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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    Where did you hear Smith will miss the first months of 2017?
  2. moonslav59
    I don't bet anymore... not since "Black Sunday" many years back, when a bunch of buddies and I, I kid you not, lost 30 of 32 bets placed.
  3. moonslav59
    I almost have more faith in Hernandez, Holt and Moncada. I won't go so far as to say Pablo. Shaw reminds me too much of Middy. Big flash, then back to reality. Shaw had 668 PAs at AAA and a .715 OPS. His .795 OPS at AA in 870 PAs is also unimpressive. I think even expecting him to play at his career .754 MLB OPS is asking for too much. I'm not writing him off, but I'm not betting on him winning the job either. I agree that signing another 3B scrub makes little sense. Assuming no 3B pick-ups, here's how I would put the odds on who is the opening day 3Bman (barring injury) and who plays the most innings at 3B next year: Opening Day: 33% Holt 25% Shaw 17% Moncada 10% Pablo 10% Hernandez 5% Swihart Most 3B Innings by season end: 33% Moncada 20% Holt 20% Shaw 10% Swihart 10% Hernandez 7% Pablo
  4. moonslav59
    How about these two back-to-back seasons by a Red Sox shortstop? .290 39 159 (led AL) .930 OPS .295 30 144 (led AL) .872 OPS I know bosoxmal knows who I'm talking about, but does anyone else?
  5. moonslav59
    Just looking at the numbers, it's got to be Teddy. Papi was the man come playoff time. Foxx was amazing in his own right.
  6. moonslav59
    I wouldn't either. I was joking. Verlander is being paid huge money and is getting older.
  7. moonslav59
    Like Moncada, Dubon, Swihart and Kopech for Verlander and Iggy?
  8. moonslav59
    With Hill it was always about his health. It seemed easy to guarantee him a slot (as long as he was healthy), and having to smooth over Kelly or Buch's ruffled feathers would probably not have been as hard as many of us imagined. Bosoxmal deserves an "atta boy".
  9. moonslav59
    That might still leave enough to get a journeyman left-handed batter to play 3B and/or DH.
  10. moonslav59
    I've always had a soft spot for the poor Cubs and their fans, and I never have liked the Dodgers, but I'm finding myself pulling for them now. I guess I'm always a sucker for the underdog. The damn Cubs have always been the underdog, and now they've gone and made themselves the favorite by kicking ass this year.
  11. moonslav59
    Just goes to show you that roster construction and best team on paper don't always translate into wins. It's not over, of course, but man o man, isn't Rich Hill amAAAAZing!
  12. moonslav59
    Some notable starter 2016 values (326 pitchers with 50+ IP): Top 13 $52.3 Kershaw $51.8M Syndergaar $49.2 J Fernandez $44.9 Scherzer $43.8 Cueto $41.8 Porcello $41.5 Verlander & Sale $40.6 Kluber $39.3 Bumgarner $38.3 Quintana $36.9 Tanaka $36.0 Price Others 15 Lester $34.7 28 Hellickson $25.6 29 JA Happ $25.6 30 E Santana $25.4 31 jansen $25.3 32 J Teheran $25.3' 33 Pineda $25.3 34 Archer $25.1 35 Lackey $24.6 40 Pomeranz $23.8 42 Hamels $23.7 43 A Miller $23.6 52 Wright $22.1 53 D Duffy $22.1 57 Chapman $21.7 76 M Moore $16.3 86 J Odorizzi $16.3 102 Melancon $14.3 115 Wade Miley $12.2 128 Zimmerman $10.4 131 Ziegler $10.2 139 ERod $9.6 155 King Feliz $8.3 192 R Ross $5.8 218 Buchholz $3.9 227 M Barnes $3.5 241 Hembree $2.7 322 Shields -$7.6M
  13. moonslav59
    Yeah, last year!
  14. moonslav59
    If there was a guarantee that a player would put up a 10 WAR in 2017, he'd probably get a $40-50M/1 year deal on the open market. WAR is not a tool to project future WAR or dollar worth. It is a measure of past performance level.
  15. moonslav59
    Agreed. Half way through 2014, we all knew Lester was gone, so in that context, trading Lackey and tanking the 2015 season rotation made some sense. Had Kelly gone on to do well and Craig returned to 2011-2013 form, nobody would have cared about Lackey's one year of remaining control.
  16. moonslav59
    Craig ranked 22nd in OPS from 2011 and 2013. It was an outlandish thought to think there was a significant chance Craig would bounce back after a serious foot injury in the WS against the Sox in 2013. The high salary of Craig also counts as $6.2M a year, far less than his actual salary. The deal sucked. I'm not trying to claim otherwise, but there were certainly some reasoning behind it.
  17. moonslav59
    I kept saying during last season that we should hold off criticizing the extension, until the extension actually begins (in 2016). I loved the extension from day one for one reason: every year in the deal falls within his prime.
  18. moonslav59
    Totally agree, but does anyone really think we'd have won in 2015 with Lackey? His last contract year was 2015. Again, I'm not defending the deal. I disliked it at the time, even though I liked Kelly and thought he showed promise. I thought we should have and could have done better. I know that seems like my never-ending mantra, but I see what others get for worse pitchers.
  19. moonslav59
    Here's MLBTR's projected our arbs results... (pretty close my projections- see down below) Red Sox (11) Fernando Abad (5.073) – $2.0MM Robbie Ross Jr. (4.100) – $1.8MM Joe Kelly (4.029) – $2.6MM Drew Pomeranz (4.013) – $4.7MM Josh Rutledge (3.090) – $1.0MM Brock Holt (3.052) – $1.7MM Xander Bogaerts (3.042) – $5.7MM Bryan Holaday (3.025) – $900K Brandon Workman (3.018) – $600K Jackie Bradley Jr. (2.150) – $3.3MM Sandy Leon (2.149) – $1.3MM My projections: Bogaerts:$650K > ~$6.0M (1st of 3) Bradley: $546K > ~$4.0M (1 of 4) Pomeranz $1.35M> ~$3.5M (2 of 3) J Kelly: $2.6M>$2.7M (2 of 3 arbs) Ross: $1.25M> $1.6 (2 of 3) Holt: $606K > $1.3M (1 of 3) Leon: $minor > $1.2K (1 of 3) Rutledge: $minor> $850K (1 of 3) Workman: $540K > $600K (1 of 3)
  20. moonslav59
    How about the respect Lackey was paid when he was out injured for a whole year after s***ing the bed the previous year playing hurt. The injury we were worried about when we put in that clause actually took away 2 years of his 5 year deal. What did he end up making? $82M for not much time doing well? I just didn't see Lackey being in a position to expect an extension. I'd have done it from the Sox perspective, because he was good enough to want him back, but I can at least see how LL could take the stance of a prick against Lackey & his agent.
  21. moonslav59
    I feel just about the same way. I give a long leash to our GMs. I've disagreed with all three of DD's biggest deals, but I'm far from ready to suggest he should be replaced.
  22. moonslav59
    Of course, they both could have seasons somewhere in between, better or heaven forbid, worse.
  23. moonslav59
    Stats like ERA- capture park differentials and strength of offenses faced, and Cueto was always near the top. 2011-2015 ERA- 58 Kershaw 69 Cueto 69 harvey 72 deGrom 72 Medlin 73 Sale 75 Greinke 76 Lee 77 Gray 78 Darvish 78 Price
  24. moonslav59
    I'm not doubting your math. I'm wondering why Cots doesn't list his arb years yet. 5 years is great news and does make it less likely I'd agree to trade him.
  25. moonslav59
    Years of team control on our rotation: Price: 2 (opt out) or 6 (no opt out) Porcello: 3 Rodriguez: (arb not set yet, so maybe 4 years?) Wright: 4 (3 arbs) Pomeranz: 2 (both arbs) Buchholz 0 or 1 (option) Kelly: 2 arbs Elias: 4 (3 arbs) Owens & Johnson (arbs not set yet) The Pen: Kimbrel: 1 or 2 (option) C Smith: 4 (3 arbs) R Ross: 2 arbs Abad: 1 arb (no minor league options remaining) Workman: 3 arbs All others: no arbs set yet
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