S5Dewey
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Everything posted by S5Dewey
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The Alex Cora Managerial Decision Thread
S5Dewey replied to StephenCurry30's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
The statement that lineups don't matter and its statistically proven is bogus. As Emp pointed out some time ago the only way it could be proven is by comparing a lineup that was prepared to maximize run production with one that was "drawn out of a hat". Until I see a significant number of random lineups not constructed to maximize run output to one that was intended to maximize run output I'm going to be taking the position that there is no baseline data to compare the two. Without that baseline it's impossible to compare the difference. Therefore, bogus. -
That's my thought too. I went with 93 thinking we'd be about the same as last year and because, well, 94 is a lot of wins! In rethinking it, IIRC we had a losing record against the Y's last year and I see this year as being a toss-up. That's an improvement right there. Add in the fact that the Sox are an improved team and therefore should have a better record against other teams and I can see this team approaching 100 wins. That's the good news. The bad news is that I'm still not sure that'll be enough wins to win the division.
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The Alex Cora Managerial Decision Thread
S5Dewey replied to StephenCurry30's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
And this qualifies as The Post of the Day! -
Those were my exact thoughts too.
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I've seen JDM play LF in a few games...maybe half a dozen...and he's gotten the job done although he didn't look very comfortable out there
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Oh, someone will complain. It'll be something like his arm is too erratic. He doesnt throw enough strikes to the plate from 375' away. Once people get down on someone they'll find some reason to disparage him. Remember when Mike Napoli was breezing along with an OPS > .800 and some posters wanted to run him out of town on a rail because he struck out too much?
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Exactly. Short anecdote: I was in a card shop in Colorado some years ago where some teenagers were saying that they 'didn't like' some certain players. The man who ran the shop then said told them that he likes to reserve judgement on that until he's actually met them.
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And I wouldn't dispute that. There were probably 20 players who had their spots sewn up on the first day if ST. Then there were maybe 10 more fighting for the last five spots.
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Spring Training only "doesn't count" when we want to say it doesn't count. Walden & Poiner are two pitchers who've made the 25 man roster largely on the basis of their ST performance. Blake Swihart is there - or possibly even still with the Red Sox based on what he's done in ST. I would posit that had Devin Marrero had Holts offense and vice versa during ST Marrero would still be with the team and Swihart (out of options) would be with another organization.
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That's a matter of opinion, but MLB set the baseline with Chapman's penalty. IMO what Chapman reportedly did is more than 2x as egregious as what Wright reportedly did.
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I agree with the first part of your post - that we don't know what actually happened. The only two people who do are Wright and his wife. From there it becomes a he-said, she-said and MLB has chosen who they want to believe. It does appear that when comparing what Chapman allegedly did with what Wright allegedly did Wright's penalty is comparatively excessive.
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Interesting possibility, but Swihart was inserted at 3B last night. This could be the opportunity to see what Swi has at 3B and do it against a "lesser opponent".
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Deleted...
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We have yet to see what effect losing Girardi has on the Yankees. I'm predicting that Aaron Boone is going to be hanged in effigy outside Yankee Stadium the first time the Yankees have a 5 game losing streak.
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I'm rapidly losing interest in this season. According to everything I'm reading here (posted by non-Sox fans) statistics indicate that the Sox are vastly inferior to other teams players at just about every position. But that doesn't matter because MLB already has the WS trophy wrapped up and ready for shipment to Yankee Stadium. It's amazing that some of us actually thought the Sox might win more than 90 games this year. I think I'll take up following curling this summer instead.
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I'm not a big believer in the cliff anyway. When I think of the cliff I see Wiley Coyote plummeting into an abyss with an anvil in his arms. I don't see that happening. IMO as long as John Henry is at the helm this "cliff" will consist of battling for 3rd place for a couple of years while the team is reloading. That certainly won't be my favorite thing but OTOH I survived consecutive last place finishes and we're now in the thick of things again. It's not like we're going to become Seattle.
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Or to put a more positive spin on it, Hanley's having a year which allows him to vest may take us deep into the playoffs. If Hanley has 550 PA"s & an .850 OPS year and we lose in the WS are we going to be wishing his option hadn't vested? I'm not. I want this team to go just as far as they can and I'll worry about this alleged "cliff" after the season is over.
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Yes, this. I've spent a lot of time scratching my head and wondering why so many posters seem to be almost hoping Hanley will fail. The more successful Hanley is the more successful the Sox are and conversely (or is it inversely?) the less successful Hanley is the less successful the Sox are. It would seem like we should all be hoping Hanley has a monster season with the attitude that if he fails we at least won't have his contract for another year...doesn't it?
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I hate to appear cynical but Spring Training is a money printing machine. Tickets probably average about $30 A person and they sell about 10,000 of them to every game. Their expenses are minimal - the county built them a stadium and the players salaries are under contract anyway - the "team store" is swamped with people who can't wait to buy $35 t-shirts & caps, and $8.50 beers flow like water. Is that a good enough reason?
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We have a very small window now of two years or three years maximum to make it happen. I don't want to miss a chance at the playoffs in 2018 just so Hanley doesn't vest. As Ralph Houk said, " Don't save a pitcher for tomorrow. It may rain tomorrow."
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Help me. This doesn't make any sense to me. Are you saying that if Hanley is having a great year (OPS>.850) and the Sox are in the running for a playoff spot you'd rather see the Sox put him on the bench than give him the AB's necessary for his option to vest? Even if it may mean missing the playoffs this year??
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Yes, he hit #5 today and it was a monster shot over everything. It looked like the Instant Replay of #4. I keep hearing that he adjusted his swing some last season to get more of an uppercut and if so it worked. He's squaring up the ball better now and every AB has become an adventure for opposing pitchers.
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No no no. I wish I agreed with this post but I don't at all. A good 1B makes the team better in two ways. He turns what would otherwise be throwing errors which allow runners to reach base (or advance) into outs with his ability to scoop balls out of the dirt. He also makes the rest of the infielders more confident in their throws. When they know they don't have to make a perfect throw they think less about the throw and we all know that thinking about the throw is a recipe for making a bad one. I agree that 1B is well down on the defensive spectrum because it doesnt require as many skills but the skills playing 1B requires are integral in having a good defensive infield.
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Im giving each of your two most recent posts a rating of +100 on a scale of 1-100.
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IMO The plan was Vaz & Swihart as a tandem. The fly in the ointment came when they picked up a light-hitting catcher (IIRC) while Vaz was getting his feet back under him after the TJ surgery and that catcher went on an offensive tear. Then they had three catchers on the team. One who was solid defensively but questionable offensively, One who could hit well butvwas a question behind the plate, and one who was suddenly better than mediocre on both sides of the ball. Rather than trade the one who could hit they tried to find a place for him so they could both keep his bat and have in reserve in case one of the other two catchers didn't pan out. I find it hard to question that plan, but it's come home to roost and they have to figure out to do with Swihart.
