats now in bold):
- 5.45 ERA ---> 4.83 ERA
- 9.24 K/9 ----> 8.42 K/9 (8th in the AL)
- 3.55 BB/9 ---> 2.60 BB/9
- 2.60 K/BB ---> 3.24 K/BB (8th in the AL)
- .47 HR/9 ----> 1.00 HR/9
- .317 BABIP --> .325 BABIP
- FIP = 3.27 --> 3.80
- dERA = 3.11 -> 3.63
- Line against: .241/.327/.331.658 ----> .263/.325/.416/.741
So basically his K rate has gone down somewhat (though still very good) and his walk rate has decreased significantly (good sign). His HR rate was extremely low so that has leveled off as expected. His already high BABIP actually increased so its probaly about 35 points above the norm. However the difference is hes been getting hit harder (although highly attributed to the past 2 games rather than on a whole). Its hard to make a really complete comparison considering how he was very sick his last start and we dont really know the exact effects of his illness. At the bottom you see that his overall line has gone up a lot (mostly induced by SLG%, his improved walk rate actually decreased his OBP). And again it was from his past two games (before the CLE and TEX game his line was .235/.300/.342/.642). His 3 games since I made the original post were awesome, and it appeared he had settled in. But his sickness and then next start make it hard to determine what the trend is. So I think we'll have a better idea of where he is at this point over his next 3 starts where any effects of illness will be out the window.