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ORS

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Everything posted by ORS

  1. This is not supported statistically. Crawford is not, over his career, an "on base" guy. Putting him up there isn't likely to increase their RBI opportunties. Despite his good play in May, even when you compare it to Pedroia's struggles, their OBP in May are .330 for Crawford and .347 for Pedroia. What's more likely to happen is that when Ellsbury/Pedroia get on, then the middle of the order comes up with one more out recorded. The the desire to have Crawford hit in the top 3 is nothing more than the archaic, "speed at the top", mentality.
  2. Generally, I agree. In this instance, though, I see nothing uncalled for. One, nobody took credit for anything. Two, and more importantly, a lot of the celebration from the team's win today was directed at suns specifically because of behavior at an opposing team's forum. He got petulant and brought up "celebrating like they won the WS". At that point, I think he brought it upon himself to have his team's lack of success thrown in his face, because, quite frankly, he doesn't know what it's like to celebrate your team winning one.
  3. Nah. Besides, it's not like you have experience celebrating a WS win, right?
  4. Why are you concerned about 1st place in May? In recent years, the Orioles have been in 1st in May quite a few times.
  5. Not by percentage. Point being, I would expect a larger magnitude of drop from the player with the higher numbers. But, I think a true measure of platoon issues should be measured as a percentage drop. In other words, player A has a 1.000 OPS hitting LH vs RHP, and a .750 hitting against LHP, a 25% drop. For a .800 OPS LH hitter, a 25% drop puts him at .600. One dropped .250 points, the other .200, but they have the same platoon decline in performance.
  6. Loving what I see from the Kentucky school system. Keep the yucks coming, suns.
  7. The Sox had a good number of very loud outs against Masterson, so the "looked like a team playing for the rain to end the game" bit doesn't stick, IMO. They had good at-bats, but you can't beat luck, and the Guardians have been the luckiest team in baseball to date. Don't take this the wrong way, but baseball is a funny game. Sometimes the liners are right at people, sometimes pitcher's pitches get hit, etc. You have to have a lot of that on your side to have such a strong record in 1-run games. I hang this loss on Francona. It made no sense to pull Buchholz, however, assuming that 90+ pitches was his limit due to the 127 in the start before, the pitcher to relieve him was Hill. It turns Santana around to his weaker side, but more importantly faces Brantley with a strong platoon advantage. He f***ed up again. No surprise there.
  8. Quit f***ing around with these jamokes. They suck.
  9. Masterson is getting lucky as bell. Tons of balls have been ripped, even by the RHH, but right at people.
  10. Ass-Dribble with 10 HR is May? MLB needs a stronger testing program.
  11. Doesn't look like the 55 footer is working, Clay.
  12. Anderson's a bust.
  13. I think mine is much more believable.
  14. I love caption this picture games. I've got one... "Raise your hand if you think suns smokes pole"
  15. Quick, tell what the standard deviation is for this discussion. No, don't define it, tell me the numerical value. I think you are trying to impress with buzz words. Don't tell me it's less than one std-dev when you have no clue what the std-dev is. That said, of course it's within one std-dev, the difference in value is very small. However, I was only showing the mathematical accuracy of the statement that a run prevented is worth more than a run scored. The rest of this paragraph is a philosophical statement, an opinion of what "you" would do, which in no way makes my statement any less accurate. If things remain status quo, it's Lowrie hands down. Iglesias doesn't look like he's going hit at all right now. Lowrie can hit while playing average D. It's a no brainer. As more information comes to light, I reevaluate and go from there.
  16. No, you need to analyze the tradeoff. There is not a great shortage of good run producers. There is a shorage of good run producers who can adequately field certain positions on the field. You don't just put a good run producer out there over a good defender arbitrarily. You weight the expected RS/RA for each and put the guy out there who you think gives you the most value.
  17. That was a drunk post, sorry for the zinger. Question, is it really far fetched to understand why people find interest in analytical methods that reveal the best players objectively in their favorite sport? I would expect to find interest there, not be confused by said interest, even if I didn't share it.
  18. Translation: I don't get it, so I'll make fun of it.
  19. Brentz was promoted to Salem and hit a HR in his first A+ game.
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