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ORS

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Everything posted by ORS

  1. It's less likely to happen than the statistical correction awaiting Pettitte. Take a look at the Hr/Flyball ratio, less than 1/3 of his norm, and they are in Coors Field. I hope he brought a neck brace, he might get whiplash.
  2. Runs created are the context independent representation of every offensive number. Stolen bases, double plays hit into, total bases, sac flys, sac bunts, walks, everything. So, when Teixeira has 80 RC to Berroa's 82, your claim the offensive numbers make a case for him is incorrect. Once you consider what position the production came from, it only adds to Berroa's case. Here is the defensive spectrum DH - 1B - LF - RF - 3B - CF - 2B - SS - C The further left you are on the spectrum, the easier it is to find production. Teixeira played over 75% of his games as 1B in '03, Berroa played every game as a SS. When the offensive production was marginally the same, whose contribution was more valuable when you consider position?
  3. The control is a concern, but he's passed the injury nexus for pitchers without a hiccup. He seems pretty durable.
  4. How? He created 80 runs while playing at primarily 1B to Berroa's 82 as a SS.
  5. Baldelli's probably the best argument to be made. But, he played further left on the defenisve spectrum and was edged out 95 to 96 in OPS+. I'm loathe to give the voters any credit, and they probably lucked into this one, but it was the right choice.
  6. The only thing that sucks about it is that they can't risk offering him arb in order to grab some picks. But, I agree, turn the Clement and Schilling money into something good. I'll take Zambrano.
  7. I don't think anyone is questioning whether Ethier was brought up for the first time last year. The question posed was, did he extinguish his rookie status, thus making him eligible. When you can still be a rookie next year because you haven't played enough, then you aren't eligible to win the ROY this year. Otherwise, someone could win it twice, theoretically. Berroa didn't deserve it? Who did?
  8. Masterson, Bard, and Johnson have all made improvements from their start to this season. It's kind of hard to call it a regression when one of them pitched zero professional innings last year and the other two only played short season A ball. Essentially, there is no baseline to regress from. Let the season finish and see where they are at the end.
  9. No, he pitched 124+ IP last year.
  10. If he can hold his recent trend, he'll be deserving of consideration. If the magical mystery can't find the plate inning makes more appearances, he won't get there. I think it's Pedroia's to lose right now. If he put up an .850+ OPS for a season from 2B, that's a lock.
  11. Berroa. I've always maintained ARod deserved his MVP. Although, the case isn't black and white in my eyes. There's some gray area for argument, kind of like there is with Berroa and Matsui.
  12. Berroa accounted for 10.9% of his teams runs created, Matsui for 10.0%. It's a marginal difference, but when you factor in the position played, Berroa was more valuable.
  13. And none of them were there for more than a year and a half. The point being, if they get rid of them in such a short timeframe, there's no way to tell if it wasn't just a bad year, or an adjustment to a new situation.
  14. I acknowledge that in-game situations can render some players ineffective due to the pressure. I think pitching in the 9th of a game with a slim lead or hitting late in a close game are situations where the pressure is tangible. We feel it as fans, the live crowd feels it, so it's fair to suggest the players do as well. What I find a little unbelievable is the notion that the entire 6 months of the season playing for Boston or NY are pressure packed to the point that it renders some players useless. That's just over the top, IMO.
  15. Yeah, and Manny is exhibit A. Doesn't affect his play on the field.
  16. I think the "can't play in Boston" line of thinking is a load of crap. Can you name one player who's poor play can be completely blamed on being in Boston? I'm betting you'll try to start with Renteria, but how do we know it was Boston? People have bad years, and what usually happens is the Sox can absorb the cost to ship them away when there is a market for them, so they do after that one bad year. And, when they bounce back the next year, like most ball players do, they get tagged with "couldn't play in Boston".
  17. He pissed it away with that chili-dip from behind the 3rd green. I know, the 3rd hole is so far from the finish, but you will have to watch him play golf for another 20 years before you see him miss hit a shot like that again. Pros hardly ever do that. The elite never do.
  18. YOU CLEMENT LOVING, PEDRO HATING, THEO APOLOGIST!!!!onE!!!
  19. Personally, I don't care either way. There are good reasons for the DH, like the fact that the game has becomed so specialized that the DH is a just a natural extension of that. There are good reasons for no DH, like the fact that the game is more pure when every player who takes the field should swing the bat. Whichever they choose is fine with me. What I don't like is the fact that the whole league doesn't play the same way. The AL builds it's roster and plays the game around the AL rules, and vice versa for the NL teams. When they go and play the game at the other's park, they are at a tactical disadvantage. That's kid of s*****, if you ask me. One league (the major leagues), one set of rules.
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