And yet their run differential says they are exactly where they should be, with a record right near the top of all of baseball. PLUS they have been under producing for the past two months to an ALARMING degree in terms of outcome. They are getting so many guys on, and getting extra base hits, and working counts. It just hasn't scored the way the statistics say they should.
EDIT: In other words: the stats say they should be scoring more runs based on how many runners they are getting on and their relatively decent SLG. Their expected wins is saying that they are winning the appropriate number of games for a team that has allowed and scored as many runs as they have. The first set of stats say the Sox--if they continue with their current OBP trends--should start scoring more runs very soon. The same is true of what was happening to the Yankees for the first 2.5 months of the season (except for a few gaps of success). If their pitching continues its relative success (enough to justify a .589 win percentage, or whatever) and they start scoring more runs then we're looking at 100 wins and the playoffs. I like this team in the playoffs. I think they are built very well. I can imagine any three players getting hot for the Sox during a series and helping to carry the offense. Pedroia, Crisp, drew, Ortiz, Ramirez, Lowell, Youkilis. When these guys are hot they rip. Varitek and Lugo are more than adequate "support players".