example1
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Everything posted by example1
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It might matter, but it isn't the difference between whether Cherington has done a really good job or a really poor job. All these stupid nicknames and prejudgments are just hot air. The team is almost completed. They may or may not be adding a marginally decent pitcher. If they do, they should be more than ready to face their competition. If they don't, they are pretty ready to face their competition. The difference isn't that big.
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Isn't it also silly that the move that will make or break the offseason in the minds of so many of the "better GMs than Cherington" here is Roy Oswalt or Edwin jackson? I think they are either going to sign one more bottom of rotation starter, trade for one, or go in as they are. That difference isn't significant in my mind. Yes, it would be nice to add another SP but it isn't going to make or break them. What will make or break them is the performance of all the other guys they already have... guys like Pedroia, Youkilis, Ellsbury, Gonzalez, Beckett, Buchholz, Lester, Bard, etc.,
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I just have a hard time believing that the Sox have played their hand so transparently. Trading for Gavin Floyd isn't a gimme, and I don't see why the Sox would legitimately believe that it is. This has all the makings of a media story that isn't based on substance, or which should at least be taken with the "we would be happy to start the season where we are at" line. It isn't worth moving significant chips for Gavin Floyd and he's not worth that. Kenny should know this. If they truly believe they can get FLoyd then they must know he's not going ot cost an arm and a leg. If they are still in the negotiation period, then nobody should assume Floyd is a done deal.
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It's weird that this has resulted in 2 championships and the second most wins in all of baseball since they took over, huh? Strange coincidence. :dunno:
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I think you can conclude either that there are unlisted incentives, they have serious concerns about his durability, or he is seeking a multi year deal someplace.
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1. I liked Wheeler, thought he was a decent bullpen option. 2. I find it weird that people are suddenly lamenting his loss after not mentioning him for 3 months. How much of a reflection on Bens ineptitude can it be if Wheeler wasn't mentioned in any substantive way this offseason?
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No, 5m probably won't be sufficient to land Roy Oswalt. Of course, the Sox might not want to pay much more than that. I think injury concerns loom here and the Sox just don't want to dish out money for someone who could be on the DL for half the season (they are already doing that with Jenks, Dice-K, Lackey). Offers that become publically known are often only half-truths, so I'm not putting too much weight in the Sox reported $5m offer. It could be $5m with significant incentives above 120, 140, 160 IP for all we know. I just wouldn't assume that they are completely lowballing him. That would be stupid and I have no reason to think they are stupid.
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Interesting. I mean Oswalt makes sense if he's willing, veteran presence and all. I do worry bout duribility issues though; save those issues for Beckett and Buchholz.
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I kind of always thought Jackson wasn't the type who worried too much what division he pitched in. Could be wrong though. At this point I would be pretty damn happy if the Sox got Jackson. Maybe happier than Oswalt, because Jackson isn't preloaded with injury risk. Got a game to start in September or October? Give me Oswalt. Got a season looming and a need for 200 ip from someone in spots 1-5? Give me Jackson... Assuming their prices are comparable.
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I just sense that Oswalt doesn't want to play in Boston. Maybe it's the reports that he wants to play in TX or STL, maybe its the fact he hasn't signed yet, or the reports saying he has even thought about retiring if he doesn't get the team he wants, but I just don't see it happening. Go for Edwin Jackson.
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The report on MLBTR also noted that Oswalt really wants to pitch in Texas or STL. Is it important that he actually wants to pitch in Boston? I don't know enough about his character to know if he would just be miserable in Boston. If there is a high likelihood that he would be then it might be best to not sign him... Especially if they are also going to pay him well below his asking price. Perhaps Jackson would be the better one year play here?
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I'm kind of shocked to see the positive reaction to this signing. I mean, it's nice to have a RH OF and all, but it's Cody Ross. Let's hope his splits vs. LHP keep up.
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I see a few factors at play here. First, Oswalt isn't the only pitcher available and he isn't getting too many offers. Perhaps they are right to wait him out, or maybe they know what Gavin Floyd would cost and think one or the other will be available at a decent price. Also, does anyone else think it is important to have a bit of spending room for the actual season? Usually teams need to add a piece here or there over a season. They may need to free up more room.
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Why wouldn't their market come down? It's basically an auction, and as competitors for the prize disappear, the need to bid higher goes down. Seems really, really simple and has repeated season after season after season. I never got the argument.
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http://espn.go.com/boston/mlb/story/_/id/7488226/did-boston-red-sox-trade-marco-scutaro-clear-cash-roy-oswalt I seem to remember a poster here saying that none of the SPs on the market would have their prices drop. That it was complete folly to think so. Oswalt isn't asking for 3 years anymore. He's down to 8m or so. His price has dropped. It makes sense. Regardless of whether he signs or not (unless he signs for 3 years elsewhere) it was good to wait for the market on this one. Anything else would have been an overpay.
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I heard discussion on the Fireside chats podcast that there is huge incentive for the Sox to be under the cap, not so much for 2012 but ABSOLUTELY before 2014, I believe because of the new CBA and increased penalties. I know many, including myself, we're already aware of their need to get under the cap soon but it sounds like the penalties would border on disastrous if they don't get under. That explains their intense focus on it this year, as all moves need to be made with that in mind until they are under. Part of their analysis focused on Ellsbury and the utter infeisibility of signing him if they are already near the cap and everything over it is taxed 50%. That makes a lot of sense. Hes not a 30m player and even if he goes elsewhere they will need money to restock behind him. What does this mean? Short deals are the prime concern and the LT is a huge, huge strategic (not so much penny-pinching) priority.
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Bookies are idiots? I mean, personally they might be idiots, but if by bookies you mean "oddsmakers" they are less likely to be inluenced by bias and their job depends on being right. Vegas doesn't make its money by losing, so I will be very interested to see the revised odds when they come out.
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I'm sure they are just working out the logistics of Tulo's road-game suite deal.
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Same guy on twitter... And, boom goes the dynamite.
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You probably haven't seen those commercials about slow blackberry service, huh? It's a funny poke at people who are 4 seconds behind.
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Would anyone be disappointed if the Sox just put Iglesias at SS and punted on ofense? I mean, Aviles is a better bat (by far) but defense first at SS isn't a horrible idea when pitching/defense is your biggest concern. Aviles's defense is really mediocre, right? Plus, he's on a major league contract.
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No Red Sox twitter sources for this rumor. Interesting.