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a700hitter

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Everything posted by a700hitter

  1. I am on a different page than you on this. The bias is in favor of velocity, which science dictates that tall guys can generate more efficiently. That's just science not bias. The real question of bias is whether velocity should be the be all and end all of pitching skills that are scouted. I see it with my great nephew. Scouts and coaches don't seem to put any importance on commanding the strike zone or movement, but a 13 year old kid hitting 80 on the gun gets a lot of attention.
  2. This is not true. I will accept stats that contradict my opinion. When I have seen a lot of a player, the stats almost always confirm my opinion, so there is no need to change my opinion. With regard to players that I see less often, especially west coast players, I resort to stats and advanced stats frequently. Why is it so important for you to label people? I use the best resources available to form my opinions. When it comes to the Red Sox, my eyes are usually my best resource. With regard to players on teams other than the Red Sox, I don't rely on my eyes as much.
  3. That's why I have stated that "everything else being equal" taller guys have the physical advantage. The other things the scout can't see and doesn't know if those other things will develop. He can see height. Height more efficiently produces velocity. It is an advantage. It is a way of thinning through tens of thousands of kids. I think in this discussion we have not gotten to the true bias in scouting that I think is a mistake. it isn't the bias against small pitchers. It is the bias in favor of velocity. Obviously, you need to have some heat, but you don't need to throw 95+ to be effective in the major leagues. There isn't enough emphasis put on command and movement of pitches. It doesn't matter how hard you throw. You will not succeed unless you have command and movement -- regardless of height.
  4. But according to you, I am a traditionalist, and I was right.
  5. From a Manual of Structural Kinesiology--Basic Biomechanical Factors & Concepts http://www.kean.edu/~jeadams/docs/Kinesiology/Kines_Power_Points/Kines_PPT_PDF_Chap3.pdf There is a lot in this manual about levers in the body. The longer the Lever (arm) the more efficient at producing velocity. A shorter lever is an advantage for a quick release, but a disadvantage for velocity. Now, none of this precludes a shorter pitcher from being successful as we all know. But the advantage of being tall and long limbed is undeniable physical science.
  6. With everything else being equal that goes into athleticism, being taller with long limbs is an advantage. It's physics which trumps sabremetrics every time.
  7. Welcome Zeke.
  8. I watch a lot of baseball and I saw a lot of Pujols when he was a Cardinal and I have seen a lot of Howard too. This may disturb you but I would never even consider picking Howard over Pujols in any year unless his stats completely overwhelmed Pujols' stats -- and then I would resort to advanced stats for more information. BTW, I didn't make the point that traditionalist views are so often wrong. You conflate traditionalist views with someone who lets their opinions be dictated by basic or (as you would term them) traditional stats. That assumption is incorrect. The point that I did make is that there are a lot of sports writers who are idiots.
  9. Keep an eye on how Farrell's teams run the bases too. His teams in Toronto and Boston run recklessly.
  10. Of the 20 pitchers on the A's roster, 6 are under 6'2".
  11. No one is saying that humeral rotation isn't important and no one is saying that small guys can't throw hard. When these scouts are wading their way through tens of thousands of kids. Each kid can't be examined precisely. What they do know is that the physics of leverage dictates that a tall guy with the same type of musculature and humeral rotation as a shorter guy will throw at a higher velocity. Height and body type are an advantage due to science, so if it is bias it is based in science. Height doesn't guarantee success and lack of height doesn't prevent success, because the aspects of athleticism need to be present. Being tall and long limbed is still an advantage. The physics of that can't be denied. Some squat guys with short legs are fast, but if you were scouting for wide receivers you wouldnt be looking at guys with squat builds. It is advantage to have long legs and an athletic build. Again it is bias based in science.
  12. The Blue Jays add Drew Storen to the back end of their bullpen. The ALE teams are building very strong late inning pens.
  13. Okay, Kimmi. The whole baseball establishment is wrong about the big boys being a better pool to find high velocity pitchers. I guess that there is a treasure trove of short guys out there just waiting to be tapped. It sounds like quite an opportunity for a forward thinking GM.
  14. There are plenty of idiot sportwriters. Even being a so-called traditionalist, I would not have let a handful of so called traditionalist stats fool me into thinking Howard should have been in the running with Pujols for MVP that year.
  15. No, I didn't feel that there was adequate data presented to make a compelling case. I really don't feel strongly about whether speed generally improves the performance of hitters that follow him in the order. I do feel strongly that speed does put pressure on defenses and disrupts them. The studies on the performance of other hitters in the lineup does not address that.
  16. I have a Nixon story. When worked at the IRS (1983-1986) the Tax Court would hear cases at 26 Federal Plaza in the same building that Nixon maintained his offices during those years. Many of the IRS attorneys purchased his memoirs and brought it up to his office for a signature. His assistant would take the books and he would sign it by the next day. He had waived his Secret Service protection and would walk around the city by himself without any bodyguards. I never met him, but many of my colleagues met him in the building. He was awkward with small talk, but when he did initiate small talk it was always about sports.
  17. My questions would have been about Geopolitics and Triangular Diplomacy -- light subjects. I wouldn't want to get into the realm of emotion bringing up baseball. BTW, FTR, the Kissinger story is a true story and the post about seeing Ben kick a dog was just a joke.
  18. I peed at a urinal next to Henry Kissinger in the late 1980's and had a million questions that I wanted to ask him, but resisted the urge even when we were at the sink.
  19. I am okay with it as long as he stops the ball and prevents the runner from advancing.
  20. Maybe DD is a jerk. A lot of public figures are jerks, probably more than we think. I don't remember which sportswriter said it, but he said that the fastest way to stop being a fan is to cover a team on a daily basis. For that reason, I really have very little curiosity about players off the field. If the guy plays hard for the Red Sox, I am a fan. As far as the FO goes, I really don't give a hoot about any of them. They might as well be nameless and faceless as far as I am concerned. I just hope they put together a good team.
  21. Thanks for the recommendations.
  22. No. My daughter and son-in-law have been living there for almost 3 years. Great place to live. I go to Christopher's a lot when I am visiting. Do you have any restaurant recommendations?
  23. Howard also played in a ridiculously small bandbox that is 360 feet in the power alleys. and strikes out a ton. Pujols is so clearly the superior ballplayer just with the eye test and he had a great Pujols' year. Anyone who thought he was in the discussion with Pujols was letting the stats tell them a lie. In that case, the eye test was enough.
  24. I am still hoping that DD can move him or the human donut at 3B. Either move would solve a lot of problems.
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