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a700hitter

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Everything posted by a700hitter

  1. a700hitter
    If you don't add talent to your team, you don't get appreciably better. Performances go up and down, but not enough to make up 20 games. We have improved only our bullpen. I think they could make 10 games difference. I peg this team for 79-84 wins. No way is it a 90 win team unless we play the Stros 60 times.
  2. a700hitter
    5 of the 7 that I named will have better records than us. You can take that to the bank.
  3. a700hitter
    BTW, SFF, how many wins did you project that we would pick up last year because we lost Lackey and Wakefield under the addition by subtraction theory? I think you opined that we couldn't do worse than they had done.
  4. a700hitter
    Yankees, Detroit, LA, Texas, Rays, Toronto, Oakland That's 7. No, I don't see how we could be 20 wins later than last year. We will have injuries again this year as we do every year. It may not be to the same guys, but we will have them, and we still have no depth to withstand them. I'll go on record with my opinion that this roster, as it stands without additional acquisitions, is not 20 games better than last year's team.
  5. a700hitter
    Even if Lester and Buchholz improve, I don't think that will close a 20 game gap.
  6. a700hitter
    Some of my favorite times have been when he is spinning around like a top looking for the ball which is actually right at his feet while runners are scooting around the bases. Everyone is pointing at his feet and he looks everywhere but at his feet. The guy stinks. You just need to watch him for a couple of weeks to be able to see that.
  7. a700hitter
    I wish we had a pennant for every season that I heard that some player at the end of his career came into camp in the best shape of his life. It's meaningless. Let's see if his elbow holds up and whether his pitches have any life. Washboard abs and a smaller waist don't mean a thing.
  8. a700hitter
    None of this had anything to do with the trade. SFF, said that they went into the tank because of the trade. I think the trade had very little to do with their swoon as they were in that tailspin for the entire month of August before the trade. Did injuries affect the team? Certainly. But better health is not going to close a 20+ game deficit with the Yankees, Rays and O's. Plus, the Jays have massively improved their talent level.
  9. a700hitter
    At the time of the trade they were not playing .472 ball, so it is unrealistic to think that they would have played at that percentage until the end of the season. As I pointed out in my previous post, they were 7-15 (a .318 percentage) for the month of August prior to the trade. That was much more indicative of what they were and the direction of the team than their overall record. They were a 90 loss team without the trade instead of a 93 loss team. They were circling the drain at the time of the trade and they were giving up.
  10. a700hitter
    No, they were not a 78-80 win team and the massive trade didn't really affect the performance that much. At the time of the trade, they were 13 games behind the Yankees and 10 game (loss column) behind the others. On August 1st, the Sox were 53-52. By the time of the big trade, the had slipped to 60-67. They had gone 7-15 from August 1st until the trade on August 25th-- a .318 winning percentage-- and they were falling fast. If they had not made the trade and continued playing at the blistering pace of .318 that they were playing at in August before the trade, we' d have lost 90 instead of 93 games. We have not improved enough to make up a 15-20 game deficit IMO.
  11. a700hitter
    Ross has a 2 year contract. I don't think they would cut him.
  12. a700hitter
    Would they cut Salty at that point? You don't see too many early season trades.
  13. a700hitter
    Unless they move Salty, I don't see how Lavarnway gets his chance, and that will piss me off.
  14. a700hitter
    The team directly ahead of us vastly improved their team. We did not. The other teams were ahead of us by 20+ games in the standings. If we avoid injuries altogether we will not eliminate that 20 game gap. We just didn't improve in areas where we needed to improve.
  15. a700hitter
    As for the discussion about whether or not the FO has changed philosophy, I have to throw some cold water on that one. Whether the FO needs to change philosophy to change the fortunes of this team is just a bunch of hooey. Philosophy hasn't been the problem of this team. Organizations with differing philsophies have been successful so long as the philosophy is well implemented. Philosophy has not been the Red Sox problem. Their problem has been poor implementation -- numerous and repeated poor personnel decisions. They don't need to change philosophy. They need to stop sucking. When your organization sucks, you don't cure it by changing your philosophy. You cure it by changing your personnel. They let Theo walk, but they replaced him with his protege and waterboy. They needed to clean house in the FO right up to, and possibly including Larry L. They did not and we are looking at a 2013 roster that will not be exciting and that has little chance of being competitive. There has been a change of philosophy since 2008. We went from a philosophy of success to a philosophy of suck.
  16. a700hitter
    With the start of Spring Training only about 2 weeks away, it is probably a safe bet that our roster is set and there will be no further acquisitions. As presently constituted, the talent level is roughly the same as it was at the beginning of last year on both sides of the ball, maybe slightly lower than last year. IMO, they are at best a 4th place team with a good likelihood of finishing last unless one of the other division rivals implode. I'll wait until the official start of spring training to make my predictions, but this is how I see things shaping up.
  17. a700hitter
    The Stros got a lot more value for Lowrie than the Red Sox got with Melancon.
  18. a700hitter
    The guy is 6'4" 240 and he has 1 HOUR in his last 500 plate appearances. That is horrendous. The only thing that he can hit hard is the wall with his fist.
  19. a700hitter
    I agree. Cherries thinks he is set for pitching. He is leaving himself little depth to fall back on if things turn bad. If we finish last again, I think he's toast.
  20. a700hitter
    Lazy Lars finds a home.
  21. a700hitter
    Let's hope he can regain that movement. Losing that much movement is huge.
  22. a700hitter
    The biggest drop in his k's was from 2010 to 2011. It's been a 2 year trend. It's taking him an awful long time to correct this mechanical flaw.
  23. a700hitter
    The defense wouldn't knock down Lester's k's by 25%.
  24. a700hitter
    If Overbay doesn't make the opening day roster, he has an opt out clause in his contract. He will not be our AAA first baseman.
  25. a700hitter
    We are staking our season on Buchholz and Lester having big seasons. After taking a look at Lester's numbers, I am not very confident that he will rebound to his 2010 form. In two seasons, his strikeouts have dropped from 225 to 166. A drop off by 60 strikeouts in the same number of innings sets off alarm bells to me. I know that someone posted a list of guys who had improved their ERAs by a run or more from one season to the next. I wonder how many of those guys had experienced a 25% drop off of strikeout effectiveness.
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