moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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All three. He wanted a closer, he wanted to end the drought and he knew the fans would be happier. It's no coincidence that the three rings we have were all in years with superior closer performances.
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I had argued that we could have easily traded for KRod and signed Clippard, and maybe we'd have done just as well with those two instead of Kimbrel. The cost in money would have been close, but we'd have been able to keep Margot & Guerra for a later trade (maybe those two for Pom not Espi for Pom). It's easy in hindsight, but I hated the CK trade at the time. In all fairness, I also mentioned D Day or Benoit as possibilities, and they were disasters.
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...and there trade of him alter reflects how quickly things are blown over. Of course, when they got him, there were some doubts about suspensions or charges.
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The Yanks seemingly ended up getting more for Chapman than they gave up to get him.
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Maybe because he came along before OBP became so highly valued.
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You could be right. Once JBJ got to the mid 20's in HRs, maybe he looked too hard at the number 30. I, too, would prefer a better BA/OBP guy than one who hits 10 more HRs. I will say, I don't think his approach and swing looked as bad late last year as it did before he made the adjustments that turned his career around.
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I agree, but when you said "He made himself into...an OBP with pop." I wanted everyone to know he was always a high OBP guy. The "pop" part did develop late as he usually hit about 10 HRs per 600 PAs, then went to 16 at age 28 and 29 at age 29 (without sacrificing 2Bs, I might add)..
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They got the "best" available closer on paper at the time, but my argument was that we paid a hefty price twice: one in too many good prospects and two in "near FA market cost". The cost has gone up dramatically since then, but there a lot of options that winter. Free agent signings (not all did so well, but neither did CK): D O'Day $31M/4 R Madson $22M/3 T Clippard $12.25M/2 S Cishek $10M/2 T Cahill $4.25M/1 N Feliz $3.9M/1 J Broxton $7.5M/2 F Rodney $2M/1 Trades: J Benoit for Enyrl de los Santos & Nelson Ward K Rod for Javier Betancourt & Manny Pena Pomeranz & Jose Torres for Yonder Alonso, M Rzepczynski & Jabari Blash D storen for Ben Revere K Giles for V Velasquez, B Oberholtzer, M Appel, H Arauz, T Eshelman A Chapman fotr Rookie Davis, Eric Jagielo, Caleb Cotham & Tony Renda
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I'm hoping he can be more consistent or at least have more and/or longer "hot streaks" going forward, but I'd be happy with a streaky hitter that ends up near .830 most years.
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I doubt we eat up that much flex spending room for Plouffe.
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Only players on the 40 man roster count, unless you trade someone and pay part of their salary.
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There were a lot of options the winter we traded 4 prospects for a RP'er making close to FA market money.
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I've always been very high on Hembree- maybe undeservedly so. I agree on C Smith. He's no sure bet, even if he gets himself 100% healthy.
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At today's relief pitcher prices, Kimbrel's $13M option should be a "no brainer", unless he really sucks this year or get hurt badly. Kimbrel's luxury tax raise will not be as significant as Sale's. Kimbrel's lux# goes from $11.5M to $13M. Sale's lux# goes from $6.5M to $12.5M in 2018 and $13.5M in 2019. Together, it's $8M more in 2018. Add the arb raises, and we'll see all of the $14M money saved by losing Young $6.5M, Moreland $5.5M & Abad $2M eaten up pretty quickly--and then some! Hence the strong need to reset the tax rate this winter. Trading HanRam and/or Pablo next winter may become an option.
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Lots of arb players about to get started or start making serious money in raises: winter 2017-2018: Betts: 1st of 3 Bogey: 2nd of 3 JBJ: 2nd of 4 Pomeranz, Kelly & Ross: 3 of 3 Thornburg, Holt, Rutledge: 2 of 3 C Smith, ERod, Swihart, Wright and Vaz: 1st of 3 or 4
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Yes, Craig gets $11M this year plus a $1M buyout next year. None of this counts on the luxury tax budget, because he's not on the 40 man roster. Castillo still has $11.7M due for three more years and then a $14.3M final year- also not on the 40 man roster. When people say they wonder why Henry is trying to avoid paying a luxury tax, one could look at these two guys and see it as already paying $25M for the "luxury" of having the funds to take a chance on them. Losing Castillo's $11M should make paying a luxury tax next year a little easier, especially if we can, indeed, reset the tax rate this season.
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I do think Pablo will rebound. I remember catching flack for just mentioning his name as possible 3B competition for 2017 back in late fall/early winter 2016.
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I said the same about HanRam after the 2015 season. Trade him while his stock is high (assuming he had a good 2016 season). I don't feel that way anymore, but part of me still thinks HR may suck or get hurt this year. His recent ups and downs are concerning. I do like Devers much more than Travis, so we may have a better result trading Pablo. I doubt Travis outplays HanRam in 2017 or 2018.
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Certainly the lefty-righty aspect is a major factor, and I suspect good fastball hitters will usually do better against mainly fastball pitchers. There are certain specific skills that tweak the "randomness" to some extent.
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Even if he looks average or slightly below, we're still stuck with him, but we'll have to cross our arms and legs too. If he sucks... Oh NOoooooo!!!!!
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Actually, it did this once anyways. Papi hit 31 in 448 PAs year 1 and went over 40 the next 3 years.
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Maybe pie-in-the-sky, but what if Pablo looks good in ST'ing? Would SFG take him off our hands, if we paid $10M of his $19M a year? Word is the CWS are willing to pay part of Robertson's contract in a trade. With the $9M saved on Pablo, maybe we could trade for Todd Frazier (est $12M arb) and David Robertson (pay enough of his salary to stay under the limit). The problem is, what prospects do we have left that the CWS would want without giving up Devers, Groome or Travis? Also, who plays 3B in 2018? Maybe this is more like mud-in-the eye than pie-in-the-sky. Never mind. Just useless boredom surfacing.
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His injury will help keep his arb costs down for a while.
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I remember looking at his numbers at MN over his last 2 seasons and thinking 38 HRs in 715 PAs was damn good, and maybe in Fenway, he could hit 40 in 650 PAs. I was hopeful he could be more than a platoon DH/1Bman, but I certainly didn't foresee what was to come. All 4 of his season in MN with over 345 PAs saw him have an OPS at .799 or better. 6 seasons or partial seasons in MN was a long time.
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cots has the same info.
