moonslav59

It seems like he's going to have to do some more wheeling and dealing to be the favorite (or near fave) next year- not that being the faves guarantees anything.

True, but it doesn't bother you that he's only played more than 123 games once? Look, I'm all for signing JD, and that's probably a better choice than trading a big package for Stanton, but when people question Stanton's history, I felt I should bring up the fact that he compares favorably to JD on that front. The last 4 years are pretty close though, with JD doing slightly better. JD since 2014: 123, 158, 120 and 119 GS since 2014: 145, 74, 119 and 159 JD with 33 more games. Last 2 years: GS with 39 more games. BTW, JD did go on the DL with a sprained wrist in 2013 from 7/27 to 9/13, and that same year he sprained his knee and went on the DL from 4/20 to 5/7, so his pre-2014 history is not snow white.

Hosmer is near the bottom of my list. He will want and get at least 3 years- probably 4-5. He's not the guy I want to have at 1B for that long. He's not good fielder, and he's been up and down like a yo-yo. Duda can probably be had for 1 year. He has better numbers over the last 4 years. He's no good on D either, but he has the best 1Bman ISO over the last 4 years. We need power. Hosmer looks like 2017 might have been a fluke.

My wish list... 1) Stanton, as long as we don't have to give up JBJ and Bogey (or Beni). 2T) JD Martinez 2T) M Moustakas 4) L Duda (assuming we get 1 of the above)/ Santana (if not) 5) A Cobb 6) Z Cozart 7) L Morrison (see Duda) 8) maybe Lance Lynn? 9) E Nunez (if health is okay)/ H Kendick (if not)

Good points. Stanton did play 159 games this year. One injury was from getting hit by a pitch, so I wouldn't count that as being "injury prone". I am a bit concerned about injury, but I am more concerned with JD Martinez's health.

Stanton's games played blow JD Martinez away.

I feel pretty close to how I felt with Sale. Guys like Stanton only become available once in a long, long time. We're talking about... Giancarlo Freakin' Stanton! Now, I want to know what they want in return, but I'm all ears, and I'm seeking ways to get the prospects they will want, even if it means trading JBJ or Bogey.

Cozart is 9th and he's a guy people are drooling over for some reason. Maybe it's the better-than-Bogey defense, the .385 OBP and the .548 SLG. 24 HRs in 122 games isn't bad either.

Thanks. I think another change is that teams that sign a QO no longer lose a 1st round pick. They lose a second rounder instead.

Then, we say no and trade JBJ instead. I'm not for handing any of our players away for less than their value, but we should explore all avenues on obtaining Stanton.

When is the first day a team can sign a free agent?

Nobody wants the 4th best SS WAR guy over the last 3 years combined, and who is making arb money NOT free agent money. Are you serious?

I doubt his value diminished much at all.

If we trade Bogey for prospects need to get Stanton. My idea is not to replace him with Lin/Marrero/Hernandez. I'd sign Cozart and Duda. I'm not "for" trading Bogey, but if that's what it takes to get Stanton, then I'd strongly consider it. Since Stanton plays the OF, trading JBJ and his 3 years of control would probably bring back better prospects than Bogey's 2 years of control, so that may make more sense.

JD games played vs EE is a complete mismatch. JD: only over 123 games once in his career. 123, 158, 120 & 119 the last 4. EE:Never under 128 games in the 6 years before becoming a FA last winter. 151, 142, 128, 146 & 160 the prior 5. EE can probably play 1b as well as JD plays the OF.

Was allowing 26 less runs also s***ing the bed? 668 runs allowed would have been 2 runs from leading the AL last year. We traded for Sale, instead of replacing Papi. Yes, our offense was a let down. They failed to meet expectations by a lot. I'll agree the offense "s*** the bed" as compared to 2016, but not the team as a whole. Finishing 5th out of 15 teams is not really horrible, but when compared to 2016, it is.

We had identical 93-69 records in 2016 and 2017 not 2 less wins. Counting the playoffs, we did 1 win better in 2017 than with Papi in 2016.

Again, why waste a year's value of a vet for one year, when they will not be competing? No extra fans will come, because JBJ is playing for a year before being traded. Any vet they get should be flipped immediately, of a 3 team trade can be organized. I'm not sure about what Jeter will be looking for: ML ready prospects, 2-4 years away prospects or both. I seriously doubt he looks for a player that is a star already, unless it's someone like Beni who can be part of a 3-5 year plan. JBJ and Bogey will be free agents by the time the Marlins could conceivably be contenders.

Bogey has the 4th highest SS WAR over the last 3 years combined. GMs do not significantly devalue a player of his age due to one "off year" that may have been affected by an injury. Bogey would likely bring more than a blue chipper. He has 2 arb years left and many teams could use an upgrade at SS. Waiting for 2019 wastes one of the years left in "the window".

lol.

JBJ or Bogey could be traded for a blue chip prospect (or two) that has separated himself already, then sent to Miami. Add 2-3 from Groome, Chavis, Mata, Houck and Flores and I think the Marlins say yes. Maybe someone else offers better. Like I said, I could be wrong on what it takes, but Stanton's salary puts a huge hurt on whoever gets him.

The one thing your kids showed was that they weren't ready to lead in 2017. With Papi gone and the onus on them, they s*** the bed. If 93 wins is s***ing the bed, then what of teams with less wins? You must add an elite bat to take some pressure off Betts. I totally agree. With maybe as much as $40M to spend this winter, I think DD makes a serious deal or signing to attempt to solve both problems: power clean-up hitter & the leadership we need. I'll be surprised if we miss out on Stanton, JD Martinez or Moustakas (or someone as good as Moose).

Why can't he? He might lose all 4 fans he has now? Marlin fans are used to cleaning house. Jeter will take the best package offered that fits into his plan and timetable. I seriously doubt he's looking to compete in 2018. To me, the question is more about wanting prospects projected to be ML ready by 2019ish (Chavis, Beeks, Houck or Shawaryn) of by 2021ish (Groome, Mata, Flores, Scherff or Brannen). He may want a mix. If he gets JBJ, he'll flip him before 2018 anyways. The death of Fernandez ruined any chance the Marlins had with such a limited budget. Jeter knows that and will plan to have a team "come together" by a certain year. He's not dumb.

Stanton's salary will keep many teams away, and it is known to everyone the Marlins are looking to dump $25M next year. I could be wrong on my estimate of what it will take to get Stanton, and the Sox can afford to take on 100% of Stanton's salary. I just mentioned HRam as a possibility, and I'd add more prospects, if they took him. (I don't think he's a total loss of 2018.) I'd be willing to offer more than JBJ, Chavis and Groome, but I doubt it takes more. My guess is Jeter might look more long term, like a 5 year plan, and might be more interested in Mata, Scherff and Flores than Chavis and/or JBJ.

I realize we are bound to have injuries in 2018, and some might be to Price and better players than who got hurt in 2017. I get that. I do not think that even taking that into consideration, it's unreasonable to expect more from our returning players. While Betts, Bogey, Bradley and Beni all declined from 2016 to 2017, at their ages, I think it is more likely they hit closer to 2016 (or better) than 2017. That could be a huge gain. Devers could do worse than 2017, but by playing 158 games instead of 58, we could see a big gain at 3B. I'm not expecting a gain from our post-prime guys, but there's only two of them (HRam & Pedey). It's possible we get more from one or both in 2017 than 2017, since HRam was off and Pedey missed time. Vaz could decline and Leon is a crap shoot. We are likely to replace Moreland & Young with someone better. I'm probably higher on Wright than others, but I think he's better than the 25 starts from Fister, Johnson, Velazquez and Kendrick. I know Price could pitch less in 2018 than 2017, but there's hope he stays healthy. Porcello is a crap shoot. Pom is looking more solid. ERod is hurt. Sale has been a horse. Our pen has a lot of returning arms. I can't imagine it being worse, but anything can happen. Maybe I'm a homer. Maybe I'm being too optimistic, but I do feel that, overall, our returning players will do significantly better next year. Age Returning Player 20 Devers 22 Beni 23 (Lin & Travis) 24 Betts, Bogey, ERod (DL) (Taylor) 25 (Swihart) 26 Vaz, Maddox (Johnson & Marrero 27 JBJ, C Smith, Barnes & Scott 28 Sale, Pom, Porcello, Workman, Leon (Velazquez) 29 Kimbrel, Kelly & Holt 31 Price 33 Pedey & HRam Looking at just the ages, it's hard not to expect improvement, especially when so many had "off seasons" in 2017. Of course, if our new free agents end up like HRam and Pablo then we'll probably be a wild card team next year.