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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. Ottvino had 2 bad outings on paper recently. But really, that loss to the Yankees he got beaten by two little pop ups that just found some dirt. In his previous 7 outings, he allowed 1 ER and had an OPS against of .536. and that OPSA was built on a .353 BABIP, which means he was pretty unlucky defensively and still managed to shut down the opposition. Whitlock has been terrific since the Braves kicked him around, but he's just as likely as Ottavino to get beaten by freakish pop-ups. The bullpen is working. No need to mess with the roles just yet...
  2. I’m sorry I only gave you one example. I should have added Tanner Roark (3.84) and Chris Archer (3.87), both of whom have better career ERAs than Jake Arrieta. And really, is Dallas Keuchel (3.63) a better pitcher over his career than Jon Lester? A lot of great pitchers do have elite ERAs. But the problem with ERA is it depends on too much non-pitching stuff like defense. (You know, like how Chris Archer just fell apart once he left Tampa.) And the differences aren’t all that great. We look at a pitcher with a 4.10 as average and a 3.80 as far superior, but that’s only 5 runs over 150 innings. Is that better pitching? Or better relievers behind you stranding inherited runners?
  3. Sticking with my Matt Beaty prediction at first. I’m on a roll after my clear victory picking the first 4 picks in the draft. (I’ve adopted the stance that I was right, but Pittsburgh, Texas, Detroit and Boston all got it wrong.)
  4. I hope this doesn’t mean you’re down on Ottavino after yesterday. He literally got “well placed pop up”ped to death…
  5. Because people clearly want to talk about Porcello. Is that wrong?
  6. Julio Teheran. Career ERA of 3.80, a shade behind the 3.79 of Trevor Bauer, who is all of 10 days older. Are they equal?
  7. Not really contradictory. There’s a difference between going in with te stuff you control (like payroll) vs the stuff you don’t (like health). There’s also a difference between using Sale and counting on Sale, as he could take longer to get ready and/or might re-injure himself quickly…
  8. The Dallas Cheap Foreign Agricultural Labor Force?
  9. Even if they fully or partially replace Dalbec doesn’t necessarily remove him from 2022 completely. Casas may or moat not be ready, but if nothing else, the Duran situation should have taught us that the Sox don’t blindly hand spots to rookies as Plan A…
  10. Maybe he’ll sign Porcello. Can’t get further under the radar than that…
  11. That’s why I keep throwing out Matt Beaty…
  12. HR/FB does rely on FB%. If a pitcher simply isn’t giving up fly balls, the percentage that go yard takes on less meaning. Also, ballpark is a factor…
  13. And the Sox should take 2021 seriously and not fret any tax limits. But they have to do so with the mindset that anything Sale gives is a bonus not to be counted on…
  14. Well, once you dealt Dalbec, you ruined my plausible (to me, anywa) Matt Beaty trade scenario. It’s just not the same with Chavis over Dalbec. So… why not CJ Cron, aka The Human Lottery Ticket?
  15. Considering you referenced a post about going over the tax limit this year as a counterpoint to my limiting my expectations from Sale, no. I find it difficult to believe that was not your intent…
  16. As mentioned, Sale can’t necessarily be counted on and maybe shouldn’t be. ERod is also now in doubt as well. And while both Eovaldi and Richards have been healthy to date, history tells us this, too, cannot be counted on. We may not be as ready to start shedding pitchers as you think…
  17. Andriese will get his chances in mop up roles in games the Sox are out of. If he can rediscover his groove, maybe meaningful innings follow. He's not this bad over his career, but he has seen something go terribly wrong since April.
  18. The constantly updated one? Most of those TJ surgery timelines don't end mid-season, and if they do, often teams just let the player sit out as they're out of the pennant race anyway. Simple question - are you suggesting the Sox RELY on Sale coming back this year? Or is this one of those things when you try to find hypocrisy in two statements that really don't conflict at all?
  19. Catching offene is clearly a weak spot, although calling for Plawecki over a difference of 30 OPS points might be a bit extreme. One thing about Renfroe, despite his minor slump recently, his OPS on April 30 was .485. Since then it's .834. Upgrade 1B. Bat the catcher 9th....
  20. True, but you doesn't mean you rely heavily on players coming off of surgery. One of those uncertainties is Sale's health, even in August 2021...
  21. They might want to remove the red coloring from the face. It defeats the entire purpose of the change...
  22. Well, wait until the Washington Football Team finds a way to crawl under the new bar. Will they go with my suggestion of "Washington Scandals"? Of course not!! In fact, I will lay money down in Vegas (with odds!) that their new name, which has taken longer to come up with, will be much, much less popular than the somewhat neutral Guardians...
  23. It is true. People keep planning on Sale to return, but it's probably not wise to do so and maybe even not possible this season. No setbacks to date doesn't mean they are never coming. And I would hate to see him out for 2022 just so the Sox could use him for 30 to 40 IP this season...
  24. Saves on printing costs for the new uniforms…
  25. But ERod also became somewhat of a question mark…
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