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a700hitter

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Everything posted by a700hitter

  1. a700hitter
    Clearly, it is Bush's fault as he made Obama possible.
  2. a700hitter
    Two errors by our above average defense tonight.
  3. a700hitter
    Rookie base-running mistake by the overpaid over the hill second baseman who should be traded.
  4. a700hitter
    Ryan Howard looking very graceful. Lol!
  5. a700hitter
    Come on Hanley!
  6. a700hitter
    Cold weather or not, our lineup should be pummeling this bum.
  7. a700hitter
    We can agree to disagree on this point.
  8. a700hitter
    The evidence exists. I just don't know where or how to dig it up. I am not basing my opinion on that evidence. I am saying that I think that if that data is compiled it will support my opinion. The statistical evidence in the cited study does not convince me that my opinion about the effect of an elite base stealer like Ellsbury is wrong.
  9. a700hitter
    Long ground ball.
  10. a700hitter
    The date in this study is obviously flawed. The comparator group is just not comparable. Data on Ellsbury over 5 seasons would be comparable. Carl Crawford in his prime with Tampa would provide comparable data. Look at the data for the top 2 or 3 elite base stealers if you want an indicator of the effect that Ellsbury had on the lineup.
  11. a700hitter
    First of all with regard to your use of the term "these studies", I am critiquing only the one study -- the one in the link you provided. Second, I am not comparing the study to any anectodal evidence presented by me as I have not presented any anectodal evidence on this isdue. Quite the contrary. I am however predicting that a similar study based on Ellsbury from 2007-2013 would yield similar results as those published for Billy Hamilton, but with a much larger sample size.
  12. a700hitter
    The difference is night and day between the top 2 or 3 base stealing guys and the next level. The rest of the group, even though speedsters, are not comparable to Hamilton or Ellsbury prior to 2014.
  13. a700hitter
    There will not be a lot of cheese coming from Masterson tomorrow night.
  14. a700hitter
    In three more years, the sample size will not be so small. Also, the sample size for Ellsbury is surely not small from 2007- 2013. We just don't have the stats. In any regard the study has little statistical validity in that it is lumping in apples with slow kumquats.
  15. a700hitter
    It's uncanny how announcers have a knack for praising a player immediately before he makes an error or screws up.
  16. a700hitter
    When Ellsbury played for the Red Sox, he was the elite base stealer in the game. After him and one or two others, the dropped off was huge. I' d be willing to bet that the stats for Ellsbury's positive effect on the lineup were very similar to those for Billy Hamilton, which are significant. Expanding the number of base runners in this instance is one of those circumstances where the larger sample size is less reliable, because the expanded group isn't comparable to Ellsbury (2008-2013) or Billy Hamilton.
  17. a700hitter
    When you say that they "hit" worse, what metrics are you relying upon? Also, what metric is there for differentiating between disruptive runner situations and run of the mill slow pokes?
  18. a700hitter
    A fastball hitter like Pedroia must have liked seeing lots of fastballs.
  19. a700hitter
    Optimist.
  20. a700hitter
    I would like to know the percentage of fastballs that Pedroia saw when Ellsbury was on first base as opposed to other situations. I think a hitter would love having that threat on first. It must take a lot of the guesswork out of looking for the fastball.
  21. a700hitter
    He gets a bad NL lineup to go against.
  22. a700hitter
    So good, then you are willing to back up your opinion by putting something on the line. My comment wasn't presuming anything about you.
  23. a700hitter
    Make a sig bet if you don't want to bet money.
  24. a700hitter
    Youk should have gotten some tackling tips from his brother in law.
  25. a700hitter
    Wow, he hate you with the "passion of a thousand burning suns". He has never met you and he has formed this intense hatred of you because of your opinions about sports. That's pretty scary.
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