How Willson Contreras’ Selective Approach Is Driving Early Success

[Gottie Chavez]

Amid a slow start for the Boston Red Sox, veteran first baseman Wilson Contreras has emerged as an unlikely hero while the majority of the lineup struggles at the plate. In a recent series win against his former team, the St. Louis Cardinals, Contreras continued his strong start, going 4-for-5 with a home run and three RBIs. In his 11th season, he is batting .304/.443/.500 with a .943 OPS. Touted as an underrated pickup after Boston acquired him in a trade from the Cardinals, Contreras has lived up to the hype, ranking second on the team with a 171 wRC+ while playing stellar defense.

“There’s a reason we got him. We needed another right-handed bat, and we got more than that. We got a guy that is playing great defense at first base, he controls the strike zone, he’s becoming a leader in the clubhouse. It’s fun to have him around,” Red Sox manager Alex Cora said about Contreras' contributions thus far.

Soon to be 34 years old and coming off a few down years with the Cardinals, Contreras' renaissance at the plate seems to be driven by his improved plate discipline. Known throughout his career for producing high hard-hit rates, the veteran slugger has actually taken a dip in that regard this season. His hard-hit rate sits at only 42.1%, down from his career-high 48.9% from last year.

However, this shouldn’t be perceived as a slight on him, but an example of his change of philosophy at the plate. Although his overall contact quality isn't at peak levels, his slugging percentage and xSLG have spiked up to .500 and .517, compared to last season's .447 and .488. A lot of that jump can be tracked to his newfound affinity for left field (and the Green Monster); Contreras is pulling the ball at a career-high 54.1% rate, while his contact to center field has dropped to a career-low 24.3% and his opposite-field rate sits at 21.6%, the second lowest of his career. This marks a major contrast to last season, where his spray chart featured a much more balanced split, 39.4%/37.1%/23.5%.

Notably, the last time he had as big a gap in his spray chart was in 2022, when his split was 44.4%/31.7%/23.8%. Coincidentally, that was also the last time he made an All-Star team.

Contreras’ selectivity at the plate has extended to every aspect of his game. This season, his swing percentage is at a career low, 41.1%, and he's being very patient, swinging at a near-career-low 25.5% pitches outside of the strike zone. Ultimately, what’s helping his decision-making is that he is also finding himself in very advantageous early counts. This season, his first strike percentage is at 44.8%, an almost 15% drop from his previous career low of 58.7% in 2019.

These early count advantages, combined with his laying off "pitcher's pitches" outside the zone, are forcing a few more predictable options around the plate, which he has been capitalizing on. While the sample size is small, Contreras' adjustments are exactly what the Red Sox have needed from their biggest offensive acquisition. Hopefully, his patience will start to carry over to the rest of the team.

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