moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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Well said.
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How about comparing a bunch of guys, who together, watch every play of every game vs you and I, who watch almost only Sox games? To me, the disparity between them and us is much wider than the disparity between those guys and StatCast.
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Just curious, who sent the email?
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Yes, players will get more rest in September. Pearce has always been very good vs LHPs, so there is no reason to think he won't continue doing that once he's over this lull. It's easy to focus on our weak areas, especially when looking at recent small sample sizes, but look around the league. This happens and is happening to every team... more so to other teams.
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The guys who rate the plays are trained and calibrated, but they are human. They rotate the observers, so the number pretty much shake out over a long period of time. It's not perfect, but certainly me saying JBJ is better than any other CF'er based on my severely limited observations of other CF'ers is way, way, way more "broken/illegitimate" than UZR/150.
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Agreed, but my guess is they have a natural built in bias against fielders who make very difficult plays look easy. On the flip side, they probably pad fielders who end up making diving plays on ones JBJ catches in stride. Just my take. No data to support this. Like I've said, I think JBJ is the best SOX defensive CF'er I've seen, but I have no issue with anyone saying he's 6 or 7th best in MLB or top 8. I just don't know enough about the other 7 to make any definitive argument otherwise.
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I'll take two 4-3 wins.
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Smith and Thornburg were supposed to be out two best set-up me. They have, essentially, given us nothing due to injury. Pom was clearly our second best pitcher last year. Injury has turned him into mush. His replacement, Wright, has missed most of the year. Erod has missed 7+ starts. Sale and Price have missed about 6 between them. If you add them all up, we've lost more starts from our best starters than the Yanks: 4 Sale 16 Pom (and the 11 he gave us sucked) 2 Price 8 ERod 20+ Wright Yes, Betts & Bogey did not miss much time, but Pedey had been out all year, Devers has been on the DL twice, Pedey's back-up, Marco Hernandez, has missed the whole year. Nunez has been playing hurt, and we lost our starting catcher right as he had begun to heat up. I'm not saying our injuries are worse than yours, but it's pretty close, for sure. Besides, weren't you guys the team that had all this amazing young depth that there weren't even enough roster spaces for everyone?
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Both are too damn good to have extended slumps.
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Cuevas Ks 10 in 7 IP (1 BB), 5 hits and 2 ER. Lakins shuts 'em down for 2 IP, although he let up 3 hits. Witte goes 4 for 5 with his 10 dinger for the Sea Dogs. ERod looked sharp in 4 IP. Chatham goes 4 for 5. He's up to .324, now.
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Yes, I do. Of course they are wrong here and there, but together, they DO watch every play of every game, unlike I do, so I value their numbers when looking across the league and comparing our players to some I rarely see.
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Totally agree In ERod starts we're 16-3 It's plain to see to you and me
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Before tonight, here are the ERA- leaders in the AL: 100+IP 45 Sale 49 Snell 51 Bauer 66 Verlander 66 G Cole (4 ER in 6 IP tonight) 67 Kluber 73 Fiers 74 Morton 76 Clevinger 76 Severino 78 ERod 79 Price 82 Carrasco 83 Gibson 26. Porcello 95 We're missing 2 of the top 11 ERA- pitchers in the AL and still have a big lead. Wait till they come back!
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I'm thinking if a player makes a difficult play look easy, it may cause the observer to think the ball was medium not hard hit or within everyone's range, when it wasn't. I remember seeing JBJ make one of the best catches I ever saw, and they said it was a 40% catchable ball. Now, maybe I was wrong, but certainly the observer could be, too.
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Relax!
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Good point. Just go with Leon and get these games over with quickly.
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One of the biggest arguments against CERA and related debates is that catcher don't really tell the pitchers what to pitch, since they can always shake 'em off. While that's true to some extent, even guys not like Sale go with what the catcher calls more times than not. Keeping opposing batters guessing, off stride or distracted in some way is something impossible to measure with numbers. Pitch framing and blocking wild throws is just part of the whole CERA debate.... maybe a small part.
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Isn't it wonderful?
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The best way to use CERA is to look at the numbers with each pitcher one-by-one. That way, it takes way the fact that some pitchers have pretty much their own caddy-catcher. Pitch-framing is measure somewhere. I'm not sure where the numbers are, but I think Leon has been consistently plus in that area. I agree on the "feel for pitching" aspect of his game, something that cannot be measured by data. Pitcher just love pitching to him, and that can't be bad, can it?
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How about the NL Wild Card (and some division) race? 76-53 Cubs 73-57 ATL 72-58 AZ 73-58 STL (-4.0 NLC) 73-59 MIL (-4.5 NLC) -1.0 71-59 COL (-1.0 NLW) -2.0 70-60 PHI (-3.0 NLE) -2.5 70-61 LAD (-2.5 NLW)
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MLBTR reports.... As of Saturday, Red Sox pitchers had a 3.08 ERA when Sandy Leon was catching, compared to a 3.84 ERA with another catcher. Leon’s game-calling and defensive abilities have made him a favorite of the Sox rotation, Jason Mastrodonato of the Boston Herald writes, and the team hasn’t lost a beat with Leon taking the bulk of playing time with Christian Vazquez on the DL. Mastrodonato’s piece also delves into Leon’s early development as a player, and how his quick grasp of English helped him easily learn how to work with pitchers
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Maybe it's good for the players to think long and hard about it.
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No. I'm not expecting he ever reaches the majors.
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Okay, then add to the list: Devers, Marco Hernandez, Vaz, Wright, Smith, Thornburg, Maddox and others.
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We've done very well vs many of the leagues best pitchers. Most teams, including the Yanks, struggle vs good pitching. It's natural. To me, it bugs me more when we lose to unknown pitchers than good ones like Snell. Yes, we will face better pitching once we reach the playoffs, but so will the Yanks, Stros, Guardians and A's. I'd hate to have to face Sale twice in a series. I'm glad we don't have to do so.
