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devildavid

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Everything posted by devildavid

  1. devildavid
    Chavis used power to get to this level and his power has lately been negated by MLB level pitching. Without power, he is almost useless as a hitter. And he brings no special defensive abilities to compensate. If the Sox weren't caught with their pants down as far as reliable infield depth, he should be sent down. He needs the long ball soon or his days with the big club are numbered.
  2. devildavid
    But what if Ruth had not begun his career as a pitcher in the dead ball era?
  3. devildavid
    I never go for the one number quickie list. Don't care if it's OPS or WAR or any other single number, traditional or advanced. It is always an over simplification. Each hitter is unique and brings something different to the plate. I like to see if they are maximizing their particular skill set. For example, with JBJ and Moreland I focus on their extra base hitting. With Mookie and JD, I expect strong numbers in all categories. With OPS, you are adding fractions with different denominators, PA's and AB's And all you are doing is adding together two traditional statistical calculations. On top of that, SLG is only a crude calculation of power hitting. So OPS is in no way an advanced or better metric than the very traditional numbers is is derived from.
  4. devildavid
    Mookie's weaknesses so far: Against LHP Hitting first in game/leading off inning/first in batting order Away games Behind in the count/two strikes/even count He has been somewhat tailing off as the season progresses. Worse in May than March/April and even worse to start June.
  5. devildavid
    OPS is not an advanced metric. It is a very flawed number. It measures nothing.
  6. devildavid
    Easier said than done. Hard enough just to make contact, let alone directing where the ball will go.
  7. devildavid
    They are incapable of adjusting. Their ability to get extra base hits is what gives each of them most of their value as hitters. They are not Ichiro types nor especially selective hitters.
  8. devildavid
    Not surprised that the Brock star has been a spark. He's that kind of player. His big problem lately is staying healthy. The league now has a book on Chavis. Let's see if he can make the necessary adjustments.
  9. devildavid
    And as I pointed out, JBJ's OPS is driven largely by extra base hits. In the last 28 days he has hit 6 of his 9 doubles and all 4 of his home runs for the season.
  10. devildavid
    There is no such rule.
  11. devildavid
    Momentum means nothing. Only the final score does.
  12. devildavid
    Thank you
  13. devildavid
    All that you pointed out has zero bearing on this season. You don't win games based on last year's performance or the team payroll. You win based on how you perform in each season. It doesn't matter how you make the playoffs. The Sox won the division for two straight years and went nowhere in the playoffs; one of those seasons included a legendary regular season by David Ortiz. Just make the playoffs. That is all that matters. Style points are meaningless.
  14. devildavid
    Blown saves don't mean lost games. How did the Sox lose a game when the opposing pitcher blew a save?
  15. devildavid
    Blown saves don't mean s***. All that matters is the final score. The Sox lost a game in which the opponents reliever blew a save.
  16. devildavid
    Also the Sox defense has been lacking some so far. The overall performance of the pitching/defense has been keeping them from rising to a higher level of success. They have shown they can score, but they have not shown as good an ability to stop their opponents from scoring. That is keeping them in the lower level of contending teams.
  17. devildavid
    I think the best the Sox can hope for now is a wildcard spot. Have to hope that Cleveland and Oakland don't get hot. Plus, Sox have to do much better head to head against them as well as within the division against the Yanks and Rays. No signs yet that they can play much above .500 ball so far.
  18. devildavid
    Don't forget about Oakland.
  19. devildavid
    This isn't reversion to the mean at all. This team is not performing up to their talent level so far this season. Last season was a perfect storm of great performances, and this was also a team that had taken the division for three seasons in a row. Two of those seasons were with the supposedly mediocre managing of John Farrell. I have no reason as to why this season has been mediocre at best as far as winning games, but I can't pin it on Cora.
  20. devildavid
    Sox will be in for a dogfight for a wildcard spot. It won't be easy.
  21. devildavid
    As I posted earlier, his value as a hitter is all about his ability to get extra base hits. If going the other ways results in that, that's fine. But JBJ is not a bat control hitter or that adept at getting on base. I can't see him remaking himself as a hitter at this point in his career. If the extra base hits come, his OPS rises as well as his value as a hitter.
  22. devildavid
    Pedroia was a great player. I think I wrote him off back in 2017 as I saw him heading down the Youkilis highway. His style of play was a two edged sword; it made him great and it wore him down. The Machado incident just told me how old school tough he was, not that he wasn't a team player. He always gave his all on the field for the team. I have no complaints about his efforts in support of the team. He just never knew enough to take time to heal and he couldn't alter the style of play that got him to the big leagues and made him great.
  23. devildavid
    JBJ's main hitting issue this season is a lack of extra base hits. His pctg. of them is currently matching his career low of 5.2% which he had in 2014, his worst hitting season. This is where his otherwise poor hitting derives all of its value. He is not a good hitter or good at getting on base base otherwise. His BA and OBP clearly indicate this. So if he rarely hits safely, each hit needs to be of greater value. He is a poor contact hitter, and shows no signs or inclinations to become one. And if not for his stellar fielding, he is not an MLB level player. If his fielding truly has slipped substantially, his value to any MLB team is minimal.
  24. devildavid
    Sox offense is fine. The defense/pitching needs to get better. Otherwise they will be a Wild Card team at best. And they have to prove they are really better than teams like Oakland and Cleveland, which appear inferior but still find ways to win while the Sox seem to keep finding ways to lose.
  25. devildavid
    Batting average tells accurately what percentage you hit the ball safely in all your at bats which you hit the ball either for a hit or an out. That is what at bats are considered in baseball and everyone is aware of that fact. Hitting is so difficult that slight variations in average indicate wide variation in the ability to hit safely. SLG is flawed and OPS more flawed. And it appears that not everyone is aware of that.
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