S5Dewey
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Everything posted by S5Dewey
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Here's another idea to boost interest by making baseball more accessible to kids. Require each team to play one Sunday afternoon double-header a month in their own park. It would also shorten the season - which is already too long - by 5 days. Make them single-admission with the second game starting 1/2 hour after the conclusion of the first game. And I don't want to hear crying about how the poor owners would lose revenue. I believe the owners are doing fine, thank you.
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In spite of the things we disagree on we're right in lockstep on this issue. Teams that are accepting money via the "Competitive Balance Tax" should be REQUIRED to use that money to make their team more competitive. Duh!
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That's very true, but it's a whole 'nother story.
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Please define a high leverage situation.
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Then we agree on this. Clutch does exist and it shows itself in the stats. My opinion is that a clutch player who is normally a .290 hitter will pick up a few clutch hits throughout the season to raise his average to .310. (That's only 10 hits over a season based on 500 AB's). In the eyes of the statistician he's then a good hitter @ .310 rather than a slightly better than average hitter @ .290. And it's due to his being clutch.
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I think players think they do that...but in reality they don't. At the same time I don't think any player ever said, "I think I'll just 'mail it in' on this AB". But for some players when they find themselves in a pressure situation they feel the tingle...the goose bumps of knowing THIS is where they want to be... and they can dig down and find a bit more focus than they usually bring. That's clutch. Now.. are they always successful? No. Because baseball is such a random game that nothing is "ALWAYS". But these players are able to hit, field, pitch, or throw just a bit better than they usually do in those situations. It's reflected in their BA, etc. but since it's not identified as a pressure situation some folks think it doesn't exist.
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Possibly in the short-term financial sense, but not for fans of TB or PHIL. The reaon "nobody watched" the TB/PHIL WS was because fans had no interest in those teams for any reason. Many fans have gotten tired of the same teams doing all the winning. These fans will watch the WS just so they can see TBTMCB (The best team money can buy) lose. They want to see teams like Houston - who was an abysmal team just a few years ago - have a legitimate chance at a WSC. Everybody likes an underdog.
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.... which is just the way MLB wants it. They call it "parity". They want to keep as many teams as possible in the race as late in the year as is possible to keep interest up and fannies in the seats. Follow the money. It's not a bad thing for MLB but it's frustrating for fans of the Sox, Yankees, or any successful team knowing that the deck is stacked against their being able to sustain success.
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Are you saying that momentum, clutch, and choke exist and they show up in the stats?
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It appears that while they may not ignore the human element they don't give it much credit either. When push comes to shove their fall-back position is numbers.
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Another thing Kimmie and I agree on. IMO we hit a perfect storm of bad pitching in 2018. My bigger concern right now is Sale's arm/shoulder. If he's healthy (or reinvents himself) the Sox will be a contender next year provided they don't part with their defense to save money.
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Superior momentum. Seriously, winning doesn't necessarily create significant momentum. Momentum is one of those 'intangibles'. It starts in the mind/heart and is contagious throughout a team. It also can't last forever. If it did some team would have gone 162-0 by now.
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I've always believed that the 2004 World Series is proof positive of the existence of momentum. The Cards won 105 regular season games that year, Beat the Dodgers 3-1 in the MLDS, took 4 of 7 from Houston, then had the misfortune to step in front of a rolling freight train.
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But haven't you heard? They Yankees way is always the best way.
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Do you have...er...ah...anyone in particular .... in mind?
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Believe it or not... I have. And I found them fascinating. I don't mean to minimize them, but while I find them fascinating I also take them with a grain of salt because they completely ignore the human element in the game. The only place I can think of immediately where statistics can almost guarantee a winner is in counting cards at blackjack and that's because it completely rules out the human element.
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I'm aware that "some folks" won't agree with this but I've always given Millar a lot of credit for that WSC. He presented a positive attitude and stressed that they only had to win one game. Each day. And he outlined the plan.
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If JH is willing to go over the upper limit the question is... how far will he go over? Does he go a little over in the hope of making a run this year and trending downward for 2021? Or will he go 'whole hawg' and pull out all the stops?
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I agree, and there are a few players who have left money on the table to play in a particular city as well as retiring and leaving money behind. It's called "principles". I have a lot of respect for people like that. Unfortunately they're few and far between.
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The interesting thing about those beating their chests about claiming to be right about the cliff in 2020 is that what happened in 2019 was totally unpredictable. This "cliff" was caused by our pitching staff imploding on us and I don't remember anyone predicting that before the season started. Maybe (Probably?) this would have happened anyway in 2021 or 2022 but we'll never know for sure or to what degree. Those who would anoint themselves as being smarter than anyone else because they predicted it were more lucky than smart in their prediction. It's like blind squirrels finding acorns.
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I take these rankings with a smattering of the law of diminishing returns. Keeping in mind that they're all subjective to some degree, starting in the middle at #15.... Is #14 really better than #16??? How about #13 being better than #17? #12 vs. #18? Probably by the time you get to #10 & #20 there's a slight significant difference but I wouldn't put too much stock in anything within a 10 point range, especially once you get by the say... top 5. I don't see it as being at all unreasonable that a team can go from #30 to #22 overnight since all of this is subjective anyway.
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So what do you do with a player like that, who has flashes of brilliance at the plate but is GG defender? Bury him up in the 9th spot in the order and enjoy the defense.
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Except that is was THE FREAKIN' SIMPSON'S he said it on! When one hears something someone has said on The Simpsons they tend to take it with a grain of salt knowing that someone may be poking fun at himself. Not to mention that IMO there's some truth in it.
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It looks like we've come full circle on this.
