moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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An early quirk: Sox are... 6-1 when scoring 4-5 runs 10-4 when scoring 6-8 runs
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It could start out as an idea to rotate, but eventually one guy steals the show.
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I don't think any one person takes over the DH slot. Sandy's return and what shape he's in is a factor. I think HanRam stays at 1B. We could see HanRam, Shaw and Sandy rotate through the DH, 1b and 3B slots. We could see Benintendi with the big club, and an OF'er getting some time at DH as well (Young/Castillo). We could see Moncada rise quickly and win a big chunk of the DH role, at least by mid-season. With so many options, so many blocked prospects, so many highly paid vets, I doubt we spend large on an outside bat.
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I don't think Holt would have been the centerpiece of any trade netting us a decent pitcher, but if you look at what Zobrist was paid at his age, I think Holt had more value to some other team in MLB than the Sox.
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50+ PAs BAbip Player LD% Hard% .398 Shaw 20% 31% .396 Ram 22% 37% .390 JBJ 21% 39% .389 Bogey 20% 32% .387 Young 26% 32% .328 Pedey 21% 26% .326 Ortiz 18% 48% .326 Vaz 21% 28% .283 Betts 20% 31% .282 Holt 25% 25% .256 Hanig 26% 31%
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The OBP leaders so far for the Sox are... .467 Rutledge .405 Ortiz .391 Swihart .391 Shaw .390 Bogey .374 JBJ .367 HanRam .349 Pedey .333 Young .327 Young .306 Betts .304 Vazquez .268 Hanigan SLG .695 Ortiz .593 Rutledge .588 JBJ .547 Shaw .503 Bogey .479 HanRam .478 Pedey .442 Betts .404 Young .385 Holt .375 Vazquez .278 Swihart .255 Hanigan
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TB leaders: 89 Ortiz 80 JBJ 79 Bogey 76 Shaw 76 Betts 75 Pedey 69 HanRam 40 Holt 7 guys on pace for 280+ TBs
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We're not yet at the quarter mark of the season, and here are the RBI Leaders 33 Ortiz 30 JBJ 27 Betts 26 Shaw 23 HanRam 22 Bogey 20 Pedey 19 Holt 8 guys on pace for 80+ RBIs/ 4-5 guys on pace to get near 100.
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Updated Sox OPS leaders (30+ PAs): 1.101 Ortiz 1.060 Rutledge .962 Bradley .938 Shaw .893 Bogaerts .846 Ramirez .827 Pedroia .748 Betts .731 Young .718 Holt .679 Vazquez .523 Hanigan
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Clearly our rotation is our biggest weakness. I've held the position that we have too much quantity and not enough quality when it come to SP'ers. O'Sullivan, Owens, Elias, Johnson, Cuevas and others Yeah, when ERod and Kelly return, we should be better off, but I'm thinking by the time the trade deadline comes around, we'll be looking for a solid SP'er.
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There are players in the HOF that were bad to horrible fielders, so I don't see why being a DH should stop anyone from being inducted.
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Holt's not all that great on D either, but he's better than Josh.
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I'd have Moncada playing 3B and LF at Salem for a few weeks, then I'd bring him up to Portland. By year's end, we may see Pawtucket looking like this: C- Swihart, Leon 1B- Travis 2B-Hernandez (Moncada) SS- Marrero 3B- Moncada (Witte) LF- Brentz (Moncada) CF- Benintendi RF- Castillo DH- Witte Nice, huh?
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I'd move Moncada up to AA very soon.
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Ben supposedly had always liked Rutledge. What's going to happen if he keeps an OPS over 1.000? Holt looks to be hitting the wall early this year. Do we now have to start giving Josh some reps in LF? (I'd have traded Holt while his stock was high.)
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I like the 29 man roster with daily 25 players designated idea. I'm all for the auto strike idea. You could probably also put a sensor in the first baseman's mitt and first base bag to make calls at 1st base automated as well.
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I started one of the most wildy popular threads on the Globe site titled "Rumors of Papi's Demise Have Been Greatly Exaggerated". It was in response to a poster who continuously found ways to berate Ortiz. One his favorite claims was that "Papi clogged the base paths." Papi is a legend. He's probably the player that has come closest to single-handedly carrying a team to championships in a sport where that's supposed to be impossible. He's on pace for his best career season! He should consider playing another season or two and pass Ted Williams for most Red Sox HRs. I think he only needs 65 more.
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I'd expand the active roster to 27 players and the 40 man roster to 45.
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I've had my share of being wrong the last few years too, but thanks, crit. I was also one of the few posters to defend Porcello and his extension. The jury is still out on him, but he certainly looks better than 2015.
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According to fangraphs, the Sox are 1st in OPS and runs scored 5th in RP'er WAR 7th in UZR/150 8th in Base Running 14th in SP'er WAR (16th in ERA-)
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There are 20 teams with an OPS over a hundred points lower than the Sox. 8 teams are 150 points or more behind the Sox. 21 teams are 50 or more runs scored behind the Sox. 11 teams are 70 or more runs behind. 35 games: 70 runs- do the math!
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Cris Young has now risen to a .731 OPS in 52 PAs. That puts the Sox in a class all by itself over this short sample size of 35 games. All Sox 10 players with 50 or more PAs have an OPS above .680. 9 players are above 723 and six are over .833! The Cards have 11 guys with 50+ PAs, but K Wong is at .560, Gyorko is at .685 and Grichuk is at .693.They do have 8 guys above .799. The Cubs have all the glitz by having 3 guys over 1.000 and 6 over .810, but out of their 11 guys with 50+ PAs, they have Soler at .536, Heyward at .580, Montero at .649, ROSS at .690, so it appears our offense is more balanced..
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Who is the best Sox defender right now?
moonslav59 replied to Maxbialystock's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
1) Vazquez/JBJ 3) Pedroia 4) Betts 5) Bogey -
I don't see it as an oh for ten stretch on defense. JBJ has been a plus on defense so far this year, but UZR/150 just hasn't captured it yet.
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I have always argued that OBP is more important than SLG, and the data supports this position. Maybe something like this might be better: OBP + OBP + SLG/ 3 would be best, but if the evidence supports a 60-40 ratio is more realistic, then work it out that way: (6 x OBP) + (4 x SLG) / 10. Now that we are so used to using OPS, maybe going with OBP + OBP + SLG/2 would be better.
