a700hitter
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Everything posted by a700hitter
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This guy is missing by a mile.
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It is up to Trade Bait.
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Giles FB is out of the zone, but he is making his pitch with the hook.
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He is clearly off of the Gluten Free diet.
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Big man coming to the plate.
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Choking Bogey comes through.
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Victorino, Craig, Holt and Ortiz available to PH for the pitcher.
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Nice walk.
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No PH for Hanigan?
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Clearly, it is Bush's fault as he made Obama possible.
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Two errors by our above average defense tonight.
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Rookie base-running mistake by the overpaid over the hill second baseman who should be traded.
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Ryan Howard looking very graceful. Lol!
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Come on Hanley!
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Cold weather or not, our lineup should be pummeling this bum.
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We can agree to disagree on this point.
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The evidence exists. I just don't know where or how to dig it up. I am not basing my opinion on that evidence. I am saying that I think that if that data is compiled it will support my opinion. The statistical evidence in the cited study does not convince me that my opinion about the effect of an elite base stealer like Ellsbury is wrong.
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Long ground ball.
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The date in this study is obviously flawed. The comparator group is just not comparable. Data on Ellsbury over 5 seasons would be comparable. Carl Crawford in his prime with Tampa would provide comparable data. Look at the data for the top 2 or 3 elite base stealers if you want an indicator of the effect that Ellsbury had on the lineup.
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First of all with regard to your use of the term "these studies", I am critiquing only the one study -- the one in the link you provided. Second, I am not comparing the study to any anectodal evidence presented by me as I have not presented any anectodal evidence on this isdue. Quite the contrary. I am however predicting that a similar study based on Ellsbury from 2007-2013 would yield similar results as those published for Billy Hamilton, but with a much larger sample size.
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The difference is night and day between the top 2 or 3 base stealing guys and the next level. The rest of the group, even though speedsters, are not comparable to Hamilton or Ellsbury prior to 2014.
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There will not be a lot of cheese coming from Masterson tomorrow night.
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In three more years, the sample size will not be so small. Also, the sample size for Ellsbury is surely not small from 2007- 2013. We just don't have the stats. In any regard the study has little statistical validity in that it is lumping in apples with slow kumquats.
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It's uncanny how announcers have a knack for praising a player immediately before he makes an error or screws up.
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When Ellsbury played for the Red Sox, he was the elite base stealer in the game. After him and one or two others, the dropped off was huge. I' d be willing to bet that the stats for Ellsbury's positive effect on the lineup were very similar to those for Billy Hamilton, which are significant. Expanding the number of base runners in this instance is one of those circumstances where the larger sample size is less reliable, because the expanded group isn't comparable to Ellsbury (2008-2013) or Billy Hamilton.
